According to DBS, the first risk is a sharp correction in US equities, particularly in tech stocks linked to the AI investment wave.
The Nifty SmallCap 100 index has shed 7 per cent thus far in 2025 amid liquidity constraints as analysts believe retail investors have preferred IPOs over smallcap stocks.
The BSE Sensex tumbled 803 points in the intraday to hit a low of 84,909, and the NSE Nifty50 also slipped below the 26,000 mark in the intraday to hit a low of 25,902.95
Small towns, big moves: B30 assets jump 23%, leaving T30 growth of 14% in the rearview
Besides cutting interest rates by 25 bps, the RBI also revised its GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) upward to 7.3 per cent from the current estimate of 6.8 per cent
On the downside, gold prices, WGC said, can slip 5 per cent to 20 per cent in CY26. For that to happen, Donald Trump's policies need to succeed, resulting in stronger-than-expected growth.
Bank of America (BofA) Securities said it continues to prefer largecaps over small and midcaps (SMIDs) in CY26 as valuations remain elevated and risks are skewed to the downside
Bank of America (BofA) Securities said it continues to prefer largecaps over small and midcaps (SMIDs) in CY26 as valuations remain elevated and risks are skewed to the downside
Bank of America (BofA) Securities said it continues to prefer largecaps over small and midcaps (SMIDs) in CY26 as valuations remain elevated and risks are skewed to the downside
Bank of America (BofA) Securities said it continues to prefer largecaps over small and midcaps (SMIDs) in CY26 as valuations remain elevated and risks are skewed to the downside
After a cyclical slowdown in 2025, wrote Gustavo Medeiros, head of research at Ashmore Group in a 2026 market outlook report, macroeconomic indicators in India are looking increasingly positive.
The retreat from direct equities contrasts with continued inflows from domestic institutional investors
Dollar outflows from FPIs, trade deficit probably widening with export growth slowing down, and the trade deal with US is still not on the table are the three main reasons why the rupee is falling
data on 189 IPOs where information is available show that the total amount to be raised through fresh equity was Rs 1.20 trillion, with another offer for sale (OFS) component being Rs 62,000 crore
Outflows of over $300 million each
Nomura expects Indian markets to trade in the range of 20-22x one-year forward earnings, assuming risk premia remain low.
Surges past Rs 1.5 trillion in November as inflow momentum sustains
At the bourses, meanwhile, Nifty India Manufacturing index, which has outperformed the market by surging 26 per cent in the past nine months
ADR falls to 0.89 - November's gains now balance on a shrinking block of stocks, the lowest since February
Rotation out of AI stocks, strong Q2 earnings and FPI buying helped markets hit 14-month highs despite valuation worries