Indian Economic Growth

India's economic growth, financial markets muddied by US trade deal woes

President Donald Trump's punitive 50 per cent tariffs, the highest among most major economies, have weighed on sentiment as exporters see orders from the US dry up

Reform panel moots easing restrictions on investments from China

The panel, in an internal report finalised in October, had suggested that the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) weigh the options and take a final call by December 31

Tax certainty: Presumptive regime key to boosting India's FDI flows

The challenge is not India's assertion of its tax rights but the opacity of the rules.

UP's bottom-up model can show the way to measuring India's true economy

The headline numbers are based on currently available, measurable data and represent the best possible estimates within the existing system

Focus must be on growth, self reliance amid global turbulence: Vaishnaw

Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw on Thursday underlined the need to maintain steadfast focus on the nation's goals and economic growth, advocating an approach of self-reliance and a firm resolve to navigate the global turbulence. Speaking at the 12th Annual Public Affairs Forum of India (PAFI) event, Vaishnaw, Minister for IT, Railways and I&B, said an important question on the mind of every policymaker today is how to effectively deal with rapid changes unfolding globally at the moment. "So yes, these are very interesting times. We must keep our focus very clear on what we want to achieve in our country. How do we want to grow our economy, strengthen ourselves, so that the storm which is there in the world...we should be strong enough to absorb those and pass our ship through those big storms," he said. The Prime Minister has articulated a strong focus on growth supported by an approach of 'atmanirbharta' or self-reliance, the minister said during an interactive chat that ...

Spurt in consumption to meet fiscal deficit target of 4.4%: Sitharaman

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has expressed confidence that revenue buoyancy driven by spurt in consumption will take care of the estimated GST shortfall of Rs 48,000 crore following reduction in tax rates on a host of items, and hence there will be no impact on public finances but definitely bolster GDP growth. She also emphasised that consumption boost to be provided by landmark GST reform and better-than-expected first quarter GDP growth number may help in exceeding the projected pace of 6.3-6.8 per cent for FY26. Asked about impact of GST rate cuts on fiscal deficit, Sitharaman said, Rs 48,000 crore financial implication is a static number based on a base year, but when it gets implemented, base situation changes. "So, I think the consumption spurt from September 22 will increase income buoyancy. To a large extent, this Rs 48,000 crore amount we will be able to make it up this year itself. So I don't see an impact on my fiscal deficit or my fiscal management. I will stick

Nominal GDP growth in FY26 may fall short due to benign inflation: CEA

Given the expectation of benign inflation, there may be a shortfall in nominal GDP growth compared to the Budget estimate of 10.1 per cent for the current financial year, Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran said. He expressed optimism about meeting the real GDP growth target of 6.3-6.8 per cent for the current fiscal year despite the US imposing a steep 50 per cent tariff on Indian shipments. Nominal GDP includes changes in prices caused by inflation, reflecting the impact of rising overall price levels, while real GDP is an inflation-adjusted measure that evaluates the value of all goods and services produced in a country during a specific year. Inflation is expected to be low on account of an estimated good kharif harvest and a reduction in prices of around 400 items after landmark GST reforms were approved recently by the GST Council headed by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. "Some shortfall in nominal GDP growth may be there. I think there is a higher chance of tha

India's GDP growth likely slowed to 6.7% in Q1, set to ease further: Poll

The poll showed India GDP growth slowing to 6.5 per cent this quarter, 6.3 per cent in October-December and 6.2 per cent in January-March

Trump calls India and Russia 'dead economies' but data tells a different story

From India's trillion-dollar export surge to Russia's energy strength, trade data counters Trump's claim amid escalating tariffs and tensions

India's economic growth makes it a global stability anchor: NITI Aayog VC

India's sustained economic growth makes it an "anchor of stability for the world, which needs new engines of growth and development models that can be scaled and shared, Vice Chairman of NITI Aayog Suman Bery has said. Bery addressed the ministerial segment of the High Level Political Forum for Sustainable Development Goals at UN Headquarters on Monday. He said the world is navigating a period of significant economic shifts and uncertainty, which makes the international community's collective work on Sustainable Development Goals more critical than ever. The world needs anchors of stability, new engines of growth and development models that can be scaled and shared. India, with its unique strengths and experience, is ready and willing to offer all three. He underscored that India's sustained economic growth makes it an "anchor of stability for the global community and an example of what is possible. In an era of flux, India stands out as a vibrant democracy with steadily improving

Bernstein expects markets to consolidate; sees Nifty at 26,500 by 2025-end

As a strategy, they have moved utilities sector to equal weight. Financials, Telecom, small discretionary, remain their overweight sectors.

The problems India ignores: Fixes, not vision, key to 8% economic growth

There are dozens of issues that slow our growth far below potential. They don't need a grand vision, but they urgently need attention if India is to grow at over 8 per cent

India's economy to hold top spot for growth, but weaknesses remain: Poll

Private sector spending is still trailing far behind, and analysts generally agree the economy is still failing to create enough quality jobs for its large young population

Two neighbours, two futures: India's rise amid Pakistan's mounting woes

India and Pakistan are charting opposite courses, with New Delhi rising in global influence while Islamabad battles economic turmoil and diplomatic isolation, according to World Bank

Indian economy to be close to $30 trillion mark by 2047: Amitabh Kant

India's economy, which is currently USD 4 trillion in size, is expected to be close to USD 30 trillion by 2047 and the country also has the advantage of younger demographics, G20 Sherpa Amitabh Kant said on Monday. He was speaking at a session on the sidelines of the International Air Transport Association (IATA) in the national capital. "The demographics are very young. The Western part of the world is ageing and Japan has already aged, even China is ageing. India is just 28 and even when we become 100, the average age will be 35 years. It is a country of baby boomers," Kant said. According to him, the country's economy will be close to USD 30 trillion in 2047. The country is a USD 4 trillion economy and just became the fourth largest economy in the world, he added. While emphasising about sustainable urbanisation, Kant said the country will see around 5 million people getting into the process of urbanisation and there will be a need to create 500 new cities in India. "You need

Tariff war create opportunity for India in some of sectors: CEA Nageswaran

Ongoing tariff war triggered by reciprocal tariff by the Trump Administration provides an opportunity for India in some sectors, Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran said on Thursday. Addressing the CII Annual Business Meet here, he said India actually has a few silver linings which include low energy prices at the moment. Besides, he said, "regardless of how the tariff numbers will play out after 90-day expiration from the Liberation Day on April 2, or the 90 days given to China from May 12, etc, there will be some sectors where India did not enjoy an advantage before, it may enjoy an advantage later. That's also an opportunity from tariff perspective". The US on April 2 imposed an additional 26 per cent reciprocal tariff on Indian goods, but later suspended it for 90 days till July 9. However, Indian goods still attract the 10 per cent baseline tariff imposed by America. Meanwhile, both India and the US are in discussions to close a bilateral trade agreement. Both sides

India overtakes Japan to become world's 4th largest economy: NITI Aayog CEO

India has become the fourth largest economy in the world, overtaking Japan, NITI Aayog CEO B V R Subrahmanyam said on Saturday. Briefing reporters after the 10th Governing Council meeting of Niti Aayog, Subrahmanyam said overall geopolitical and economic environment is favourable to India. "We are the fourth largest economy as I speak. We are a USD 4 trillion economy as I speak," he said. Citing IMF data, Subrahmanyam said India today is larger than Japan. "It is only US, China, Germany, which are larger than India and if we stick to what is being planned and what is being thought through, in 2.5-3 years, we will be the third largest economy," Subrahmanyam. Responding to a question on US President Donald Trump's recent statement that he expects Apple iPhones that will be sold in the US to be manufactured in America and not India, or anyplace else, Subrahmanyam said, "What the tariff will be, is uncertain. Given the dynamics, we will be cheap place to manufacture." He also said th

India's GDP to grow between 6.5-6.7% in FY26 on strong demand: Deloitte

Deloitte on Thursday projected economic growth at 6.5-6.7 per cent for the current fiscal, as tax incentives provided in the Budget are expected to push domestic demand amid an uncertain global trade environment. Deloitte estimated India's GDP growth at 6.3-6.5 per cent for FY25 and said that the economic outlook for FY26 hinges on a delicate balance between evolving trade relations and government efforts to boost domestic consumer demand. "Growth this fiscal will be contingent on two opposing forces," said Deloitte's India Economy Outlook. The first factor would be the positive impact of tax incentives aimed at growing consumer spending (as announced in the Union Budget 2025). The second and opposing force would be the potential negative impact of uncertainty in global trade networks on the Indian economy. "The interplay of tax stimulus and trade uncertainties could keep growth between 6.5 per cent and 6.7 per cent for the current fiscal year," it added. The government in the FY2

India could grow at 6.5% in FY26, aided by falling crude prices: EY

Indian economy could grow at 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal as lower prices of crude oil are expected to ease inflationary pressure and support domestic growth, despite intensifying global trade tensions, EY said on Friday. The 'EY Economy Watch' report for April identifies four key interlinked effects which would have a bearing on India's growth reduced exports, global slowdown, falling crude oil prices, and the impact of global excess production capacities. "With suitable fiscal and monetary policies, India may be able to sustain a real GDP growth at about 6.5 per cent in FY26 as also in the medium term, while maintaining a CPI inflation below 4 per cent. "We also expect global crude prices to remain in the range of USD 60-65/bbl in FY26, which may be to India's advantage," EY India Chief Policy Advisor D K Srivastava said. It said exports may slow due to higher tariffs and weakening global demand, but the overall GDP impact may be limited, given the subdued role of net expo

Trump tariff impact: Brace for exchange rate wars too, says Madan Sabnavis

At the global level, slower trade will also mean slower growth, especially for export-oriented economies, Sabnavis said. Back home, he feels that the MSMEs will be under pressure again