One feels that arguments in favour of a pause in April are strong
RBI will need to do more to contain inflation
If RBI goes for a hike, it could change the stance from withdrawal of accommodation to neutral, signalling end of cycle. If not, the stance can remain unchanged as tight liquidity will serve purpose
Current dynamics warrant hike, but central bank should keep liquidity stance flexible
Many believe that the committee may go for another 25 basis point hike in repo at the April policy
Inflation is expected to come down over the year, RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ashima Goyal said on Sunday, asserting that the government's supply-side action coordinated with a flexible inflation-targeting regime has kept the rate of price rise lower than that in other countries. Goyal said that India has successfully dealt with 'pluri-shocks' over the past three years, showing considerable resilience. "Inflation rates are expected to come down over the year. "Government supply-side action coordinated with a flexible inflation targeting regime has kept Indian inflation rates lower than other countries and our own past averages even in this period of major adverse external supply shocks," she told PTI in a telephonic interview. She was asked whether high inflation become the norm in India. "Since nominal policy rates rise with inflation to maintain an expected real positive rate under inflation targeting this prevents demand over-heating and anchors inflation ...
"High core inflation also points to the cost-price nexus in the economy more sharply," Bhide said, adding that stabilizing core prices was necessary for manufacturing firms to expand their capacities
India's economic growth appears to be 'very fragile' and it may fall short of what the country needs to meet the aspirations of its growing workforce, RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R Varma said on Sunday. In India, Varma said he expects inflation to remain high in 2022-23 but come down significantly in 2023-24. "However, growth appears to be very fragile, and monetary tightening is compressing demand," he told PTI. Explaining further, he said rising EMI payments increases the pressure on household budgets and dampens spending, and exports are struggling in the face of global factors. While noting that high interest rates make private capital investment more difficult, Varma said the government is in fiscal consolidation mode, thus reducing the support to the economy from this source. "Because of all these factors, I fear that growth may fall short of what we need to meet the aspirations of our growing workforce given our demographic context and income level,"
Continuing to raise nominal repo rates until core inflation falls could imply an overshooting or excess tightening of real rates, says the MPC member in an interview with Business Standard
'In the past two meetings, the size of the rate increases have come down'
"You don't need to keep on raising nominal rates as long as inflation does not come down because then you will definitely overshoot in terms of real rates," Goyal said
Says GDP growth will receive 15 bps boost from tax cuts
Following the RBI MPC's repo rate hike earlier this month, many banks like Bank of Baroda, Bank of India, and Punjab National Bank have also hiked their key lending rates
Policy rate increased by 25 bps to a 4-year high of 6.5%
Central bank management speaks to the media about inflation, economy and government borrowing
These vending machines will dispense coins against a debit to the customer's account. The process will use Unified Payments Interface (UPI) instead of physical tendering of notes
Need to see decisive decline in inflation, core inflation still sticky, says RBI governor
RBI monetary policy: In December, Das had said that despite consecutive rate hikes, core inflation had continued to remain 'sticky'
Inflation remains sticky and most G-10 central banks may in any case, continue with rate hikes; given India's resilient growth momentum, the MPC might increase the repo rate one final time
25 bps raise likely in Feb, before RBI hits status quo button, feel experts