Page 8 - India Gdp Growth

RBI Policy: Full of surprises, dovish on growth, neutral on further cuts

With inflation expected to rise back to above 4 per cent by Q4-FY26, the Monetary Policy Committee has capitalised upon the available headroom to frontload rate action

RBI policy: MPC cuts repo rate by 50 bps to 5.5%, shifts stance to neutral

RBI Monetary Policy Committee maintained its GDP growth forecast for FY26 at 6.5%, lowered inflation forecast to 3.7%

OECD lowers India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.3%, UBS raises it to 6.4%

The OECD cuts India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.3%, citing risks from rising US tariffs and trade tensions, but expects private consumption to strengthen with rising incomes and moderate inflation

UBS raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.4% after strong Q4 growth

UBS ups India's economic growth outlook on strong Q4 performance, rural demand rebound, easing trade tensions, and low oil prices

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura .

Best of BS Opinion: India must heed the warning signs from without

India's economy and technological prowess are on a steady path, but it faces external challenges in the form of both policies and nations

The rebound: Consumption picks up in FY25 on rural demand, shows NSO data

Dharmakriti Joshi, chief economist, Crisil says that consumption growth outpaced GDP, primarily driven by robust rural demand supported by a strong agricultural sector.

India's growth momentum to continue in Q1 of FY26: CEA Nageswaran

CEA Nageswaran says India may grow 6.3-6.8% in FY26, led by consumption and services exports, with momentum from Q4FY25 continuing into Q1FY26

India fastest growing economy for fourth consecutive year: FM Sitharaman

India has remained the fastest-growing major economy for the fourth straight year, driven by strong manufacturing, services, and farm sector growth, the finance minister said

India's GDP grows at 7.4% in Q4 FY25; full-year growth estimated at 6.5%

RBI had pegged the fourth quarter's GDP growth at 7.2%, and FY25 at 6.6%

India's GDP growth likely accelerated in Q4 on rural demand, state spending

Rural consumption improved during the quarter, while urban demand indicators remained mixed

Greater confidence of inflation aligning with target over 12 months: RBI

Central bank's outlook for the Indian economy remains promising in 2025-26, supported by revival in consumption demand, government capex

India becomes 4th largest economy: What's driving this growth?

India has become the 4th largest economy in the world, overtaking Japan, NITI Aayog has reported, citing IMF data.

In FY24, Indians tightened belts but ramped up happy hours to fresh high

In fact, consumption of alcoholic beverages grew at the fastest pace since 2011-12 when the current GDP data series was launched

'We've a long way to go': Zerodha CEO on India as 4th largest economy

Nithin Kamath says India must focus on boosting labour participation, productivity, and R&D spending to achieve sustainable, long-term growth

Agri output likely to propel India's Q4 GDP growth to 4-quarter high

Industrial sector expansion is, however, expected to remain subdued

Fitch upgrades India's medium-term growth outlook to 6.4% till FY26

Fitch Ratings raises India's medium-term growth forecast to 6.4% citing higher labour force participation, even as it trims projections for most emerging markets

India may benefit from trade protectionism: S&P Global India Research

Report highlights India's growth potential through manufacturing reshoring and energy security amid global trade uncertainty and protectionist policies

Icra projects India's Q4 growth at 6.9%, FY25 GDP expansion at 6.3%

ICRA on Monday projected India's GDP growth at 6.9 per cent in the quarter ended March 31, and at 6.3 per cent for the full 2024-25 fiscal, undershooting the the National Statistics Office (NSO) estimates made in February. In February, the NSO had projected the Indian economy to grow at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25. With economic growth in June, September and December quarter at 6.5 per cent, 5.6 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively. To achieve the NSO's projected 6.5 per cent growth in FY25, the GDP growth in Q4 or March quarter should be 7.6 per cent. The NSO is scheduled to release the provisional estimates of FY'25 GDP and quarterly estimates for Q4 on May 31. ICRA in its note said it projected the year-on-year (YoY) expansion of the GDP to rise to 6.9 per cent in Q4 FY 2025, from 6.2 per cent in Q3 FY2025, significantly undershooting the NSO implicit estimate of 7.6 per cent for the quarter. Unless there are material revisions in the data for Q1-Q3 FY2025, ICRA projects a sharp

UN cuts India's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 6.3%, sees strong momentum

India's economic growth forecast for 2025 has been revised downward to 6.3 per cent, and despite a projected moderation, the country remains one of the fastest-growing large economies, supported by resilient consumption and government spending, the United Nations has said. The UN on Thursday launched a report titled 'The World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2025'. India remains one of the fastest growing large economies, driven by strong private consumption and public investment, even as growth projections have been lowered to 6.3 per cent in 2025, Ingo Pitterle, Senior Economic Affairs Officer, Global Economic Monitoring Branch, Economic Analysis and Policy Division, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), said at a press briefing here. The report said the global economy is at a precarious juncture, marked by heightened trade tensions and elevated policy uncertainty. The recent surge in tariffsdriving the effective US tariff rate up steeplythreatens to rais