Page 6 - India Inflation

BS Poll: Majority sees neutral interest rate between 1% to less than 2%

A debate on real interest rate has picked up steam as the repo rate has been kept unchanged at 6.5 per cent since February 2023 despite inflation prints showing a downward trend

Easing inflation no respite for people's financial woes: Kantar report

Rural market 'bright spot' for consumer goods products, says consumer research firm

Inflation expected to average 4.5% for current fiscal year: CRISIL

Leading ratings and economic research firm CRISIL is of the view that inflation is expected to average 4.5 per cent for the current financial year. "Assuming a normal monsoon, we expect food inflation to soften, while non-food inflation could see an uptick but is expected to remain soft on the back of benign commodity prices," CRISIL said. The rating firm said that consumer price index (CPI) inflation moderated marginally to 4.75 per cent in May from 4.8 per cent in April 2024. "Non-food categories pulled down the headline inflation, but what is worrying is the relentless inching up of food categories, cereals and pulses", the CRISIL report said. Food inflation had stayed above 8.5 per cent for four months now, and non-food inflation continued to offer some respite, it said. The report maintained that there could be some rebalancing in domestic demand in the current fiscal with rural demand catching up with urban consumption. According to the report, the expectation of an above-n

India's wholesale inflation rises to 15-month high of 2.61% in May

May 2024 WPI: Prices of crude petroleum & natural gas, food articles, and manufacturing witnessed a surge in May 2024 compared to April 2024

Rational policy pause

Food prices tend to obstruct the disinflation process

RBI likely to reduce key repo rate when inflation stabilises: India Inc

India Inc welcomed the Reserve Bank's move to raise the growth outlook for FY25 and stated that it expects the Reserve Bank to reduce the key repo rate when inflation stabilises within its target band. The Reserve Bank, which has been mandated to ensure inflation remains at 4 per cent (with a margin of 2 per cent on either side), mainly factors in CPI while arriving at its monetary policy. It left the key interest rate unchanged as widely expected, keeping the focus on inflation amid robust economic growth that is likely to provide the new Modi government headroom for manoeuvring reforms. The central bank also retained its projection for retail inflation at 4.5 per cent for the current fiscal assuming a normal monsoon, while emphasising that uncertainties related to food price outlook warrant a close monitoring. Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based retail inflation has been projected at 4.5 per cent with quarter-wise projections at 4.9 per cent in Q1 (April-June), 3.8 per cent in Q2, 4

RBI's GDP projections, gains in IT stocks help Indian shares trade higher

The NSE Nifty 50 index was up 1% at 23,060 points and the S&P BSE Sensex added 1.2% to 75,941 points after the rate decision

RBI monetary policy: When and where to watch the governor's announcement?

RBI Monetary Policy Committee meeting LIVE updates: Economists expect the central bank to maintain the repo rate at 6.5 per cent for the eighth consecutive time

The coalition reset

The new govt must adopt a consultative approach

New govt needs to fight inflation while bringing back focus on farm reforms

A favourable monsoon in 2024 should keep production worries at bay

Of cricket and monetary policy

The June policy will be one of status quo in every way. There will be no change in rate or stance

Will stock market crash if BJP gets less than 270 seats in Lok Sabha polls?

In the worst case scenario where the NDA is unable to secure a majority (seats less than 272), analysts at Bernstein expect 'heavy profit booking' in the markets with low or negligible returns

Spike in food & fuel prices push WPI inflation to 13-month high in April

Data released by govt on Tuesday showed that uptick in factory gate inflation during April was driven primarily by the spike in the prices of food articles and fuel, among other things

India's WPI-based inflation reaches 13-month high of 1.26% in April

April 2024 WPI: Prices of crude petroleum & natural gas and food articles witnessed a surge in April 2024 compared to March 2024, while prices of non-food articles and minerals saw a decline

Retail inflation eases to 4.83% in April on softening fuel prices

Core inflation has also trended downwards at 3.2 per cent, which is the lowest in the 2012 base CPI series

Inflation data, Q4 earnings, trends to drive markets this week: Analysts

Stock markets will be driven by domestic inflation data, ongoing quarterly earnings from corporates and global trends this week, analysts said. News flows around the general election would also be tracked by investors, market experts said. Besides, investors would also take cues from the trading activity of foreign investors, the movement of global oil benchmark Brent crude and the rupee-dollar trend. "Investors will be bombarded with economic data on both domestic and global fronts. Domestically, watch for Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI). Globally, focus will be on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. "Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech will be a key event to watch. China's industrial production data and Japan's GDP figures round out the important releases for the week," said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd. Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, sa

Concrete jungles and Silicon Valleys

By leveraging technology and data-driven approaches, startups can help cities optimise resource allocation, improve service delivery, and enhance the overall quality of life for residents

Consumer price inflation likely eased to 5-month low of 4.91% in March

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said last week that food price volatility remains a concern

Would like inflation elephant to return to forest, stay there: RBI Guv Das

RBI monetary policy: In no hurry to cut repo rate, MPC keeps status quo; retains FY25 growth, inflation forecasts

Monetary policy: 'Real rates do matter, inflation must align with target'

Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das and Deputy Governor Michael Patra responded to a host of queries in the post-policy interaction with the media. Edited excerpts: