Page 3 - India Gdp

Nomura forecasts India's GDP growth to slide from 6.5% to 6.2% in FY26

India's real GDP growth in FY26 will slide further to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25, a Japanese brokerage said on Monday. In a research report, Nomura said there is a "divergence" between the growth in GST collections and across other high-frequency growth indicators like auto sales and bank credit growth. As per the official data released last week, the real GDP growth came down to 6.5 per cent in FY25 from 9.2 per cent in FY24. The RBI sees growth sustaining at 6.5 per cent, the official data showed. "Our baseline view assumes GDP growth moderates to 6.2 per cent in FY26 from 6.5 per cent in FY25," Nomura said in its report. The Japanese brokerage revised its March 2026 Nifty target to 26,140 points, up from the previous level of 24,970 points, on the macroeconomic trends and also sought to temper concerns on valuations. "The Indian equity markets have been resilient in the recent past despite corporate earnings estimate cuts and global uncertainties," Nomura .

India fastest-growing economy for fourth year running: FM Sitharaman

FM highlights 7.4% Q4 GDP growth driven by industry, services and agri; calls for faith in India's abilities and urges reforms to eliminate corruption and ease regulation

India fastest growing economy for fourth consecutive year: FM Sitharaman

India has remained the fastest-growing major economy for the fourth straight year, driven by strong manufacturing, services, and farm sector growth, the finance minister said

India's GDP grows at 7.4% in Q4 FY25; full-year growth estimated at 6.5%

RBI had pegged the fourth quarter's GDP growth at 7.2%, and FY25 at 6.6%

Sunil Mittal urges industry to adopt 'India-first' focus on talent, R&D

Bharti Group Chairman Sunil Mittal on Thursday exhorted the industry to prioritise an 'India-first' approach, rising above individual or sectoral interests to contribute to nation-building as the telecom sector doyen advocated prioritising of talent dividend, stepping up R&D, trade reset and a collaborative framework between industry and government. Speaking at the CII Annual Business Summit 2025, Mittal also advised companies to emulate the 'Tata' mould of trust as he highlighted the respect commanded by the 'house of Tatas'. Citing the progress made towards trade pacts between India and key nations, Mittal exuded confidence that the government will safeguard industry's interests in trade agreements, but asserted at the same time, that it is important that the "industry and chambers don't ask for things which will make FTAs difficult". Stating that lakhs of crores are stuck in litigation around direct taxes, indirect taxes, and other regulatory matters, the industry stalwart said

India GDP growth likely picked up in Q4 on strong rural spending: Poll

Without stronger domestic demand, GDP growth will continue to rely heavily on government spending, as it has for years

S&P cuts India's FY26 GDP forecast to 6.3% over US tariff uncertainty

S&P Global Ratings on Friday cut India's growth projections by 0.2 percentage points to 6.3 per cent for the current fiscal year citing uncertainty over the US tariff policy and downside risks from its spillover to the economy. In its report titled "Global Macro Update: Seismic Shift In US Trade Policy Will Slow World Growth", S&P Global Ratings said "we reiterate that there are no winners in a scenario of escalating protectionist policies." S&P said among Asia-Pacific's major economies, China is expected to see its growth drop by 0.7 percentage points in 2025 to 3.5 per cent and in 2026 to 3 per cent. S&P projected India's GDP growth to be 6.3 per cent in 2025-26 and 6.5 per cent in 2026-27 fiscal year. In March, S&P had lowered the FY'26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5 per cent, from 6.7 per cent. "The risks to our baseline remain firmly on the downside in the form of a stronger-than-anticipated spillover from the tariff shock to the real economy. The longer-term ...

Decoding state growth: Focus on boosting existing economic centres

Strengthening existing economic centres, rather than building greenfield cities, is key to faster state-level growth

World Bank trims India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.3% amid uncertainty

Lowers South Asia's FY25 outlook and urges region's nations to carry out reforms and revenue mobilisation

US tariffs may cut India GDP by up to 0.5% points, says finance secy

He added that he expected potential growth rate of around 7% could be achieved over the next decade, though India needed to expand its economy

Fitch cuts India's GDP projection by 10 bps to 6.4% as trade war escalates

Fitch says, excluding the pandemic, world growth rate to be the weakest since 2009

US tariff impact: Moody's Analytics cuts India's 2025 GDP forecast to 6.1%

Moody's Analytics said that its April baseline represents the economic toll they'll have should the tariffs eventually go ahead in full

Is India faking growth? Sabeer Bhatia calls GDP numbers a 'big lie'

Hotmail's Sabeer Bhatia slams India's GDP model, says real growth comes from effort and not just money exchange

RBI's growth outlook is optimistic amid global concerns; see 50bps more cut

We expect the GDP growth to print at 6.2 per cent in FY26, marginally below the 6.3 per cent projected by us for FY25, said Aditi Nayar of Icra

RBI lowers FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% on global trade uncertainties

Inflation outlook for India improves on sharp decline in food prices and record wheat and pulse production

US reciprocal tariff may erode India's GDP by up to 50 bps, say experts

The reciprocal tariff announced by the Trump administration can shave off India's GDP growth rate by up to 50 basis points to 6 per cent and the country's exports to the US could fall by 2-3 percentage points in the current fiscal, experts said on Thursday. EY Chief Policy Advisor D K Srivastava said, "the maximum adverse impact on India's GDP growth will not be higher than 50 basis points. As per our earlier projection, the GDP growth estimate for current fiscal was 6.5 per cent, which may go down to 6 per cent without retaliation". Standard Chartered Bank Head - India, Economics Research, Anubhuti Sahay said an effective 20 per cent tariff increase on Indian exports to the US ( after considering the exempted goods) in our view is likely to adversely impact India's GDP by 35-40 bps, ceteris paribus. "However, the final impact would depend on the trade deal agreement between India and the US along with how each country negotiates/ retaliates on the proposed tariffs," Sahay said. Sh

Markets Today: FIIs; Wall St; Trump tariffs; Active Infra, Rapid Fleet IPOs

In the previous session, Sensex ended at 78,017.19, up 32.81 points or 0.04 per cent. Nifty50 closed at 23,668.65, up 10.30 points or 0.04 per cent

S&P cuts India's FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.5% amid global strains

S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday cut India's GDP growth projections to 6.5 per cent for the next fiscal as it expects that economies in the APAC region will feel the strain of rising US tariffs and pushback on globalisation. In its Economic Outlook for Asia-Pacific (APAC), S&P said despite these external strains, it expects domestic demand momentum to remain solid in most emerging-market economies. "India's GDP will grow 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, we expect. Our forecast is the same as the outcome for the previous fiscal year, but less than our earlier forecast of 6.7 per cent," S&P said. The forecast assumes that the upcoming monsoon season will be normal and that commodity- especially crude-- prices will be soft. Cooling food inflation, the tax benefits announced in the country's budget for the fiscal year ending March 2026, and lower borrowing costs will support discretionary consumption in India, S&P said. The global credit rating agency ...

Nandan Nilekani's 4 tips for India's economy to hit $8 trn mark by 2035

Outlining key factors for India's economic expansion, Nilekani spoke about the necessary "Big Unlocks" required to accelerate the country's growth rate from 6 per cent to 8 per cent

Waiting for better statistics: GDP data revisions highlight deeper issues

Statisticians across the spectrum welcomed this decision, though questions remained about why the timeline for releasing a given year's GDP data and the number of revisions couldn't be reduced further