Page 3 - Gdp Forecast

S&P ups India's FY26 GDP outlook to 6.5% amid geopolitical instability

S&P raised India's FY26 growth forecast citing strong domestic demand, normal monsoon hopes, lower oil prices, and easing policy - reversing last month's downgrade over global risks

Are high oil prices always bad for market sentiment? No, suggests data

Even with oil prices ruling at $110 and $108/bbl in FY13 and FY14 respectively, the Nifty 50 managed to post a gain of 7.3 per cent and 18 per cent in each of these two fiscal years

18 growth arenas McKinsey says could fuel India's global rise by 2040

India's 18 future arenas - from EVs and semiconductors to AI and space - could drive 30% of its GDP growth by 2040, making the country a global hub for innovation, tech, and industrial leadership

RBI policy: MPC cuts repo rate by 50 bps to 5.5%, shifts stance to neutral

RBI Monetary Policy Committee maintained its GDP growth forecast for FY26 at 6.5%, lowered inflation forecast to 3.7%

UBS raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.4% after strong Q4 growth

UBS ups India's economic growth outlook on strong Q4 performance, rural demand rebound, easing trade tensions, and low oil prices

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura .

India's growth momentum to continue in Q1 of FY26: CEA Nageswaran

CEA Nageswaran says India may grow 6.3-6.8% in FY26, led by consumption and services exports, with momentum from Q4FY25 continuing into Q1FY26

India's economic growth to moderate in FY26 amid global headwinds: EY

While it will continue to be one of the world's fastest-growing economies, it may have to carefully balance monetary and fiscal policies to sustain its growth momentum

India GDP growth likely picked up in Q4 on strong rural spending: Poll

Without stronger domestic demand, GDP growth will continue to rely heavily on government spending, as it has for years

India beats Japan, now fourth-largest economy: NITI CEO Subrahmanyam

IMF projects India's GDP to cross Japan's in FY25; NITI Aayog chief says India will surpass Germany in 2.5-3 years to claim third-largest economy spot

T'gana aims 8% GDP share by 2047, urges metro cities task force: CM Reddy

Telangana Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy on Saturday said his government aims to contribute 8 per cent to the country's national gross domestic product (GDP) by 2047 and proposed creating a national task force to develop six major metropolitan cities. Reddy, speaking at the 10th governing council meeting of government think tank NITI Aayog chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, said Telangana was ready to lead efforts toward achieving "Viksit Bharat" (Developed India), the government's vision for the country's centenary of independence. The Congress-ruled state currently contributes about 2.5 per cent to India's GDP despite accounting for only 2.9 per cent of the population, Reddy said. "Telangana is ready to shoulder this responsibility and lead from the front in realising the national goal of Viksit Bharat 2047," he said, referring to India's target of becoming a developed nation with a USD 30-trillion economy by its independence centenary. Reddy proposed establishing a nationa

S&P Global Ratings cuts India's FY26 growth rate by 20 basis points to 6.3%

S&P cites US tariff shocks and rising global uncertainty as reasons for trimming India's FY26 growth projection to 6.3 per cent and FY27 estimate to 6.5 per cent

World Bank trims India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.3% amid uncertainty

Lowers South Asia's FY25 outlook and urges region's nations to carry out reforms and revenue mobilisation

India to remain fastest growing even as FY26 GDP forecast cut to 6.2-6.7%

Amid the ongoing tariff war and uncertainty over the US trade policy, international agencies have cut India's growth projections by up to 0.5 per cent for the current fiscal, though the country will continue to be the fastest growing major economy. India is expected to grow in the range of 6.2-6.7 per cent in the current fiscal, despite the possibility of the US economy slipping into recession, China's growth taking a heavy beating and globally, countries seeing slowing economic activity. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank have slashed India's growth projections for 2025-26 to 6.2 per cent and 6.3 per cent, respectively, citing uncertain global environment and high trade tensions. In January, the IMF and the World Bank had projected India to grow at 6.5 per cent and 6.7, respectively, in the current fiscal. The Indian economy is estimated to have grown 6.5 per cent in the last fiscal. As per the projections by the Reserve Bank of India, the country's economy

India amid global strain: Rate cut relief versus trade war challenges

The silver lining amid these growth concerns is the moderation in domestic inflation

Equity investors must factor in uncertainty as a permanent feature

Amid the global noise, India may well emerge as a relatively safe harbour and possibly a beneficiary in the long term as global supply chains readjust

India must watch out for GDP growth with third chance at doorstep

Having missed two chances to boost manufacturing, India can't afford to miss the third one now at its doorstep

ADB revises India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.7% amid US tariff risks

Risks could 'potentially be mitigated' by trade agreement between India and the US, it says in April outlook

RBI lowers FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% on global trade uncertainties

Inflation outlook for India improves on sharp decline in food prices and record wheat and pulse production

S&P cuts India's FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% amid global strains

S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday cut India's GDP growth projections to 6.5 per cent for the next fiscal as it expects that economies in the APAC region will feel the strain of rising US tariffs and pushback on globalisation. In its Economic Outlook for Asia-Pacific (APAC), S&P said despite these external strains, it expects domestic demand momentum to remain solid in most emerging-market economies. "India's GDP will grow 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, we expect. Our forecast is the same as the outcome for the previous fiscal year, but less than our earlier forecast of 6.7 per cent," S&P said. The forecast assumes that the upcoming monsoon season will be normal and that commodity- especially crude-- prices will be soft. Cooling food inflation, the tax benefits announced in the country's budget for the fiscal year ending March 2026, and lower borrowing costs will support discretionary consumption in India, S&P said. The global credit rating agency ...