India needs medium-term targets
For the first time, the government has rolled out a package to raise the long-term employability of the country's youth and incentivise their hiring by corporates
Finance Secretary said the figure of 3% for fiscal deficit does not take into account the specific dynamics of a fast growing economy like India
Arunachal Pradesh Deputy Chief Minister Chowna Mein on Wednesday presented a Rs 993.08-crore deficit budget for 2024-25, focusing on infrastructure, urban development and healthy human resource. Mein, who also holds the Finance, Planning and Investment portfolios, said the budget estimate is pegged at Rs 35,840.79 crore, a 20.85-per cent increase over the 2023-24 figure. Our vision is people-centric and progressive... We are committed to fulfill the aspirations of every person, especially our youth, women and farmers. Staying on this trajectory, by the time we complete the third term in government, there should be no development gaps in the state. We shall be guided by the transformative idea of Viksit Bharat, Viksit Arunachal' as envisioned by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Mein said. The deputy chief minister said the share of central taxes for the 2024-25 budget has been pegged at Rs 21,431.59 crore, an increase of 19.42 per cent over the 2023-24 estimate.
The federal budget released Tuesday targeted a smaller fiscal deficit for this year on the back of a record dividend from the Reserve Bank of India
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This is 20 basis points lower than 5.1 per cent announced in the interim budget
Government is expected to reduce its deficit target slightly from the 5.1 per cent of gross domestic product projected before the elections
Expectations (as measured by pre-budget equity market performance), wrote analysts at Morgan Stanley in a note, are important in determining what the market does immediately after the budget
The current government, right from 2014, has shown an inclination to maintain fiscal discipline, he says
The economists said the fiscal deficit target for 2024-25 could be slightly lowered, from the 5.1 per cent estimate laid out in the Interim Budget earlier this year
Government intervention during the pandemic seemed conscious of the fact that India's fiscal position was not very strong at the beginning of the crisis
The government is likely to lower fiscal deficit to 4.9-5 per cent of the GDP for this financial year in the upcoming Budget aided by revenue buoyancy. The government had pegged the fiscal deficit estimate at 5.1 per cent for the current fiscal year when it presented the interim Budget in February. "The union government is likely to set a fiscal deficit target at 4.9-5 per cent, lower than projected 5.1 per cent of GDP, without compromising the capital expenditure target of Rs 11.1 lakh crore," ICRA Chief Economist Aditi Nayar told PTI. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present the full Budget on July 23. This will be her seventh Budget in a row. This budget aims to set the foundation for India's journey towards becoming a developed nation (Viksit Bharat) by 2047. The government achieved a fiscal deficit of 5.6 per cent of the GDP during the previous financial year. "There is also a high likelihood of reducing the net market borrowings for the current financial year by
Analysis of fiscal trends since 1991 reveals that full Budgets typically reduce fiscal and revenue deficits set in interim budgets, with notable exceptions during economic crises and major reforms
However, this path may not be as easy for the government to tread
The central government estimates to bring down fiscal deficit to 5.1 per cent of the GDP in the current fiscal, from 5.63 per cent in 2023-24
It added that the Centre is likely to retain the fiscal deficit target of 5.1 per cent for 2024-25 with a possibility of a downward revision of 10 basis points