Page 4 - Economy Growth Forecast

India must grow at 8% to bring transformational changes for people: Summers

India has the potential and should aim to grow at 8 per cent annually to bring about transformative changes in the lives of millions of people by around 2050, said noted economist and former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers here on Saturday. India's GDP growth in 2022-23 was 7.2 per cent as against 9.1 per cent in 2021-22. According to the Reserve Bank of India's projections, India's GDP will likely grow 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal year. Summers clarified that 8 per cent growth was not his forecast on the basis of current policy, but added, "given India's potential, even in a more challenging world economy, I believe that it is an imaginable goal. "...an eightfold expansion in the economy is transformative in the lives of hundreds of millions of people. I think it is something to target as India defines its greatness in this next century." In his lecture on 'The World is on Fire', organised by the CII in partnership with Department of Economic Affairs (DEA), the eminent .

India Ratings revises GDP growth estimate for FY24 to 6.2% from 5.9%

India Ratings and Research on Wednesday upwardly revised its FY24 real GDP growth estimate to 6.2 per cent from the 5.9 per cent expected earlier. The domestic ratings agency attributed its revision to a variety of factors, including the government's capital expenditure, deleveraged balance sheets of India Inc and banks, subdued global commodity prices and the prospect of private capital expenditure picking up. India Ratings, however, also flagged some constraints on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the current fiscal year before the general elections, including a slip in global growth, which has hit Indian exports, tighter financial conditions upping cost of capital domestically, a deficit monsoon, and tepid manufacturing growth. "All these risks will continue to weigh and restrict India's GDP growth to 6.2 per cent in FY24, and the quarterly GDP growth, which came in at 7.8 per cent in the June quarter, is slated to slow down sequentially in the remaining three quarters of .

Goldman Sachs raises India's growth forecast this year by 30 bps

"In YoY terms, our Q2-Q4 CY23 GDP growth forecast is 6.5 per cent, 5.9 per cent, and 8.1 per cent, respectively"

Downside risks weigh on GDP growth forecast, says finance ministry

Report flags El Nino conditions, rising crude prices

States may fall short of spending targets, posing growth risk: Economists

The states - including Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh and Gujarat - are estimating expenditure to have risen 21.5% in 2022-23, and plan to increase it further by 11% in 2023-24

S&P keeps India's economic growth forecast unchanged at 6% in FY24

S&P Global Ratings on Monday kept its forecast for India's economic growth unchanged at 6 per cent in the fiscal year starting April 1, before rising to 6.9 per cent in the following year. In the quarterly economic update for Asia-Pacific, S&P saw inflation rate easing to 5 per cent in 2023-24 fiscal, from 6.8 per cent in the current financial year. It saw India's gross domestic product (GDP) likely growing by 7 per cent in the current financial year ending March 31 (2022-23), before slowing to 6 per cent in the next 2023-24 fiscal. "India leads, with average growth of 7 per cent in 2024-2026," the update said. GDP is projected to rise to 6.9 per cent in the following two financial years -- 2024-25 and 2025-26 and rising to 7.1 per cent in 2026-27. "In India, domestic demand has traditionally led the economy. But it has become more sensitive to the global cycle lately, in part due to rising commodity exports; and its year-on-year GDP growth slowed to 4.4 per cent in the fourth

India will have exponential growth in next 25 years, says IPM India MD

/ -- India became the fifth largest economy of the world, overtaking the UK and is set to become the third largest by 2029. According to the IMF (International Monetary Fund), India is expected to leap further ahead of the UK up to 2027 - making it the fourth largest economy by that time. The recent geo-political re-alignments coupled with global supply chain issues provide an opportunity for the country to become a global manufacturing hub. Organizations are focusing on de-risking their supply chain dependencies and are exploring newer markets to bolster their manufacturing capabilities. This shift creates a conducive environment for India, which is the most suited candidate to establish itself as the next best destination owing to its strategic geographical location, infrastructure and skilled workforce. Sharing his views, Alexander Reisch, Managing Director, IPM India,opined, "India is poised to become the preferred destination for manufacturing and is paving its way to becoming a

Jordan's economy expected to grow by 2.7% in 2023: Finance minister

Jordan's Finance Minister Mohammad al-Ississ said the country's economy is expected to grow by 2.7 per cent in 2023

Worsening global outlook: ADB lowers growth forecast for developing Asia

Asian Development Bank has lowered its economic growth forecasts for developing Asia and the Pacific amid a worsened global outlook

S&P Global Ratings lowers India's FY23 GDP growth forecast to 7%

Says domestic demand recovery will support growth

Global economic growth to be as weak next year as 2009, forecasts IIF

The world economy will be as weak next year as it was in 2009 after the financial crisis as the conflict in Ukraine risks becoming a "forever war," the Institute of International Finance said

GDP growth may have beaten MPC estimate of 6.3% in Q2, say most economists

The GDP numbers for the second quarter of the current financial year are scheduled to be out by this month end

Goldman sees India's growth slowing in 2023 as post-pandemic benefits fade

Gross domestic product may expand by 5.9% in calendar year 2023 from an estimated 6.9% this year

Indian economy's slow-but-steady activity awaits festive season boost

India's economy showed signs of slowing-but-steady growth last month, with businesses holding on to optimism that domestic demand will revive as the peak shopping season approaches

Capex on new projects declines further in Q2 amid higher borrowing costs

Higher global borrowing costs are expected to affect growth prospects

OECD, S&P keep India's economic growth forecasts unchanged for FY23

S&P noted that India's domestic recovery from Covid-19 would continue to support growth in FY23

Growth on strong footing, further tightening needed: RBI report

On the exchange rate, the report said the rupee was holding its poise, with adequate supplies of dollars

Can India's GDP grow 7% annually over 25 yrs? Data suggests it's tough

India has seen GDP growth of 7% or more for five straight years only once in the past 30 years

SBI slashes India's FY23 growth forecast to 6.8% on way-below Q1 numbers

Chief economist at State Bank of India has revised downward the full-year growth forecast to a low 6.8 per cent from 7.5 per cent earlier for FY2023, citing "the way below GDP numbers for the first quarter". The National Statistical Office on Wednesday released the Q1 growth numbers which showed a consensus growth of 13.5 per cent, pulled down by the poor show of the manufacturing sector, which reported a paltry 4.8 per cent expansion in the first three months of FY23, negating the robust show by the services sector. Consensus forecast was 15-16.7 per cent of which the RBI made the highest forecast of 16.7 per cent. SBI group chief economic adviser Soumya Kanti Ghosh had also forecast a 15.7 per cent growth for the first quarter. The economy from the gross value added (GVA) also fared much lower than forecast, logging in only 12.7 per cent. At 13.5 per cent, real GDP growth has declined by 9.6 per cent sequentially, but the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth series shows pick-up

ADB slashes India growth forecast to 7.2% for FY23, sees higher inflation

Private investment will soften due to higher cost of borrowing for firms, says development bank's outlook