The WPI-based inflation rate has been in the negative for the sixth consecutive month since April
US wholesale prices rose last month at the fastest pace since April, suggesting that inflationary pressures remain despite a year and a half of higher interest rates. The Labour Department reported on Wednesday that its producer price index which measures inflation before it hits consumers climbed 2.2 per cent from a year earlier. That was up from a 2 per cent uptick in August. On a month-to-month basis, producer prices rose 0.5 per cent from August to September, down from 0.7 per cent from July to August. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation rose 2.7 per cent in September from a year earlier and 0.3 per cent from August. The Federal Reserve and many outside economists pay particular attention to core prices as a good signal of where inflation might be headed. Wholesale prices have been rising more slowly than consumer prices, raising hopes that inflation may continue to ease as producer costs make their way to the consumer. But Wednesday's numbers,
WPI-based inflation is in the negative territory for the fifth month in a row
Having touched 15-month high of 7.4 per cent in July, retail inflation is expected to remain elevated in August as well, due to rising prices of cereals, sources said. The August inflation print is scheduled to be announced on September 12. However, sources said, it is expected to start moderating from September onwards due to fall in prices of vegetables like tomatoes, restrictions imposed on the export of non-basmati rice and cut in the prices of domestic LPG cylinders. Last week, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das also said that the central bank expects inflation to moderate from September onwards. "We expect overall inflation to start moderating from September onwards. August inflation will be again very high, but we expect from September onwards inflation to go down," he had said. Das had said that prices of tomatoes have already fallen and retail prices of other vegetables are also expected to come down from this month. The RBI Governor had said that the government has taken seve
Abheek Barua said that the Indian economy is expected to grow at 4.4% in the quarter ended March 31
WPI declines to 34-month low of -0.92% on the back of high base effect
The credit growth momentum is waning in the country and the crucial non-food loans growth is expected to slip to 10 per cent in FY24 from more than 15 per cent in FY23, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. Ebbing inflationary pressures, especially on the wholesale side which tends to lower working capital needs, and a likely moderation in GDP growth to 5.3 per cent in FY24 were cited as the primary reasons for the lower bank credit growth expectation by Nomura. " we expect credit growth to moderate to 10 per cent in FY24 from 15 per cent in FY23," analysts at the brokerage said in a report, adding that the base effect will also be partly responsible for driving the number down. They also said the rate hikes of more than 2.50 per cent by RBI in the current tightening cycle will impact credit growth through a lagged impact on borrowings, and already, there are some signs of a dent on the home loan front. The credit growth momentum is already moderating, the brokerage said, pointing o
Inflation's grip on businesses loosened greatly in March, raising hopes that companies and consumers will suffer less from high prices as 2023 rolls on. The U.S. government said plunging energy prices pulled the producer price index down 0.5% in March from February. It marks the biggest decrease in producer prices in three years and follows other reports showing easing inflation on broader consumer prices. Producer prices, also known as wholesale costs, track prices in the production process before they reach the consumer. As a result, the producer price index can provide early signs of where inflation is headed. Some producer price data is also used in the construction of the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, and so the decline in producer prices means the Fed's preferred index may also decline or come in very low when it is reported next week. Lower prices paid by businesses on raw materials and other items means they are less likely to raise prices in the month
Earlier on Monday, the government data showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation was at 6.44% in February
The price fall is mainly attributed to a fall in food prices, especially vegetables
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Retail inflation for industrial workers eased to 5.41 per cent in November compared to 6.08 per cent in October this year mainly due lower prices of certain food items. "Year-on-year inflation for the month stood at 5.41 per cent compared to 6.08 per cent for the previous month (October 2022) and 4.84 per cent during the corresponding month (November 2021) a year before," a Labour Bureau statement said. Food inflation stood at 4.30 per cent in November 2022 against 6.52 per cent of the previous month (October 2022) and 3.40 per cent during the corresponding month (November 2021) a year ago. The All-India CPI-IW (Consumer Price Index-Industrial Workers for November, 2022 remained stationary at 132.5 points compared to October 2022. The maximum upward pressure in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing 0.21 percentage points to the total change. At item level, wheat, wheat atta, buffalo milk, cow milk, dairy milk, eggs hen, sunflower oil, onion, chillies dry, cooked
Fruits and vegetables, protein-rich items such as eggs, meat and fish drag down prices; Core inflation eases for seventh consecutive month to 3.5%
Japan's November wholesale prices rose 9.3% from a year earlier, data showed, a rate of increase that was almost unchanged from the previous month and showed initial signs of an inflation peak
Wholesale prices in the United States rose 7.4 per cent in November from a year earlier, a fifth straight slowdown and a hopeful sign that inflation pressures across the economy are continuing to cool. The latest year-over-year figure was down from 8 per cent in October and from a recent peak of 11.7 per cent in March. On a monthly basis, the government said Friday that its producer price index, which measures costs before they reach consumers, rose 0.3 per cent from October to November for the third straight month. Rising prices are still straining Americans' finances, particularly for food, rent and services such as haircuts, medical care and restaurant meals. Yet several emerging trends have combined to slow inflation from the four-decade peak it reached during the summer. Gas prices have tumbled after topping out at USD 5 a gallon in June. Nationally, they averaged USD 3.33 a gallon Thursday, according to AAA, just below their average a year ago. And the supply chain snarls tha
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It is hard to square the picture painted by the different indicators with the RBI's 7% full-year growth forecast. The World Bank's revised forecast of 6.5% may be closer to the mark, writes T N Ninan
However, this is the 17th consecutive month since April 2021 that the factory-gate inflation has remained in the double digit, primarily driven by rising energy and food prices
June WPI inflation of 15.18 per cent comes on the back of a high base of 12.07 per cent for the same month in 2021
Economists expect 40-50 bps hike in repo rate by MPC next month