Monsoon is likely to arrive in Kerala on June 4, three days after its normal onset date, marking the official commencement of the rainy season in the country, private weather forecaster Skymet said Tuesday.
"Arrival of monsoon over Andaman and Nicobar Islands will be on May 22, with an error margin of plus/minus 2 days. Southwest Monsoon 2019 is likely to make onset over Kerala on June 4, with an error margin of plus/minus 2 days.
"All the four regions are going to witness lesser than normal rainfall, this season. Rainfall in East and Northeast India and central parts will be poorer than Northwest India and South Peninsula," Singh said.
According to Skymet, there are 55 per cent chances of a below normal rainfall, which will have an influence of El Nino, a phenomenon linked to the heating of Pacific waters.
Risk remains high for Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal, while it will be marginal for Northeast India, Skymet said.
Northwest India that comprises all north Indian states will receive 96 per cent rainfall of the LPA, which falls on the border line of normal and below normal rainfall category.
This is likely to aggravate the situation as Marathwada and several parts of Gujarat been facing farm distress and drought like situation.
Conditions will be more or less similar in South peninsula.
(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)