Page 7 - Recession

Technical recession has become more likely, says European Central Bank

The European Central Bank sees an increased likelihood of a recession in the 19 countries that use the euro currency, warning that soaring energy prices and high inflation fed by Russia's war in Ukraine have raised risks for bank losses and turmoil on financial markets. People and firms are already feeling the impact of rising inflation and the slowdown in economic activity, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said. As the bank released its twice-yearly assessment of eurozone financial stability on Wednesday, de Guindos said that "risks to financial stability have increased, while a technical recession in the euro area has become more likely. A chart published with the report indicated an 80 per cent chance of recession in the eurozone and United Kingdom in the year ahead and a 60 per cent probability in the US. Many economists and the European Union's executive Commission have already predicted a technical recession for the last three months of year and the first part of next year

What's worrying S Naren when it comes to equity markets?

Fear of recession is forcing tech giants to tighten their purse strings. But, markets back home look unperturbed by it. What does S Naren, Executive Director and CIO at ICICI Pru AMC, think of this?

Most European Union countries set to slide into recession in Q4: Gentiloni

The European Commission's autumn forecast predicted falling economic output in the last three months of this year and the first months of 2023

Recession, climate change, Ukraine war: Kant lists challenges before G20

The former Niti Aayog chief executive said that climate change was another big crisis that the world faced, impacting larger nations, as well as threatening to submerge smaller island nations

Austrian theory of business cycle is key to explain upcoming Recession

One reason the current economic situation is so fraught is that world is facing 3 kinds of business-cycle mechanisms at the same time. First 2 are well-known, but the third - Austrian theory is not

India in a sweet spot despite global fears of recession: IDFC AMC CEO

'Conditions are ripe for a private capital expenditure cycle over the next few years'

Bank of England warns of longest recession in 100 yrs after 3% rate hike

A 0.75 per cent increase, the latest in a series of eight interest rate rises since last year, would not be enough to guarantee victory in the war against double-digit inflation: Bank of England

Canadian govt warns that the country might enter mild recession in 2023

The Department of Finance has developed a "downside scenario" that considers the impact of more persistent inflationary pressures and further tightening in monetary policy

Bank of England raises rates by most since 1989 even as recession looms

Central bank raises bank rate to 3% from 2.25%

Clock ticking for private equity firms to spend through tougher times

The shift is profound for an asset class that for more than a decade was flooded with cash from investors hunting yield in a low-interest rate environment

UK in recession? Feels pinch of biggest interest rate hikes in 33 years

Economists and investors expect the UK central bank to raise its benchmark lending rate by three-quarters of a percentage point to 3 per cent on November 3

What long-term stagnation of global economy means for climate change

The global economy has been trapped in a state of relative stagnation in rates of growth, productivity, investment, and profitability since at least the 2008 financial crisis

Crypto wrap: Markets rally on expectation of softer stance from US Fed

Bitcoin crossed the $ 20,000 mark, and Ethereum was above the $ 1,500 mark for the first time since it concluded "Merge" in September

Apple's revenue, profit up despite slowing economy; not immune to recession

Apple managed to boost both its sales and profit during a summertime quarter that depressed the fortunes of most other major tech companies, but that doesn't necessarily mean the iPhone maker will be immune to a potential recession. Even though Apple fared reasonably well, the July-September results released Thursday signalled that the world's most valuable company is facing some of the same economic headwinds that hammered the profits of Microsoft and the corporate parents of both Google and Facebook. Apple's fiscal fourth quarter revenue rose 8% from the same time last year to $90.1 billion. That was an improvement from the scant 2% uptick in revenue during its April-June quarter when supply problems caused by pandemic-related factory shutdowns dinged its sales. The Cupertino, California, company's profit for the most recent quarter totalled $20.72 billion, or $1.29 per share, up by less than 1% from the same time last year. Both the revenue and earnings per share were slightly

Global economy approaching a recession, central banks unchained: Poll

The global economy is approaching a recession as economists cut growth forecasts for key economies while central banks keep raising interest rates to bring down persistently-high inflation

Embassy REIT to invest Rs 2,200 cr in 4 yrs to develop new office buildings

Embassy Office Parks REIT will invest around Rs 2,200 crore in the next four years to develop premium workspaces as it sees tremendous growth potential in office market despite global recessionary concerns, its CEO Vikaash Khdloya said. In an interview with PTI, he said the office demand in India would remain strong as large global companies want to open offices in India because of the huge availability of a cost-efficient talent pool and cheap rentals for premium workspaces. This trend would only strengthen amid global recessionary fears, which will lead to increased outsourcing of work to India, Khdloya said. Bengaluru, which is its core market with a significant presence, is leading the resurgence of India's office market that suffered a setback during the COVID pandemic, he added. Embassy Office Parks REIT is India's first Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) sponsored by global investment firm Blackstone and Bengaluru-based realty firm Embassy group. It has a completed portfoli

Recession could last until 2024, says Musk after remark on China, Europe

Tesla CEO said he thinks a recession will last until the spring of 2024, after earlier saying "a recession of sorts" in China and Europe was weighing on demand for its electric cars

Bearish bets on Asian FX stay firm on towering dollar, slowdown fears: Poll

Bearish bets on Asian currencies stayed firm due to the unrelenting strength of the US dollar, as ultra-hawkish posturing by most central banks globally stoked fears of recession, a poll showed

Global copper market to have a surplus of 155,000 tonnes in 2023, says ICSG

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was trading around $7,363 a tonne on Wednesday having declined more than 30% on growing recession fears since scaling a record peak of $10,845 in March

66% CEOs in India expect recession in 2023; layoffs on the cards

Eighty-six per cent CEOs in India, compared to 71 per cent CEOs globally, predict that a recession will impact company earnings by up to 10 per cent over the next 12 months.