An RBI analysis showed that during the second wave, 22% of municipalities reported revenue loss of an alarming 50% and more
India's fiscal challenge can get worse if states spend more even with lower revenue growth
The pandemic continues to affect state finances with first quarter revenue and expenditure numbers pointing out that a full economic recovery is still a long road ahead.
The Covid-19 pandemic could increase budget deficits and indebtedness of state governments as spending needs to exceed revenue collected, S&P Global analysts YeeFarn Phua and Ruchika Malhotra said
But their Budget numbers are inclined to be overstated due to substantial revisions in revenues and grants shared by the Centre
The agency's earlier forecast for FY21 was 4.5 per cent. The revision was made due to a sharper-than-expected contraction of 6.1 per cent in the nominal GDP
The aggregate fiscal deficit of states is likely to be at 4.3 per cent of the GDP in 2021-22 compared to 4.6 per cent in 2020-21, says a report by India Ratings and Research
In FY20, provisional accounts indicate that states' revenue receipts were 12 per cent lower than the Budgeted amount
Steeply falling revenues and central grants amidst rising expenditure to fight Covid-19 led to 18 of the largest states reporting a collective revenue deficit of 285% of Budget Estimates in April-June
The rise in spreads is a direct measure of market displeasure than a rise in yields. This is because if spreads widen, SDL yields could still rise even when G-sec yields remain where they are
These 13 states include Bihar, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Uttarakhand and Meghalaya
The borrowing alternative offered by the Centre to make up for the shortfall in the promised compensation will lead to the states' fiscal deficits widening to 4.25 - 5.52 per cent
This may take the general deficit of the country-- both the Centre's and states'-- to 11-14 per cent of GDP in FY21
Yields on the three-year SDLs have jumped 35 bps to 5.09 per cent this month
According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data, the combined liabilities of the Centre and the state governments were around Rs 147 trillion at the end of March 2020
The 20 states considered in the analysis constituted nearly 86 per cent of the budgeted aggregate revenue receipts for FY20.
Nirmala Sitharaman tells Indivjal Dhasmana & Nivedita Mookerji that the government has made sure that mistakes committed during 2008-2013 are not repeated while announcing the Rs 20-trillion package.
According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data, state governments' gross market borrowings stood at Rs 6.08 trillion in 2019-20, up from Rs 4.78 trillion in 2018-19.
Outstanding debt of states has risen over the last five years to 25% of GDP, posing medium-term challenges to its sustainability.