Lula unexpectedly lost the overall state of Sao Paulo to Jair Bolsonaro by almost seven percentage points, a defeat that has Lula's team scrambling to shore up support before the Oct. 30 showdown
A sharp left-right dichotomy is a common way to think about the stakes in the runoff poll on Oct. 30. Still, as with the candidates' economic platforms, their forest policies have a lot more in common
Most polls have shown Lula with a solid lead for months, but Bolsonaro has signaled he may refuse to accept defeat, stoking fears of institutional crisis or post-election violence
Lula was found guilty last year of taking a luxury apartment as a bribe from a construction company