Page 3 - Moody's

World Bank's triple-A rating threatened if Trump pulls support: Moody's

Last week, Trump signed an Executive Order to review US government support to all international intergovernmental organisations of which it is a member and to withdraw from some UN organisations

No immediate upgrade of India's sovereign rating: Moody's after Budget 2025

Moody's Ratings has ruled out an immediate upgrade of India's sovereign rating, despite the government's efforts to manage its finances prudently and the proposal to reduce fiscal deficit to 4.4 per cent of GDP in FY26 in the Budget. "While we view the government's sustained fiscal discipline and narrower fiscal deficits as credit positive, we don't expect these improvements in the debt burden or 'debt affordability' to be enough to trigger a sovereign rating upgrade at this time," Christian de Guzman, Senior Vice President, Moody's Ratings, told PTI in an interview on Saturday. Moody's currently maintains India's sovereign rating at "Baa3" with a stable outlook, which is the lowest investment-grade rating. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, in her Budget speech, projected the fiscal deficit for FY25 at 4.8 per cent of GDP and 4.4 per cent for FY26. While India is making strides toward fiscal discipline and inflation control, Moody's maintains that for a rating upgrade, a ...

India needs fiscal policy changes for 6.4% GDP growth rate in 2025: Moody's

India needs to change its fiscal and monetary policy to achieve a 6.4 per cent GDP growth in 2025 amid a weak rupee, declining foreign investment and volatile inflation, Moody's Analytics said on Wednesday. Moody's Analytics said it expects the 2025-26 Union Budget to support domestic demand, particularly investment while aiming for a fiscal deficit of less than 4.5 per cent of GDP for the next fiscal. In 2023-24, the fiscal deficit was 5.6 per cent of GDP, which is estimated to come down to 4.9 per cent in the current fiscal. "India is facing a bumpy road in 2025. A weakening rupee, declining foreign investment, and volatile inflation are the areas of greatest economic risk. Changes in fiscal and monetary policy, likely in the first half of the year, is needed if India is to achieve 6.4 per cent growth," Moody's Analytics Associate Economist Aditi Raman said. Moody's said that while India had one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia in 2024, GDP growth waned over the first thr

Rupee fell 20% in last 5 yrs, weakest currency in Southeast Asia: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Thursday said the Indian rupee has depreciated by around 5 per cent in the last two years and has fallen by 20 per cent in the last five years making it one of the weakest performing currencies in South and South East Asia. Of the 23 rated Indian companies, Moody's assessed only six to be exposed to the effects of dollar strength, but these companies have sufficient mitigating factors. These companies are the three oil refining and marketing companies (OMCs), Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) and Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), building materials producer UltraTech Cement, Bharti Airtel and ride sharing company ANI Technologies Pvt Ltd. "While the rupee has depreciated by only around 5 per cent in the last two years, it has fallen over 20 per cent since January 2020, making it one of the weakest-performing currencies in South and Southeast Asia," Moody's said in its report on Corporates '? South and Southeast Asia Emerging

India's fiscal conditions to constrain credit strength in 2025: Moody's

India's fiscal conditions will continue to constrain its credit strength in 2025, although tension in US-China relations could benefit the Indian economy, Moody's Ratings said on Wednesday. In its report on Asia Pacific Sovereigns, Moody's Ratings said growth and inflation are levelling out, with strong domestic demand bolstered by modest easing in global and regional financial conditions. But proposed trade restrictions by the US would weaken economic output across the region. "India's fiscal conditions will continue to constrain its credit strength in 2025. We expect only gradual fiscal consolidation, and debt to remain significantly higher than the Baa-rated peer median of around 57 per cent," Moody's said. "Despite gains in revenue in recent years, we also expect debt affordability to remain much weaker than rated peers," it added. It said politics and social unrest pose significant economic and fiscal risks. In APAC, geopolitical risks will persist in 2025, flowing from tensi

Moody's Ratings cut France's credit grade, heaps pressure on new govt

In an unscheduled change, Moody's lowered its assessment of the euro area's second-biggest economy to Aa3 from Aa2, three levels below the maximum rating

Moody's upgrades Oyo parent Oravel Stays rating; maintains stable outlook

Moody's Ratings has upgraded the corporate family rating (CFR) of Oravel Stays Limited -- travel tech platform OYO's parent firm -- and the rating on the senior secured term loan issued by its wholly-owned subsidiary OYO Singapore to B2 from B3, and maintained the stable outlook. In a statement on Wednesday, Moody's said it has assigned a B2 rating to the USD 825 million senior secured term loan facility to be availed by Oravel Stays Singapore Pte. (OYO Singapore). The term loan is fully underwritten by Deutsche Bank. Elaborating upon the rating rationale, Moody's said OYO is in the process of securing a new five-year USD 825 million term loan, which together with the USD 174 million of primary equity capital raised between June and August 2024, will be used to repay its existing TLB that matures in June 2026, easing its refinancing pressures. The proceeds will also fund the company's proposed USD 525-million acquisition of US-based hotel chain Motel 6. OYO's interest expense will

Moody's upgrades Oyo's rating to B2, highlights improved profitability

Proposed term loan to reduce refinancing risk

Moody's and Fitch take rating action against Adani group companies

The rating action by Moody's, Fitch, and earlier S&P Global may weaken the group's access to external funding and increase its capital costs

Moody's says Indian economy in 'sweet spot,' predicts 2024 growth of 7.2%

India's real GDP expanded 6.7 per cent year-on-year in the June quarter of 2024, driven by a revival in household consumption, robust investment, and strong manufacturing activity

Slowing Indian economy to drag APAC's growth in 2025: Moody's Analytics

S&P expects RBI to cut rates next month

Moody's maintains stable outlook for Tata Steel, expects improved earnings

Moody's Rating on Wednesday said it has maintained a stable outlook on Tata Steel, expecting the domestic steel major to improve its earnings over the next two financial years. In a report, Moody's said it expects Tata Steel's consolidated EBITDA to be around Rs 290 billion in fiscal ending March 2025 and Rs 380 billion in fiscal 2026, from Rs 241 billion in 2023-24. "The rating affirmation and stable outlook reflect our expectation that the structural improvement in Tata Steel's earnings over the next two years will mitigate the risks associated with new state taxes on mining activities in India and developments at its operations in Europe, amid challenges in the broader steel sector," Hui Ting Sim, a Moody's Ratings Assistant Vice President and Analyst, said. Its forecast assumes that Tata Steel's India operations will generate EBITDA per tonne of Rs 14,700-Rs 15,300 in FY25 and FY26 before state mining taxes, which aligns with the company's 8-year average earnings. Further, the

Moody's, S&P doubt of Boeing hitting year-end production targets in 2024

Boeing slowed output so it could improve production quality, but the decline in output and deliveries has taken a toll on cash flow

Credit rating agencies upbeat on India's fiscal consolidation plan

Moody's Ratings notes that the Budget is credit positive

India to remain fastest growing Asia-Pacific economy, says Moody's

The report also noted that India, Indonesia, and the Philippines were the key growth outperformers in the first half of the year 2024

Coalition may slow decision making: Moody's Analytics on election results

Moody's Analytics said that the reduced political stability and the need for consensus building that is inherent with a coalition government, might erode investor confidence in the near term

Passing major reforms may prove difficult for next govt: Rating agencies

Rating agencies, such as Fitch and Moody's, said broad policy continuity may persist

Moody's tops quarterly profit estimates on back of strong product demand

Moody's Investors Service revenue grew 35%, fueled by improved market conditions and opportunistic activity which drove strong issuance across multiple asset classes, said CFO Noemie Heuland

Moody's revises India's GPD growth forecast to around 8% for FY24

Operating environment for Indian banks to improve in 2024, says Moody's

Moody's affirms 'Ba3' rating to Tata Motors, positive outlook post demerger

Rating agency Moody's on Wednesday said it has affirmed Tata Motors' Ba3 corporate family rating while maintaining a positive outlook on all ratings. Concurrently, Moody's has also affirmed Tata Motors Ltd's (TML) Ba3 senior unsecured instrument ratings, Moody's Investors Service said in a statement. As per Moody's obligations rated 'Ba' are judged to have speculative elements and are subject to substantial credit risk with the modifier 3 indicating a ranking in the lower end of that generic rating category. "Moody's has also maintained a positive outlook on all ratings," it added. The rating affirmation follows TML's announcement earlier this week that its board of directors have agreed in principle the demerger of its operations into two separate listed companies for commercial vehicles (CVs) and passenger vehicles (PVs), respectively, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, it said. "While the demerger would result in TML's remaining operations comprising only CVs, the