Here's what keeps the Indian economy booming amidst the global slowdown
Policy agility, prudence, and resilience will be key for sustained growth in a rapidly changing global landscape
China's economy remains in the doldrums, data released Friday showed, with prices due to slack demand from consumers and businesses. Consumer prices remained flat in September compared with a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said, while wholesale prices fell 2.5 per cent. Exports and imports also fell last month as demand fell in overseas markets. The faltering recovery of the world's second largest economy from the shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic is dragging on regional and global growth, though economists have said the worst might have passed. Trade ticked up slightly from the month before and manufacturing is showing signs of improvement. Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund cut growth forecasts for China, predicting economic growth of 5 per cent this year and 4.2 per cent in 2024, down slightly from its forecasts in July. The IMF attributed its downward revision to weaker consumer confidence, subdued global demand and a crisis in the property sector
The picture of the Indian economy is one of near stagnation between 2011 and 2020, a massive bounce-back in the immediate post-pandemic period, and now muted growth
Phillips Carbon Black Ltd (PCBL) has projected that Indian carbon black demand will grow at a growth rate of 5-6 per cent, driven by the robust expansion of the tyre industry and favourable macroeconomic factors. The promising outlook for the Indian tyre industry, buoyed by increasing demand and reduced imports, is expected to have a positive impact on the carbon black sector. Carbon black is a key raw material in tyre manufacturing. A PCBL investor presentation on Monday highlighted several factors propelling the carbon black industry's growth, including the acceleration in economic activity, increased infrastructure spending, and the implementation of the vehicle scrappage policy. Additionally, import restrictions have resulted in reduced competition from imports, bolstering domestic tyre manufacturing. The Indian tyre industry is positioned for substantial growth in fiscal year 2024, with an estimated expansion of 8-9 per cent, it said. The presentation emphasised the need for
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.11%, to 35,499.78, the S&P 500 was little changed at 4,582.45 and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.07%, to 14,326.87
Domestic macroeconomic data announcements, global trends, quarterly earnings and foreign fund trading activity would dictate terms in the equity markets this week, analysts said. Besides, movement of rupee against the US dollar and global oil benchmark Brent crude price would also guide the trading pattern in the equity markets. "From a macroeconomic perspective, market participants will be closely observing key events like the upcoming release of the US manufacturing PMI data, US services PMI data and US non-farm payrolls scheduled between August 1 and August 4. "These indicators can provide valuable insights into the state of the global economy and may impact market sentiment. Additionally, institutional activity will also have a significant impact on market trends," said Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst, Swastika Investmart Ltd. Among domestic macroeconomic numbers, PMI data for manufacturing and services sectors will be announced on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively. Ad
The report stated that inflationary pressures across countries are waning with commodity prices easing in the current year following weakened prospects for global demand and improving supply chains
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Trading activity in the domestic equity markets this week will be largely driven by inflation data, trend in global markets and foreign fund movement, analysts said. Participants will also monitor developments related to the Adani Group crisis, which has been a major overhang recently, they added. "...the movement of crude oil, the dollar index, and US bond yields will be other important factors. The institutional flow will be important as FIIs' selling has come down after relentless selling in January," Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth a net Rs 144.73 crore last week. This week, the market will be awaiting key inflation data from the US and India for clues on the rate hike trajectory of central banks. Retail inflation data for both the US and India is scheduled to be announced on Tuesday. Last week, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) hiked the key benchmark policy rate by 25 basis point
Macroeconomic data announcements, the Covid situation in China and global market cues would guide Dalal Street in the first week of trading in the New Year, analysts said. Markets would also keep a track on rupee movement, Brent crude oil prices and foreign fund investment trends. "As market players attempt to understand the Fed's stance, Indian markets may respond in lockstep with their international counterparts when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes are made public later this week. "Back home, the New Year is poised to begin with auto numbers," said Apurva Sheth, Head of Market Perspectives, Samco Securities. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for the manufacturing sector to be announced on Monday and services sector on Wednesday will also influence trading in the equity market. "In the near future, the last Budget before the 2024 election, Q4 earnings, and the monthly auto sales number will be the key events that the market will be looking for in January ...
During the week, the Sensex fell 2.4 per cent and the Nifty 2.5 per cent, their worst weekly decline since June 17, 2022
In the week ahead, Indian markets will focus on the last leg of Q2 results and macro-economic data for further cues on direction. Here's a report
The quality of some of the important economic statistics put out by the govt - for much of which there can be no comparable private substitute - remain questionable and undependable, writes T N Ninan
Long, short or medium, all of the announcements by governments of the world are "willing and able" to make the equity, currency and commodity markets gyrate wildly
The results were even lower than the 14.5 per cent estimate given by the RBI's Survey of Professional Forecasters on Macroeconomic Indicators in August.
Adani Power on Wednesday reported 16-fold jump in consolidated net profit at Rs 4,780 crore for the quarter ending June 30, 2022.
At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency opened lower at 78.70 and fell further to settle at the day's low of 79.21.
On the earnings front, big names like ITC, M&M, Dabur, Titan and Interglobe Aviation, along with several others, will declare quarterly results this week
Amid sluggish major macroeconomic indicators, Nepal has been facing economic challenges and hassles as per the latest central bank data.