Page 3 - Gdp Growth

India faces 'stagflationary shock' amid upside risks to food prices: BMI

The Fitch Solutions unit says higher food prices could push up inflation and curb GDP growth as El Niño and West Asia tensions threaten agricultural output and input costs

Economic reforms: India needs a second wave to sustain high growth

Thirty-five years after the 1991 reforms, India needs a new reform wave focused on deregulation, stronger state capacity, judicial efficiency and faster growth

India's GDP likely grew 6.4-6.6% in Q1 FY27 despite cost pressures: Icra

Economic activity rose to a 32-month high in June, but Icra expects GDP growth to moderate from 7.8 per cent in Q4 FY26 amid pressure on margins in key sectors

Oil prices, weak monsoon pose biggest risks to India's FY27 GDP growth: IMF

The IMF warns that rising oil prices from West Asia tensions and an El Nino-hit monsoon pose key downside risks to India's 2026-27 economic growth outlook

WTO says India must tackle structural gaps to realise Viksit Bharat by 2047

Trade policy review says India must lower trade costs, bridge infrastructure gaps and deepen global integration to sustain growth and achieve developed-country status by 2047

India can achieve 8-9% growth with structural reforms: Ex-CEA Subramanian

India can unlock 8-9 per cent economic growth by accelerating structural reforms to reduce the cost of doing business and the cost of financing, former Chief Economic Adviser Krishnamurthy V Subramanian said on Monday. He called for implementing factor market reforms in land, labour, and capital, as well as judicial and bureaucratic reforms. "Macroeconomic stability got India to 7 per cent growth. Institutional reforms can take India to 9 per cent," Subramanian said told PTI in an interview. "India achieved above-8 per cent growth when private investment as a share of GDP was more than 30 per cent. We are currently at around 22-23 per cent, 7-8 per cent short of the target," he said. "We will then leapfrog from 7 to 9 per cent growth!" Subramanian said, adding that the public capital expenditure of the last five years has laid the infrastructure that private investment follows, and the banking system with gross NPAs near multi-decade lows is ready to support it. Subramanian, who .

Deloitte projects India's FY27 GDP growth at 6.5-6.8%, sees H2 recovery

Deloitte India on Sunday projected India's economy to grow at 6.5-6.8 per cent in the current fiscal, with growth expected to strengthen in the second half of the year supported by festive demand, monetary easing, and a gradual stabilisation in global conditions. In its latest edition of Economic Outlook report, Deloitte said India entered 2026 in a Goldilocks phase, with macroeconomic fundamentals appearing unusually well balanced, but geopolitical developments altered the global landscape with tensions in the Middle East disrupting critical shipping routes, triggering volatility in commodity prices and weakening investor sentiment. This resulted in a wider trade deficit, sustained capital outflows, and a sharp depreciation of the rupee against the US dollar within a matter of weeks. Against this backdrop, the RBI had last month lowered India's GDP growth estimates for current fiscal to 6.6 per cent, from 6.9 per cent estimated earlier. GDP grew 7.7 per cent in the previous (2025-2

The missing human growth factor: Bridging India's human-capital deficit

Human capital - not geography, culture or natural resources - now explains why some nations become wealthy while others remain stagnant

GDP calculations get new yardstick with PPI deflator from June quarter

The move follows the latest IIP data set, which marked the shift from the WPI to the output PPI as the deflator for item groups where the output is collected in value terms

Road to Viksit Bharat runs through a strengthened NIPUN Bharat

Doubling down on the National Initiative for Proficiency in Reading with Understanding and Numeracy will yield long-lasting growth multipliers

Inflation may remain relatively contained in coming months: FinMin report

The report said the cessation of the conflict in West Asia had also brightened the growth outlook and reduced external deficit risks

Improve speed of doing business, says CII's president R Mukundan

CII has asked the govt to implement reform measures across sectors to boost "speed of doing business" as the industry is bothered about bottlenecks in multi-modal infra and high power costs, he said

Weak monsoon may cloud growth-inflation dynamics: RBI's June Bulletin

Recent policy measures likely to push up sovereign debt demand

Higher oil and gas costs may dent GDP growth, squeeze margins: Crisil

Ratings agency says higher oil and gas costs could moderate growth, squeeze margins and push GDP expansion lower in FY27

India's GDP growth to slow to 6.6% in FY27 amid global headwinds: BMI

India's GDP is likely to grow at 6.6 per cent in the current fiscal as compared to 7.7 per cent in FY26, on weaker investments and consumption growth and trade shocks from the West Asia crisis, BMI, a Fitch group company, said. According to government data released last week, GDP growth in FY26 accelerated to 7.7 per cent from 7.1 per cent in FY25, supported by healthy consumption and robust investment activity. BMI expects the rupee to trade in the range of 95.1 against the US dollar this calender year. It said the rupee's depreciation from its 87 average level in 2025 will support export competitiveness, offsetting the drag on GDP from the Iran conflict's terms-of-trade shock. The GST reforms implemented in September 2025 caused a consumption boom in December quarter FY26. Thereafter, consumption growth fell by 1.1 percentage points to 7.1 per cent y-o-y in March quarter FY26. "Looking ahead, we continue to expect 6.6 per cent GDP growth in FY2026/27. Our projection represents a

GDP growth momentum intact, no immediate need for borrowing: Govt officials

The Indian economy is facing headwinds from external sectors with rising fuel and fertiliser import bills due to West Asia crisis, but GDP growth momentum remains intact with domestic consumption holding up, government sources said on Tuesday. Sources said the FY27 Budget had taken into cognisance the uncertainties in the global economy around tariffs, and the government do not immediately need to account for additional borrowing or bring in supplementary demands for grants in the upcoming monsoon session of Parliament. On the fiscal deficit front, sources said the budgeted target of 4.3 per cent of GDP is still intact, and the government is actively tapping its non-tax revenue areas like disinvestment and asset monetisation in the current fiscal. "DIPAM and DPE have a year-long pipeline and also a medium-term outlook of disinvestment and asset monetisation. I would hope the budgeted Rs 80,000 crore under this head exceeds BE and both the departments are working on it," a source sai

Fitch cuts India's FY27 GDP forecast to 6.4%, warns of US-Iran war impact

Fitch Ratings on Tuesday lowered its GDP growth projections for the current fiscal to 6.4 per cent from the earlier estimate of 6.7 per cent, saying that the US-Iran war will slow down the economy in the September and December quarters. Fitch said it expects a slowdown in economic growth in FY27 from the 7.4 per cent clocked in FY26 as rising prices erode real incomes and dampen consumer spending, amid a resilient capital expenditure. "We expect GDP growth to ease to 6.4 per cent in FY27, a downward revision of 0.3pp from March. Domestic demand will be the main driver of growth, but lower imports in real terms imply positive contributions to growth from net external demand," Fitch Ratings said in its June Global Economic Outlook. Last week, the RBI had cut its growth forecast for the current fiscal to 6.6 per cent and upped its inflation projection to 5.1 per cent. The rating agency said the slowdown in the economy will be most apparent in the second and third quarter of FY27, as

Brics driving global growth, intra-bloc trade tops $1 trillion: Putin

Putin noted that Brics now contributes around 40 per cent of global GDP in purchasing power parity terms

A growth surprise: Healthy Q4 GDP print lends cushion amid hazy outlook

India's economy grew 7.8% in Q4 FY26, beating forecasts, but risks from the West Asia crisis, higher oil prices and a weak monsoon cloud the outlook

India remains world's fastest-growing major economy: Rajnath Singh

Defence Minister Rajnath Singh on Saturday said that at a time when many countries are facing economic uncertainty, India continues to stand out as the "world's fastest-growing major economy". In a post on X, Rajnath Singh said, "India's economy grew by 7.7 per cent in FY 2025-26, with growth accelerating to 7.8 per cent in the fourth quarter, underscoring its resilience and underlying strength built over the last 12 years through the mantra of Reform, Perform and Transform ." He said, "At a time when many countries are facing economic uncertainty, India continues to stand out as the world's fastest-growing major economy." Singh also said that under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India has combined economic growth with stability, confidence, sustainability and credibility. "His unwavering commitment to nation-building, focus on innovation, infrastructure, and entrepreneurship, and ability to steer the country through unprecedented global challenges have transformed