Page 5 - Indian Economic Growth

World Bank raises S Asia growth forecast to 6.4% on Indian domestic demand

India's economic growth forecast for the current fiscal year, ending in March 2025, was revised to 7 per cent year-on-year

Economists bullish on India, cautious optimism for global recovery: Survey

A majority of chief economists have shown a cautious optimism about the global economy with India's robust performance making South Asia the best performer worldwide, a survey showed on Wednesday. "Easing inflation and strong global commerce are fuelling cautious optimism for recovery but elevated debt levels are becoming a growing concern in both advanced and developing economies," the World Economic Forum said in its latest Chief Economists Outlook. The report, based on a survey of leading chief economists from across the world, highlighted that debt levels and fiscal challenges are placing significant pressure on economies worldwide leaving them vulnerable to future crises. A growing concern is a potential fiscal squeeze, where rising debt-servicing costs limit governments to invest in essential sectors such as infrastructure, education and healthcare. In developing economies, 39 per cent of economists expect an increase in defaults over the next year, the WEF said. Regionwise,

Can India revive its manufacturing sector and create millions of jobs?

India needs nuanced policies, investment, and scale to unlock its manufacturing potential, writes Ajay Shankar

Experts cite logistical, Red Sea crisis as issues impacting India's exports

The Red sea crisis and logistical challenges have severely impacted the country's exports in August, which contracted 9.3 per cent, according to exporters and experts. Think tank GTRI said the contraction of petroleum product exports' by 37.56 per cent to USD 5.95 billion in August is linked to the ongoing disruptions in the Red Sea. These exports were USD 9.54 billion in August 2023. "This dramatic decline has significantly impacted India's overall merchandise trade, leading to a 9.33 per cent reduction in August 2024 compared to the previous year," Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) Founder Ajay Srivastava said. Interestingly, he said, crude oil prices remained relatively stable between these two periods, suggesting that the drop in petroleum product exports is "linked to ongoing disruptions" in the Red Sea. The yearlong ongoing disruptions have forced shipping routes to take longer paths around the Horn of Africa and the Cape of Good Hope, rendering exports to Europe less

Indian economy to grow at 7-7.2% in current fiscal year: Deloitte

India's economy is expected to grow at 7-7.2 per cent in the current fiscal year driven by robust economic fundamentals and continuity in domestic policy reforms, Deloitte India said on Monday. The August update of Deloitte's India Economic Outlook said several initiatives in the Union Budget 2024-25 toward improving agriculture productivity, creating jobs for the youth, and in manufacturing and addressing the challenge of access to finance for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), would help improve supply-side demand, curb inflation, and prop up consumer spending, especially in rural areas. Deloitte India Economist Rumki Majumdar said, India will witness robust growth in the second half after a period of uncertainty in the first six months of the year. "Key contributing factors include the continuity in domestic policy reforms, reduced uncertainties in the US post-elections, and more synchronous global growth within a low inflation regime. "Additionally, improved global .

Centre's fiscal deficit in Q1 at 8.4% of FY25 target, shows CGA data

Total non-tax revenue for first three months of FY25 stands at Rs 2.8 trillion

India should grow at 7-10% for 20-30 yrs to avoid middle income trap: NITI

PM Modi said emphasis on skill, research, innovation and job based knowledge necessary for making 'Viksit Bharat'

PM Modi urges states to attract FDI, suggests 'investor-friendly charter'

Investor friendly charter, zero poverty and demographic management plans highlights of NITI Aayog meet

Budget 2024 is growth oriented, addresses right sectors: Vikas Khemani

Union Budget 2024 analysis: The government has laid out a clear vision for 'Viksit Bharat' by addressing key areas - agricultural reforms, manufacturing push and employment generation among others

India to clock GDP growth of 7% in FY25: NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani

The Indian economy will grow around 7 per cent in the current fiscal year and is on track to maintain a similar growth rate for several years, NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani said on Friday. Virmani said there are new challenges facing the country and they will have to be dealt with. "Indian economy will grow at 7 per cent plus minus point 0.5 per cent... I expect that we are on track to grow at 7 per cent for several years from today," he told PTI in an interview. Last month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) pegged the FY25 gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate at 7.2 per cent. Responding to a question on the decline in private consumption expenditures in the last fiscal year, Virmani said it is actually recovering now. "The effect of the pandemic was to draw down savings... and very different from previous financial shocks," he said. Explaining further, Virmani said it is like what he calls a double drought situation. "We also had, of course, El Nino last year, but what the

Asia's factory activity expands in June on solid momentum in global economy

The surveys show how Chinese firms are ramping up production despite weak domestic demand, which Beijing has failed to reverse with a rescue package for an ailing property sector

India to overtake Japan to become 3rd largest global market: Sony MD

Japanese consumer electronics giant Sony expects India to overtake home market and become the company's third largest market globally in the next couple of years with its revenue from the country reaching Rs 10,000 crore. Sony India Managing Director Sunil Nayyar said the company clocked a revenue of Rs 6,353 crore in 2022-23 in the country and is betting on the premium television segment besides its audio and imaging products to drive the growth. According to him, Sony India is also betting big on the fast growth of the gaming segment and imaging business. "We have travelled a long way. If I go 10 years back, we were quite behind the globe, but now, we are a close number four as a single country business across the globe, which means in a couple of years, maybe we can be number three and to remain in the top three in future I think should be a good position to stay as a Sony company around the globe," Nayyar told PTI in an interview. At present, the US, China and Japan are the top

Budget 2024: SBI Chairman Khara pitches for tax relief on interest earnings

Budget 2024: The general Budget of financial year 2024-25 is expected to be tabled in the second half of July, for which the Centre is currently holding talks with various stakeholders

Fitch Ratings raises India's growth forecast by 20 bps to 7.2% for FY25

The Indian economy grew at an impressive rate of 8.2 per cent in FY24, driven by a stronger-than-expected expansion of 7.8 per cent in the fourth quarter

India Inc calls for bolder, progressive reforms as PM Modi begins 3rd term

Business leaders are also holding high hopes from the upcoming Union budget

PM Modi's weaker mandate to slow India's fiscal tightening, says Moody's

India's benchmark 10-year bond yield saw its biggest surge in eight months following the poll outcome

Election results: India's economic fundamentals remain robust, says Nomura

India's economic fundamentals remain robust, investment bank Nomura said on Wednesday after the results of the country's general elections paved the way for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third consecutive term in office. Modi is poised to form the government for a third consecutive term with the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) getting a majority in the Lok Sabha, notwithstanding crushing losses in three Hindi heartland states after a bitterly fought election that was projected as a referendum on his popularity. The Election Commission of India has declared results for all 543 Lok Sabha constituencies, with the BJP winning 240 seats and the Congress 99. "Our assessment is that India's economic fundamentals remain robust. Reforms in India have generally survived the test of politics and we expect the government to continue the pace of governance and administrative reforms, leaving states to work around the more intractable reforms around land and labour," Nomura said. Whi

Shankar Sharma's market strategy post Lok Sabha exit poll: Stay strapped in

Meanwhile, every government since 1991, Shankar Sharma said, has performed exceedingly well in different ways and with different strategies

Development path for India will not be the same as China's: CBC chairman

As India moves towards the mission of Viksit Bharat' and becoming a developed country by 2047, the development path for India will not be the same as that of China as they have a different environment and capabilities, Chairman of the Capacity Building Commission Adil Zainulbhai has said. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has laid out a vision of what India will be as a developed country and there is a lot of thinking in terms of we want this to be different, Zainulbhai said. The development path for India will not be the same as the development path for China. So for every article that compares China's growth with India's growth, India's growth for the next 25 years will not follow the China model. Because we can't, it's a different environment and India's capabilities are different, he said. According to the World Bank, China's strong growth has been based on investment and export-oriented manufacturing, an approach that has largely reached its limits, and has led to economic, social,

UN revises India's 2024 economic growth projection upwards to nearly 7%

The United Nations has revised upwards India's growth projections for 2024, with the country's economy now forecast to expand by close to seven per cent this year, mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption. The World Economic Situation and Prospects as of mid-2024, released Thursday, said, India's economy is forecast to expand by 6.9 per cent in 2024 and 6.6 per cent in 2025, mainly driven by strong public investment and resilient private consumption. Although subdued external demand will continue to weigh on merchandise export growth, pharmaceuticals and chemicals exports are expected to expand strongly. The 6.9 per cent economic growth projections for India in the mid-year update is an upward revision from the 6.2 per cent GDP forecast made by the UN in January this year. The UN World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2024 report that was launched in January had said that growth in India was projected to reach 6.2 per cent in 2024, amid robus