Page 3 - Gdp Forecast

Trump's tariff hike could shave 0.3 pp off India's GDP: Goldman Sachs

India condemns new 25% duty on exports; total levy now at 50%; analysts expect talks before August 27 deadline

'Lack of data': RBI keeps GDP forecast unchanged despite Trump's 25% tariff

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra says global uncertainties were already factored in previous growth forecasts and that RBI will continue to monitor macro conditions before revising projections

RBI lowers inflation forecast to 3.1% for FY26; growth outlook unchanged

August MPC: RBI cuts FY26 inflation forecast to 3.1% on easing food prices, favourable monsoon; growth outlook steady at 6.5%, CRR cut to begin in September

Deloitte projects India's FY26 growth at 6.4-6.7%, flags global risks

Deloitte India on Tuesday projected India's economic growth at 6.4-6.7 per cent in the current fiscal citing robust domestic fundamentals and expanding global opportunities. It, however, said that India must monitor its trade exposure and be prepared for the outcomes of geopolitical uncertainties Strategic trade negotiations, notably with the UK in May and the ongoing talks with the US, and the highly anticipated deal with the European Union by the end of the year, will likely act as powerful multipliers of income, jobs, market access, and domestic demand. India's economic growth was at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25. Deloitte projects 6.4-6.7 per cent growth for FY 202526, driven by resilient domestic demand, easing inflation, and a bold push in domestic policy and global trade diplomacy, it said in a statement. "India's economic trajectory stands out in a turbulent global landscape. Our momentum is driven by a virtuous trifecta, resilient capital markets, a dynamic consumer base and a

US goods trade deficit hits nearly two-year low as imports tumble

Imports of goods decreased $11.5 billion, or 4.2 per cent, to $264.2 billion, the lowest level since March 2024. The decline was led by a 12.4 per cent plunge in consumer goods imports

ADB lowers India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.5%, cites impact of US tariffs

The report said that despite these factors, India's economic activity remains robust, with domestic consumption set to grow strongly on the back of revival of rural demand

S&P ups India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.5% on resilient domestic demand

S&P Global Ratings raises India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.5%, citing normal monsoon, soft oil prices, tax reliefs and monetary easing as key drivers amid global headwinds

Geopolitical tensions not to put much pressure on rupee, inflation: S&P

The ongoing geopolitical tensions are unlikely to put a "significant pressure" on the rupee or inflation as global energy prices are lower than last year, which will limit current account outflows and domestic energy price pressures, S&P Global Ratings said on Tuesday. S&P Global Ratings Economist Vishrut Rana said a key mitigating factor of India is that energy prices are still lower than last year --? Brent crude oil traded at roughly USD 85/barrel a year ago and current prices are still lower. "This will help contain both current account outflows and domestic energy price pressures -- while energy prices may rise moderately, the path of food prices will have a higher impact on inflation. Overall, we do not expect significant pressure on the Indian rupee or inflation," Rana told PTI. Rates of the benchmark Brent crude fell to around USD 69 a barrel after US President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Iran have agreed to a "complete and total ceasefire". Israel and Iran .

S&P ups India's FY26 GDP outlook to 6.5% amid geopolitical instability

S&P raised India's FY26 growth forecast citing strong domestic demand, normal monsoon hopes, lower oil prices, and easing policy - reversing last month's downgrade over global risks

Are high oil prices always bad for market sentiment? No, suggests data

Even with oil prices ruling at $110 and $108/bbl in FY13 and FY14 respectively, the Nifty 50 managed to post a gain of 7.3 per cent and 18 per cent in each of these two fiscal years

18 growth arenas McKinsey says could fuel India's global rise by 2040

India's 18 future arenas - from EVs and semiconductors to AI and space - could drive 30% of its GDP growth by 2040, making the country a global hub for innovation, tech, and industrial leadership

RBI policy: MPC cuts repo rate by 50 bps to 5.5%, shifts stance to neutral

RBI Monetary Policy Committee maintained its GDP growth forecast for FY26 at 6.5%, lowered inflation forecast to 3.7%

UBS raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.4% after strong Q4 growth

UBS ups India's economic growth outlook on strong Q4 performance, rural demand rebound, easing trade tensions, and low oil prices

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura .

India's growth momentum to continue in Q1 of FY26: CEA Nageswaran

CEA Nageswaran says India may grow 6.3-6.8% in FY26, led by consumption and services exports, with momentum from Q4FY25 continuing into Q1FY26

India's economic growth to moderate in FY26 amid global headwinds: EY

While it will continue to be one of the world's fastest-growing economies, it may have to carefully balance monetary and fiscal policies to sustain its growth momentum

India GDP growth likely picked up in Q4 on strong rural spending: Poll

Without stronger domestic demand, GDP growth will continue to rely heavily on government spending, as it has for years

India beats Japan, now fourth-largest economy: NITI CEO Subrahmanyam

IMF projects India's GDP to cross Japan's in FY25; NITI Aayog chief says India will surpass Germany in 2.5-3 years to claim third-largest economy spot

T'gana aims 8% GDP share by 2047, urges metro cities task force: CM Reddy

Telangana Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy on Saturday said his government aims to contribute 8 per cent to the country's national gross domestic product (GDP) by 2047 and proposed creating a national task force to develop six major metropolitan cities. Reddy, speaking at the 10th governing council meeting of government think tank NITI Aayog chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, said Telangana was ready to lead efforts toward achieving "Viksit Bharat" (Developed India), the government's vision for the country's centenary of independence. The Congress-ruled state currently contributes about 2.5 per cent to India's GDP despite accounting for only 2.9 per cent of the population, Reddy said. "Telangana is ready to shoulder this responsibility and lead from the front in realising the national goal of Viksit Bharat 2047," he said, referring to India's target of becoming a developed nation with a USD 30-trillion economy by its independence centenary. Reddy proposed establishing a nationa

S&P Global Ratings cuts India's FY26 growth rate by 20 basis points to 6.3%

S&P cites US tariff shocks and rising global uncertainty as reasons for trimming India's FY26 growth projection to 6.3 per cent and FY27 estimate to 6.5 per cent