The report, released by Standard Chartered Bank, assumes that India's nominal GDP growth rate will be 10 per cent per annum from now on
Absolute numbers have shown double-digit growth in recent years
Agency also revises upward growth outlook for global economy by 20 basis points for 2023 to 3%
The latest Reuters poll of 53 economists taken between July 13 and 21 showed the Indian economy would grow 6.1% this fiscal year
Fitch Ratings on Thursday raised its forecast for India's economic growth to 6.3 per cent for current fiscal year 2023-24 from 6 per cent it had predicted previously. This is primarily because of a stronger outturn in the first quarter and near-term momentum. The growth forecast compares with 7.2 per cent GDP expansion in FY23. In the previous fiscal year (FY22), the economy had grown 9.1 per cent. "India's economy has been showing broad-based strength - with GDP up by 6.1 per cent year-on-year in 1Q23 (January-March) and autosales, PMI surveys and credit growth remaining robust in recent months - and we have raised our forecast for the fiscal year ending in March 2024 (FY23-24) by 0.3 percentage points to 6.3 per cent," the rating agency said. Fitch had in March lowered its forecast for 2023-24 to 6 per cent from 6.2 per cent citing headwinds from elevated inflation and interest rates along with subdued global demand. For 2024-25 and 2025-26 fiscal years, it estimated a growth of
CEA says it's time to catch up with the pre-pandemic trend
The poor have really suffered loss of incomes and employment during Covid-19
OECD said 2022-23 (FY23) ended on a positive note for India with 7.2% growth, due to higher-than-expected agriculture output and strong government spending
So far, only 15 states have revealed their projections for the gross state domestic product for 2022-23
Former CEA Krishnamurthy Subramanian said that his predecessor Arvind Subramanian could have 'easily picked up the phone and spoken to the chief statistician' something was wrong with GDP figures
Citing a better-than-estimated global growth outlook, lower global crude oil prices and robust services exports, a foreign brokerage has revised upwards its India growth forecast by 70 bps to 6.2 per cent for the current fiscal. House economists at Swiss brokerage UBS have already revised global growth projections upwards by nearly 50 bps to 2.6 per cent in 2023, led by China's early reopening, resilience in European data and revision in the US growth numbers. The domestic economy has clipped at 7.2 per cent in FY23, 20 bps higher than what was forecast earlier. On the FY23 GDP growth of 7.2 per cent, UBS Securities India chief economist Tanvee Gupta-Jain said the same was driven by the much higher than expected Q4 growth, which printed in at 6.1 per cent. The consensus expectation is 6 per cent growth in FY24 while the Reserve Bank pegs it at 6.5 per cent. There are upside risks to the country's growth forecast on the better-than-estimated global growth outlook, lower global oil
Sustaining growth would be challenging
Growth in services and manufacturing and private investment rebound likely to have helped economy in Q4
While consumption recovery remains strong in urban areas, the rural market is also showing nascent sign of recovery as real wage growth turns positive
Das said that India's GDP growth rate in FY23 may come out to be more than earlier predictions of 7%
Domestic commentators need to engage with the issue of growth rate at which India will have no "output gap" - is it really significantly lower than that achieved over two decades? - writes T N Ninan
Despite having the fastest growth, India experienced a contraction in FY21, and growth is expected to slow down during the current fiscal year
PSBs more vulnerable to shocks than private banks
The real issue may be that the RBI does not really subscribe to the mandate it has been given, and the govt, in a pre-election year, quietly supports such agnosticism, writes T N Ninan
Global headwinds are likely to slow down India's GDP growth, but the country is more resilient than many large economies, HDFC chairman Deepak Parekh said on Saturday. India has enough tailwinds with political stability, vaccine security, food security, a robust domestic consumption-based economy, digitisation initiatives and a robust regulatory system for the financial sector, Parekh said at SPJIMR's Centre for Family Business and Entrepreneurship (CFBE) event. "India is not immune to the global shocks but has proved to be more resilient than many large economies. For sure, India's GDP growth will slow down because of global headwinds," he said. For startups, he said, "many investors still have plenty of dry powder for good, innovative ideas, but the days of cash burn and high valuations are behind us". Entrepreneurship in India has exploded because of the conducive startup environment in the country and India has the third largest number of startups after the US and China, Parekh