Madan Sabnavis, Chief economist at CARE Ratings
Madan Sabnavis, Chief economist at CARE Ratings
The policy remains open-ended on the future possibility of rate cut, which sounds reasonable given that the future course of inflation is hard to gauge
Union Budget 2024-25 news: There has been some comfort provided to individuals who opt for the new income tax scheme as there is some rationalisation across the slabs
There are five issues that have been brought up in the Survey which requires discussion
Given the strong platform already constructed by the present government, it would require more fine tuning measures to take the economy ahead
Reserve Bank of India will have to continue to monitor the movements and be nimble to spot volatility in both directions and intervene selectively to reduce excess noise
The monthly per capita expenditure data points to shifts in consumption, but it should not be used for reconfiguring the Consumer Price Index
Budget 2023 has more or less maintained the ratio of size of the budget to GDP to around 15 per cent.
The Economic Survey 2023-24 is assuring and it affirms that we have completely regained lost ground, says Madan Sabnavis
Banks were challenged in 2022 by the sluggish growth in deposits, which have not kept pace with credit. One reason is that deposits, unlike debt mutual funds, do not offer any tax breaks
The rupee has been one of the best performing currencies and the RBI will be setting the goal post by its actions
While the impact on other currencies has been sharp with most of them depreciating, the rupee has done well, being somewhere in the middle
The efficacy of the central bank's steps will be seen in the coming days
The MPC pitched for a high number of 50 bps, which is significant because if combined with the inflation forecast, it indicates that more hikes are coming
The rate hike was expected in June, but clearly the central bank sees inflation path as being quite ominous to trigger such an action.
The monetary policy committee (MPC) has sprung some surprises even though the repo rate has been kept unchanged.
The share of consumption and government expenditure has come down in FY22, which is reflective of the economy not yet being fully back on track
While it is true that institutions are more important than the person, ideology and approach of Governors of central banks are important
There will not be any shock to the market, with the calendar being drawn out.
Having several routes for NPA resolution has both advantages and disadvantages as the decision will finally be taken by the banks
These growth numbers will moderate going ahead, as the base effect becomes weaker provided there are no further lockdowns