Lowering the fiscal deficit to sustainable levels will be the biggest challenge for the government, but there are enough reasons for it to keep pedalling hard
The Central government's fiscal deficit is expected to narrow to 5.9 per cent of GDP in F2024 from 6.4 per cent in F2023, Morgan Stanley said in a report
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will keep on the path of fiscal consolidation and opt for narrowing the FY24 fiscal deficit to as low as 5.8 per cent in the upcoming Budget, analysts said Tuesday
Upcoming budget 2023 will be challenging for government to follow the roadmap for fiscal consolidation amidst a global environment of declining inflation, said top economist of State Bank of India
Nevertheless, as a proportion of GDP, fiscal deficit is expected to ease to 5.8 per cent from 6.4 per cent
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The upcoming pre-election Budget will carry forward the trend of the increased capital expenditure seen in recent years
Fiscal space should be used carefully
The government aims to shrink the gap to below 4.5% of GDP by 2025-26
The leeway to the government was given by the first Advance Estimates, which pegged GDP at current prices at Rs 273 trillion for 2022-23 as against Rs 258 trillion assumed by the FY23 Budget
Growth beyond 6% can happen, but there are constraints on both fiscal and monetary policy, which must focus on reducing the current account deficit, the fiscal deficit and inflation, writes T N Ninan
In fact, in November the fiscal deficit widened by Rs 2.2 trillion, the highest ever in any month this financial year
The government's fiscal deficit at the end of November touched 59 per cent of the full year budget estimate, according to data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) on Friday. In actual terms, the fiscal deficit -- the difference between expenditure and revenue -- was Rs 9,78,154 crore during the April-November period of 2022-23. In the corresponding period last year, the deficit was 46.2 per cent of the budget estimates of 2021-22. For 2022-23, the fiscal deficit of the government is estimated to be Rs 16.61 lakh crore or 6.4 per cent of the GDP.
From an adventurous start in 2019 to modest revenue projections last year, there has been a marked change in Ms Sitharaman's approach. T N Ninan looks at what can be expected in Budget 2023
'We'll bring inflation down further for the sake of common people', said FM Nirmala Sitharaman
Experts have requested FM Sitharaman for a cut in income tax rates, increase in expenditure, and fiscal consolidation
This means the government will stick to its fiscal consolidation road map, which envisages a deficit of 4.5 per cent of GDP by FY26
The central government is on track to meet its fiscal deficit target of 6.4 per cent of the GDP for 2022-23 on the back of strong growth in revenue collections, the World Bank said in its India Development Update on Tuesday. High nominal GDP growth in the first quarter supported strong growth in revenue collection, especially Goods and Services Tax (GST), despite tax cuts on fuel. Notwithstanding an increase in spending due to expanded fertilizer subsidies and food subsidies for vulnerable households in response to the commodity price shock, the government is on track to meet its FY22/23 fiscal deficit target of 6.4 per cent of GDP and the general government deficit is projected to decline to 9.6 per cent from 10.3 per cent in FY21/22 and 13.3 per cent in FY20/21. Public debt is also projected to decline to 84.3 per cent of GDP in FY'23, from a peak of 87.6 per cent in FY'21, it said. The central government's revenues increased by 9.5 per cent and spending by 12.2 per cent. As a .
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The net tax revenue budget estimate for FY23 was Rs 19.35 trillion; a boost of Rs 4.5 trillion would take the revised estimates to Rs 23.85 trillion