Is a weaker rupee good or bad for India's economy? From rising inflation and trade deficits to the RBI’s role in currency stability, we break it all down.
Moody's Ratings on Tuesday said India's growth at 6.5 per cent this fiscal will remain the highest amongst the advanced and emerging G-20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued monetary easing, and the country will continue to attract capital and withstand any cross-border outflow. In its report on emerging markets, Moody's said such economies are "exposed to choppy waters" from the churn of US policies and its potential to reshape global capital flows, supply chains, trade and geopolitics. Large EMs (emerging markets) have resources to navigate the turbulence. It said economic activity in the fastest-growing economies will slow slightly from high levels but remain strong this year and next. In China, exports and investment in infrastructure and priority high-tech sectors remain the main growth drivers, while domestic consumption remains weak. "India's growth will remain the highest of the advanced and emerging G-20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued ...
However, economists say country's strong fundamentals, lower inflation hold hope
The Indian economy is likely to grow at 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year starting April 1, EY Economy Watch said, emphasising that a well-calibrated fiscal strategy that supports human capital development while maintaining fiscal prudence could significantly enhance long-term growth prospects. The March edition of EY Economy Watch projects India's real GDP growth at 6.4 per cent in FY25 (April 2024 to March 2025 fiscal year). For the next, it projects 6.5 per cent growth, highlighting the need to realign fiscal policy to support the country's journey toward Viksit Bharat. According to revised national accounts data released by NSO last month, real GDP growth rates for FY23 to FY25 are now estimated at 7.6 per cent, 9.2 per cent and 6.5 per cent. With respect to quarterly growth rates for FY25, the third quarter growth is estimated at 6.2 per cent implying a required growth of 7.6 per cent in the fourth quarter to deliver an annual GDP growth of 6.5 per cent estimated by NSO. "A 7.6
Driven by deceleration in output of coal, refinery products, and cement
In February 2024, the core sector growth had stood at 7.1 per cent
The CAD in the December quarter of 2024-25 has moderated from $16.7 billion (1.8 per cent of GDP) in the preceding quarter of the fiscal year
On a monthly basis, the growth rate in the production of these sectors was lower than the 5.1 per cent expansion recorded in January
In the annual budget in February, India revised lower its fiscal deficit target for the current financial year to 4.8% of GDP and aimed to further narrow it to 4.4% in 2025-26
Himachal Pradesh's revenue deficit is expected to be around 30 basis points higher than the budgeted 2.5% of gross state domestic product (GSDP) in FY26
On March 27, 2015, Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched the 'Give It Up' campaign at the 'Urja Sangam' global energy summit
The Rekha Gupta government proposed a 32 per cent rise in expenditure to Rs one trillion in FY 26 with the share of capital expenditure expected to rise to 28 per cent from 21 per cent in FY 25 (RE)
The NSO's estimate marks a return to the pre-pandemic decadal trend growth rate, following an above-trend average growth of 8.8 per cent between financial years (FY) 2021-22 and 2023-24
S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday cut India's GDP growth projections to 6.5 per cent for the next fiscal as it expects that economies in the APAC region will feel the strain of rising US tariffs and pushback on globalisation. In its Economic Outlook for Asia-Pacific (APAC), S&P said despite these external strains, it expects domestic demand momentum to remain solid in most emerging-market economies. "India's GDP will grow 6.5 per cent in the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, we expect. Our forecast is the same as the outcome for the previous fiscal year, but less than our earlier forecast of 6.7 per cent," S&P said. The forecast assumes that the upcoming monsoon season will be normal and that commodity- especially crude-- prices will be soft. Cooling food inflation, the tax benefits announced in the country's budget for the fiscal year ending March 2026, and lower borrowing costs will support discretionary consumption in India, S&P said. The global credit rating agency ...
Indeed, if anybody nourished a vague hope that Trump would fail to impose tariffs on Indian exports, the man himself dashed them last week
DHL Trade Atlas 2025 report reveals that global trade growth continues to show resilience despite geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty
The country's forex reserves increased by USD 305 million to USD 654.271 billion during the week ended March 14, the RBI said on Friday. In the previous reporting week, the overall reserves rose by USD 15.267 billion to USD 653.966 billion and registered the sharpest weekly rise in two years. The spike in foreign reserves was partly attributed to the USD 10 billion forex swap done by the Reserve Bank of India. The reserves have been on a declining trend recently due to revaluation, along with forex market interventions by the RBI to help reduce volatilities in the rupee. The forex reserves increased to an all-time high of USD 704.885 billion in September 2024. For the week ended March 14, foreign currency assets, a major component of the reserves, decreased by USD 96 million to USD 557.186 billion, the data released on Friday showed. Expressed in dollar terms, the foreign currency assets include the effect of appreciation or depreciation of non-US units like the euro, pound and yen
According to Antique Stock Broking, for February, projects awarded remained flat year-on-year (Y-o-Y) at Rs 56,000 crore
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries-UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain-together contributed 38 per cent to total remittances received by India in 2023-24
The Standing Committee urged the DEA to revisit the existing practice of allocating funds that are not directly related to the department - such as allocations for new schemes that are not finalised