Page 2 - Indian Inflation

India Inc sees no long-term impact of Israel-Hamas war: BS CEO survey

If the war in the Israel-Gaza region escalates into a larger West Asian conflict, it could pose problems

Indian startup valuations rebound on path to profit, better macros

The firm increased the face value of its investment in e-commerce firm Meesho in its books by 14.3 per cent to $43.24 million as of July, bringing the company's valuation to around $5.04 billion

Tomato price surge could throw inflation trajectory off balance: RBI study

Wholesale tomato prices crossed Rs 150 per kilogram in markets last week. A few weeks ago, tomatoes were being sold at Rs 15 to 20 per kg

India remains a bright spot, likely to grow 6.7% in 2024: UNDESA report

UN retains CY23 forecast at 5.8%; investment, exports to remain weak

Inflation likely to hit 18-month low in April as price rise moderates: Poll

Predictions ranged from 4.40% to 5.80%, with respondents expecting inflation to remain below the RBI's 6.00% upper tolerance limit for the second consecutive month

When the randomness of monetary policy reminds one of a game of Ludo

The real issue may be that the RBI does not really subscribe to the mandate it has been given, and the govt, in a pre-election year, quietly supports such agnosticism, writes T N Ninan

PNB hikes FD interest rates by up to 30 basis points; check latest rates

Additionally, for FDs maturing between two and three years, the interest rates have been increased by 25 bps to 7% from 6.75%

RBI rate hike on expected lines; policy focuses inflation: Bankers

The Reserve Bank's decision to hike repo rate by 25 basis points was on expected lines but the policy focuses more on inflation despite the recent moderation in the number, bankers said on Wednesday. "Repo hike of 25 basis points is on the expected lines. Evidently, the policy is focused more on managing inflation, even though the recent retail inflation readings are showing signs of moderation," industry lobby Indian Banks Association's Chairman A K Goel, who also heads state-owned Punjab National Bank, said in a statement. It can be noted that the last two readings of the headline inflation have come within the upper tolerance band of the central bank and some analysts, including in-house economists at the country's largest lender SBI were expecting a pause on rate hike. With the latest hike, the repo rate is at 6.50 per cent. SBI Chairman Dinesh Khara said the continuing strength in US job data has made monetary policy making into a delicate balancing act for emerging economies

TMS Ep337: Markets, 2023 outlook, monetisation pipeline, census

What does 2023 have in store for Indian markets and economy? What are the five things that will impact you in 2023? Where is the National Monetisation Pipeline headed? What is a census? Answers here

Budget 2023: Exporters urge govt for fiscal incentives, lower customs duty

The meeting took place at a time when external demand is waning as exporters are facing global headwinds of high inflation, currency depreciation and geopolitical tensions

As deposit rates rise, where should you park your money?

Central banks around the world are raising rates to suck liquidity and bring down the soaring inflation. Banks too are passing on the rates. Find out where should you park your hard-earned money

Can't expect inflation to drop faster by raising rates: Jayanth R Varma

I think we can bring inflation down to 5 per cent in a couple of quarters, says MPC member Varma

Inflation will not come below RBI's tolerance level in FY23: IMF's Choueiri

India relative bright spot in the world; 6.8 per cent growth rate 'really a good number': Senior executive

RBI's repo rate hike was necessary to combat inflation risks: MPC minutes

The MPC is of the view that further calibrated monetary policy action is warranted to keep inflation expectations anchored

Retail inflation rate expected to gradually decelerate after Sept: Report

Consumer price-led inflation is expected to gradually decelerate after September, helped by a fall in commodity prices and easing food inflation, analysts said

Next budget will have to be carefully structured to maintain growth: FM

The next annual budget of India will have to be very carefully structured to sustain the country's growth momentum, Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Tuesday, noting that it will also address inflation concerns. Visiting Washington DC to attend the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, the finance minister was responding to a question on the next year's budget at a fire-side chat with eminent economist Eshwar Prasad at the prestigious Brookings Institute. Specifics (of the next budget) may be difficult at this stage because it's a bit too early. But broadly, the growth priorities will be kept absolutely on the top. Even as I speak about the concerns that inflation brings before me. So, inflation concerns will have to be addressed. But then how would you manage growth would be the natural question, Sitharaman said. India's next annual budget is scheduled to be presented by Sitharaman before the Parliament next February and preparations

Inflation may fall to 5.2% next fiscal on normal rains, supply ease: Report

Persistently high inflation remains a key policy concern for the Reserve Bank, which has raised rates aggressively so far this year, but the pressure might ease next fiscal assuming normal rains and further normalisation of global supply chains without any exogenous shocks, according to an RBI report. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) expects retail inflation to come under control at 5.2 per cent in the next financial year beginning April, down from 6.7 per cent it has forecast for the current year. "For 2023-24, assuming a normal monsoon, a progressive normalisation of supply chains, and no further exogenous or policy shocks, structural model estimates indicate that inflation will average 5.2 per cent," RBI said in its 'Monetary Policy Report September 2022'. The central bank is mandated to keep retail inflation in a range of 2-6 per cent. However, inflation has been above the RBI's upper tolerance level since January 2022 mainly due to adverse supply shocks amid geopolitical tensio

RBI repo rate hike to manage growth-inflation dynamics, say bankers

Bankers welcomed the 50 bps hike in the repo rate by RBI on Friday, saying the move helps manage the growth and inflation dynamics as such a gradualistic approach is welcome amid rising global uncertainty. Bankers are of the view that a cautious monetary policy will help better address the risks of rising instability in the global economic and financial environment. SBI Chairman Dinesh Khara opined that the monetary policy statement, which was on expected lines, is a nudge to stay nimble and agile in a volatile global environment. Considering the evolving macroeconomic developments domestically and across the globe, the 50 bps repo hike is on expected lines, said A K Goel, chairman of the Indian Banks Association. He, however, was quick to note that considering the headwinds from the geopolitical tensions and tightening of the global financial conditions, there is risk to our external sector, especially exports. Goel, who is also the managing director of Punjab National Bank, ...

How is the Indian economy really doing?

All the heady optimism has overlooked the vulnerable state of the macro-economy. Caution, not complacency, is the more appropriate sentiment for now

RBI's rate setting panel starts deliberations; decision on Friday

The Reserve Bank's rate-setting panel on Wednesday started deliberations on the keenly awaited monetary policy amidst expectation of 50 basis points hike in interest rate to check inflation and improve foreign capital inflow to arrest declining value of rupee against the US dollar. The decision of RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das headed six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will be announced on September 30. The government has tasked the central bank to ensure the consumer price index (CPI) remains at 4 per cent with a margin of 2 per cent on either side, but retail inflation has stubbornly stayed above the RBI's comfort zone since January. As per the latest data, the inflation was at 7 per cent in August. While inflation remains high, the Indian rupee is sliding sharply, the US dollar and was currently trading near 82 against the greenback. The rupee depreciation has hastened following the US Fed raising their interest rate thrice by 75 basis point each in the recent past. Other