Congress leader Rahul Gandhi on Saturday cautioned that inflation will rise further and urged the government to act now to protect the people of the country. Asserting that inflation is a tax on all Indians, Gandhi said record price rise had crushed the poor and the middle class even before the Russia-Ukraine war began. "It (inflation) will increase further as: - Crude > $100/barrel - Food prices expected to rise 22% - COVID disrupts Global Supply Chain," he said in a tweet. "GOI must act NOW. Protect people," the former Congress chief said. Retail inflation hit an eight-month high of 6.07 per cent in February and wholesale price-based inflation soared to 13.11 per cent on account of hardening of crude oil and non-food item prices, according to government data released on Monday. The rise in crude oil and natural gas prices after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which began on February 24, has put pressure on the wholesale price index.
India's economy which is already reeling under inflationary pressure, now faces an ever increasing risk of stagflation.
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The country is expected to register a growth rate of 8.9 per cent in the current fiscal ending March 31
Indian retail inflation likely slipped marginally in February, thanks to lower food prices, according to economists who still warned that surging oil prices will push inflation much higher in future
Nomura pointed out that even though the outlook for banks remains positive, a prolonged conflict-like situation would be negative for global growth
International oil benchmark Brent crude, which briefly hit more than $139 a barrel in the previous session, was up about 2.6% at $126.42.
A sustained rise in oil, food prices would have adverse impacts on Asia's economies. India, Thailand and the Philippines are the biggest losers, while Indonesia would be a relative gainer, Nomura said
"Inflation pressures in India continue to emanate largely from supply side factors, and the recent print also reflects adverse base effects," Shaktikanta Das said
Retail inflation for farm workers and rural labourers rose to 5.49 per cent and 5.74 per cent, respectively in January mainly due to higher prices of certain food items
But for the first time in the past 30 years, the US reported a higher consumer price inflation (CPI) rate than India in five consecutive months
A large across-the-board increase in interest rates is a cure worse than the disease
She stated that the objective of the Budget is a stable and sustainable recovery in the economy
The benchmark 10-year bond yield spiked to a 2-1/2-year high after the government announced a borrowing target of 14.95 trillion rupees ($199.84 billion) for the next fiscal year
The Indian economy is staging a gradual recovery, but the environment - both local and global - remains challenging given the upside risks to inflation
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An RBI survey showed that households can expect inflation to rise further in the near and medium-term. Wholesale prices also surged to a decade high in November. Find out if it is a cause of concern
The next policy in February will be come post the Budget announcement. It will be crucial as the state of the economy will be clear as will the action taken by the government to counter Omicron impact