Page 5 - India Gdp

Indian economy to grow at 6.5-6.8% in FY25 on high consumption: Deloitte

Indian economy is likely to grow at 6.5-6.8 per cent this fiscal and slightly higher between 6.7-7.3 per cent in FY2026, boosted by domestic consumption, Deloitte said on Sunday. Deloitte India Economist Rumki Majumdar said the growth in the first half of the fiscal year 2025 turned out to be slower than estimated as election uncertainties followed by disruptions in activity due to heavy rainfall and geopolitical events weighed on domestic demand and exports. However, India continues to show resilience in certain pockets that are worth noting -- be it in consumption trends, services growth, the rising share of high-value manufacturing in exports, or the capital market. The government's continued focus on infrastructure development, digitisation, and attracting FDI will be the additional growth booster, enhancing overall efficiency. "We remain cautiously optimistic and expect the growth rate to remain between 6.5 and 6.8 per cent this fiscal year and slightly higher between 6.7 and

Economic growth seen at 6.5% in FY25, RBI policy pushed down demand: FinMin

In its monthly economic review, the Finance Ministry cited the RBI's monetary policy stance among the reasons for the slowdown in the first half of FY25

Low pvt consumption, reduced govt spending a worry but GDP to grow 6.5%: EY

India's GDP is forecasted to grow at 6.5% in FY25 and FY26, but weak private consumption, rising household debt, and sluggish government spending pose challenges

The India story: How India, the 'bright spot', can continue to shine

The third part of the series looks at the areas it needs to focus on to realise its $5 trillion ambition and be counted among the top three economies

VC investments hit $16.7 billion this year powered by tech sector

At $6.50 bn, tech accounted for largest share, followed by consumer discretionary and financial sector

Market Today: GIFT Nifty sinks; Dow Jones bleeds on Fed rate cut; DAM IPO

The central bank delivered its 3rd consecutive rate cut but signaled a slowdown in future reductions, leaving investors wary. The Fed trimmed its benchmark interest rate by a widely anticipated 25 bps

China plans record budget deficit of 4% of GDP in 2025, up from 3%

These targets are usually not announced officially until an annual parliament meeting in March. They could still change before the legislative session

Hurt in Covid-19, MSMEs recover slowly as initiatives for them continue

Share of credit outstanding to MSMEs by scheduled commercial banks as a percentage of outstanding non-food credit is tepid

India needs to ramp up structural reforms: World Bank Chief Economist Gill

Gill noted that middle-income countries, including India, are more prone to slowdowns compared to low-income or high-income countries

Markets Today: CPI, IIP data; US CPI; Nasdaq at 20K; Vishal Mega Mart IPO

As the markets prepare to open, the mood is upbeat. At 6:34 AM, the GIFT Nifty futures are trading 28 points higher at 24,762 levels, hinting at a positive start

ADB cuts India FY25 GDP growth forecast to 6.5%, 7% in FY26 on weak demand

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday lowered India's economic growth forecast to 6.5 per cent for the current financial year from its earlier estimate of 7 per cent due to lower-than-expected growth in private investment and housing demand. The multilateral development bank has also lowered India's growth forecast for 2025-26 financial year. Changes in US trade, fiscal, and immigration policies could dent growth and add to inflation in developing Asia and the Pacific, according to the latest edition of Asian Development Outlook (ADO). The report also said Asia and the Pacific's economies are projected to grow 4.9 per cent in 2024, slightly below ADB's September forecast of 5 per cent. "India's outlook is adjusted downward from 7 per cent to 6.5 per cent for this year, and from 7.2 per cent to 7 per cent next year, due to lower-than-expected growth in private investment and housing demand," ADB said. Last week, the Reserve Bank also significantly lowered the growth project

A call for transparency: Why India must not let its GDP data turn Chinese

India's GDP data faces growing scrutiny over transparency and reliability. To regain trust and ensure accuracy, a reform in statistical methods is critical to avoid pitfalls seen in China's approach

RBI Governor Das meets FM Sitharaman ahead of former's term coming to end

The meeting took place at the finance minister's North Block office. Sources said that the meeting lasted around 20 minutes and was considered customary following the MPC meeting

CII urges govt to stick to fiscal deficit target of 4.9% of GDP for 2024-25

Industry body CII has suggested the government to stick to the fiscal deficit target of 4.9 per cent of GDP for 2024-25 and 4.5 per cent for 2025-26, cautioning that "overly aggressive targets" beyond these could adversely affect India's economic growth. "India has been growing rapidly amidst a slowing global economy. Prudent fiscal management for macroeconomic stability has been pivotal to this growth," said Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII, elaborating on suggestions for the forthcoming Union Budget. CII also highlighted the announcement in the Union Budget 2024-25 to keep the fiscal deficit at levels that help reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio. In preparation for this, the forthcoming budget could lay out a glide path to bring the central government's debt to below 50 per cent of GDP in the medium term (by 2030-31), and below 40 per cent of GDP in the long term, CII has suggested. Such an explicit target will have a positive impact on India's sovereign credit rating and ...

Low GDP growth: Don't throw baby out with the bathwater, urges CEA

Speaking at Assocham's Bharat@100 Summit, CEA V Anantha Nageswaran emphasised that India's underlying growth story remains intact despite dismal Q2 GDP figures

Options traders' bearish bets on rupee jump 200% on surprise GDP slowdown

Data from the Depository Trust and Clearing Corp. show the volume of dollar-rupee calls trading climbed to $1.9 billion on Monday in the non-deliverable options market

Speculation over RBI Guv Shaktikanta Das' extension grows after GDP miss

Das himself has largely refrained from discussing his own future, telling Bloomberg a few months ago that he's focused on his work at the RBI

Base year for GDP calculation to be changed to FY23: Govt tells Parliament

Government informed Parliament that an advisory committee on national accounts statistics has been formed to identify new data sources and advise on the methodology for the revised series

GDP growth likely bottomed out; inflation to prevent December RBI rate cut

The CPI inflation for Q3 FY2025 is expected to overshoot the MPC's estimate of 4.8 per cent for the quarter by at least 60-70 bps

Markets Today: GDP; Nov Mfg PMI; Dow & S&P 500 at record; FIIs; auto sales

The preceding week ended on a positive note for equity benchmarks. On Friday, the BSE Sensex surged 0.96 per cent to close at 79,802.79, while Nifty also gained 0.91 per cent to settle at 24,131.10