OECD said 2022-23 (FY23) ended on a positive note for India with 7.2% growth, due to higher-than-expected agriculture output and strong government spending
So far, only 15 states have revealed their projections for the gross state domestic product for 2022-23
Former CEA Krishnamurthy Subramanian said that his predecessor Arvind Subramanian could have 'easily picked up the phone and spoken to the chief statistician' something was wrong with GDP figures
Citing a better-than-estimated global growth outlook, lower global crude oil prices and robust services exports, a foreign brokerage has revised upwards its India growth forecast by 70 bps to 6.2 per cent for the current fiscal. House economists at Swiss brokerage UBS have already revised global growth projections upwards by nearly 50 bps to 2.6 per cent in 2023, led by China's early reopening, resilience in European data and revision in the US growth numbers. The domestic economy has clipped at 7.2 per cent in FY23, 20 bps higher than what was forecast earlier. On the FY23 GDP growth of 7.2 per cent, UBS Securities India chief economist Tanvee Gupta-Jain said the same was driven by the much higher than expected Q4 growth, which printed in at 6.1 per cent. The consensus expectation is 6 per cent growth in FY24 while the Reserve Bank pegs it at 6.5 per cent. There are upside risks to the country's growth forecast on the better-than-estimated global growth outlook, lower global oil
Sustaining growth would be challenging
Growth in services and manufacturing and private investment rebound likely to have helped economy in Q4
While consumption recovery remains strong in urban areas, the rural market is also showing nascent sign of recovery as real wage growth turns positive
Das said that India's GDP growth rate in FY23 may come out to be more than earlier predictions of 7%
Domestic commentators need to engage with the issue of growth rate at which India will have no "output gap" - is it really significantly lower than that achieved over two decades? - writes T N Ninan
Despite having the fastest growth, India experienced a contraction in FY21, and growth is expected to slow down during the current fiscal year
PSBs more vulnerable to shocks than private banks
The real issue may be that the RBI does not really subscribe to the mandate it has been given, and the govt, in a pre-election year, quietly supports such agnosticism, writes T N Ninan
Global headwinds are likely to slow down India's GDP growth, but the country is more resilient than many large economies, HDFC chairman Deepak Parekh said on Saturday. India has enough tailwinds with political stability, vaccine security, food security, a robust domestic consumption-based economy, digitisation initiatives and a robust regulatory system for the financial sector, Parekh said at SPJIMR's Centre for Family Business and Entrepreneurship (CFBE) event. "India is not immune to the global shocks but has proved to be more resilient than many large economies. For sure, India's GDP growth will slow down because of global headwinds," he said. For startups, he said, "many investors still have plenty of dry powder for good, innovative ideas, but the days of cash burn and high valuations are behind us". Entrepreneurship in India has exploded because of the conducive startup environment in the country and India has the third largest number of startups after the US and China, Parekh
In FY24, the revenue growth will continue to be strong, but it will be a lower 9-11 per cent
According to data available with the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI), Uttar Pradesh, under the leadership of CM Yogi Adityanath, expects to be the top performer
India needs some giant investors in in-house R&D. Let's start with our most successful firms
Cities need a newer vision of urban prosperity - one that goes beyond GDP - and addresses the pillars of sustainable development
Amish Mehta discusses the factors behind this downgrade and road ahead for the Indian economy
Credit rating agency Acuite Ratings & Research on Monday reiterated its forecast of Indian gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 7 per cent for FY23.
An SBI research report on Tuesday dismissed arguments that India is dangerously close to Hindu rate of growth saying such statements are "ill-conceived, biased and premature" in the wake of the recent GDP numbers and the available data on savings and investments. "Interpretations of GDP growth based on noisy quarterly numbers is a game of smoke and mirror," said the SBI report 'Ecowrap'. The report comes within days of former Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan saying that India is "dangerously close" to the Hindu rate of growth in view of subdued private sector investment, high interest rates and slowing global growth. Rajan said that sequential slowdown in the quarterly growth, as revealed by the latest estimate of national income released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) last month, was worrying. Hindu rate of growth is a term describing low Indian economic growth rates from the 1950s to the 1980s, which averaged 3.5 per cent. The term was coined by Raj Krishna, an Indi