Brent prices have rebounded since plunging to a more than 20-year low in April, but at just over $40 per barrel, they are significantly below what most Gulf states would need to balance their budgets
The borrowing alternative offered by the Centre to make up for the shortfall in the promised compensation will lead to the states' fiscal deficits widening to 4.25 - 5.52 per cent
If annual expenditure is kept unchanged from the budgeted Rs 30 trillion, a worst-case scenario can push Centre's fiscal deficit to 8.1 per cent of GDP
Singh said the 15th Finance Commission had not sought any extension and will finish its report for 2021-22 to 2025-26 by October 31
Singh said the commission did not brush aside the suggestion, however, a final decision on providing a range as fiscal deficit targets is yet to be taken
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With GDP for April-June also in, it can be calculated that fiscal deficit for Q1FY21 was 17.4% of nominal GDP. FM Sitharaman had pegged fiscal deficit for the year at 3.5% of GDP in 2020-21 Budget
Net tax receipts were Rs 2.03 trillion, while total expenditure was Rs 10.5 trillion
Revenue from income taxes (personal income tax and corporate income taxes) was lower by 30.5 per cent, and the GST by almost 34 per cent during the period
The agency had recently noted that the fiscal deficit of central and state governments will come at 12.1 per cent with the states contributing 4.5 per cent of it
Last year the RBI's board approved a record payment of Rs 1.76 trillion ($23.5 billion) to the government, which included Rs 1.23 trillion as dividend and Rs 526.4 billion from its surplus capital
Long discarded policies like deficit monetisation, loan restructuring, higher tariffs and import licensing had not yielded great results even the first time around, points out T N Ninan
The fragility of central government finances is partly legacy, part refusal to acknowledge and address the problem due to the lack of strategic vision and poor institutional capability
Diverging fiscal responses to the crisis can create serious macroeconomic challenges for countries globally
The government has run 83 per cent of its borrowing target as of June, according to official numbers released on July 31, due to the impact of the pandemic that crippled the economy
The figures we should consider to calculate fiscal deficit should be the enhanced borrowing level announced in May, rather than the one announced in February
Fiscal deficit during the corresponding period of last year was 61.4 per cent of the budget estimates
Govt should monetise assets to sustain expenditure
In addition, the Centre has also relaxed the fiscal deficit target from 3 to 5 per cent.