Page 7 - India Gdp Growth

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura .

Best of BS Opinion: India must heed the warning signs from without

India's economy and technological prowess are on a steady path, but it faces external challenges in the form of both policies and nations

The rebound: Consumption picks up in FY25 on rural demand, shows NSO data

Dharmakriti Joshi, chief economist, Crisil says that consumption growth outpaced GDP, primarily driven by robust rural demand supported by a strong agricultural sector.

India's growth momentum to continue in Q1 of FY26: CEA Nageswaran

CEA Nageswaran says India may grow 6.3-6.8% in FY26, led by consumption and services exports, with momentum from Q4FY25 continuing into Q1FY26

India fastest growing economy for fourth consecutive year: FM Sitharaman

India has remained the fastest-growing major economy for the fourth straight year, driven by strong manufacturing, services, and farm sector growth, the finance minister said

India's GDP grows at 7.4% in Q4 FY25; full-year growth estimated at 6.5%

RBI had pegged the fourth quarter's GDP growth at 7.2%, and FY25 at 6.6%

India's GDP growth likely accelerated in Q4 on rural demand, state spending

Rural consumption improved during the quarter, while urban demand indicators remained mixed

Greater confidence of inflation aligning with target over 12 months: RBI

Central bank's outlook for the Indian economy remains promising in 2025-26, supported by revival in consumption demand, government capex

India becomes 4th largest economy: What's driving this growth?

India has become the 4th largest economy in the world, overtaking Japan, NITI Aayog has reported, citing IMF data.

In FY24, Indians tightened belts but ramped up happy hours to fresh high

In fact, consumption of alcoholic beverages grew at the fastest pace since 2011-12 when the current GDP data series was launched

'We've a long way to go': Zerodha CEO on India as 4th largest economy

Nithin Kamath says India must focus on boosting labour participation, productivity, and R&D spending to achieve sustainable, long-term growth

Agri output likely to propel India's Q4 GDP growth to 4-quarter high

Industrial sector expansion is, however, expected to remain subdued

Fitch upgrades India's medium-term growth outlook to 6.4% till FY26

Fitch Ratings raises India's medium-term growth forecast to 6.4% citing higher labour force participation, even as it trims projections for most emerging markets

India may benefit from trade protectionism: S&P Global India Research

Report highlights India's growth potential through manufacturing reshoring and energy security amid global trade uncertainty and protectionist policies

Icra projects India's Q4 growth at 6.9%, FY25 GDP expansion at 6.3%

ICRA on Monday projected India's GDP growth at 6.9 per cent in the quarter ended March 31, and at 6.3 per cent for the full 2024-25 fiscal, undershooting the the National Statistics Office (NSO) estimates made in February. In February, the NSO had projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25. With economic growth in June, September and December quarter at 6.5 per cent, 5.6 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively. To achieve the NSO's projected 6.5 per cent growth in FY25, the GDP growth in Q4 or March quarter should be 7.6 per cent. The NSO is scheduled to release the provisional estimates of FY'25 GDP and quarterly estimates for Q4 on May 31. ICRA in its note said it projected the year-on-year (YoY) expansion of the GDP to rise to 6.9 per cent in Q4 FY 2025, from 6.2 per cent in Q3 FY2025, significantly undershooting the NSO implicit estimate of 7.6 per cent for the quarter. Unless there are material revisions in the data for Q1-Q3 FY2025, ICRA projects a sharp

UN cuts India's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 6.3%, sees strong momentum

India's economic growth forecast for 2025 has been revised downward to 6.3 per cent, and despite a projected moderation, the country remains one of the fastest-growing large economies, supported by resilient consumption and government spending, the United Nations has said. The UN on Thursday launched a report titled 'The World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2025'. India remains one of the fastest growing large economies, driven by strong private consumption and public investment, even as growth projections have been lowered to 6.3 per cent in 2025, Ingo Pitterle, Senior Economic Affairs Officer, Global Economic Monitoring Branch, Economic Analysis and Policy Division, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), said at a press briefing here. The report said the global economy is at a precarious juncture, marked by heightened trade tensions and elevated policy uncertainty. The recent surge in tariffsdriving the effective US tariff rate up steeplythreatens to rais

Indian economy projected to grow at 6.5% in FY26, says CII president

India's GDP is projected to grow at 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal and the country's economy is resilient enough to overcome the short-term impact of geopolitical issues, CII president Sanjiv Puri has said. In an interview with PTI, he asserted that the country must pursue bilateral trade pacts with key trading partners to protect national interests in the backdrop of increasing trade barriers. Highlighting that the private investment is picking up across various sectors like energy, transportation, metals, chemicals and hospitality, Puri said the current geopolitical uncertainties could lead to "some cautiousness" in investment. On the economic growth projection for India, he said, "We are looking at 6.5 per cent. We believe this number can be achieved fundamentally, because the fact is, we are starting with a reasonably good foundation, robust economic foundation". Elaborating on the reasons, he said, "In the recent past, interest rates have eased. Inflation is becoming benig

S&P cuts India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.3% over US tariff uncertainty

S&P Global Ratings on Friday cut India's growth projections by 0.2 percentage points to 6.3 per cent for the current fiscal year citing uncertainty over the US tariff policy and downside risks from its spillover to the economy. In its report titled "Global Macro Update: Seismic Shift In US Trade Policy Will Slow World Growth", S&P Global Ratings said "we reiterate that there are no winners in a scenario of escalating protectionist policies." S&P said among Asia-Pacific's major economies, China is expected to see its growth drop by 0.7 percentage points in 2025 to 3.5 per cent and in 2026 to 3 per cent. S&P projected India's GDP growth to be 6.3 per cent in 2025-26 and 6.5 per cent in 2026-27 fiscal year. In March, S&P had lowered the FY'26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5 per cent, from 6.7 per cent. "The risks to our baseline remain firmly on the downside in the form of a stronger-than-anticipated spillover from the tariff shock to the real economy. The longer-term ...

Creative economy can further increase its share in GDP, says PM Modi

The PM said that Indian films are now reaching every corner of the world, with they being released in more than 100 countries

Q4 IIP blip likely to drag India's FY25 GDP growth down: Economists

Aditi Nayar, chief economist, ICRA Ratings, said growth in Q4 FY25 is anticipated to fall short of the level implicit in the NSO's second advance estimate for FY25