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Coal demand growth in non-regulated sector to be higher

IANS  |  Kolkata 

Coal, as a primary source of energy, will continue for some more time in and its demand in the non-regulated sector is expected to be higher than the regulated sector like power, a study said.

"to continue enjoying demand for some more time in India: Even in the most adverse scenario, as of 2Q17 (second quarter), it appears that the demand for in India, as a source of primary energy, shall expand until 2030 and perhaps beyond," said the study - 'Vision 2030'.

Overall demand is estimated to be 900-1,000 mtpa (million tonnes per annum) by 2020 and 1,300-1,900 mtpa by 2030.

"..the estimated growth in demand from non-regulated sector at 6 per cent CAGR (compound annual growth rate) up to 2030 is higher than the estimated demand growth in the regulated sector (3 per cent CAGR). However, the regulated sector will continue to be the largest consumer with two third contribution," the document said.

This will require a reconsideration of priority (lack of) of dispatch and pricing to non-regulated sector, it added.

Limited (CIL) has commissioned the study to assess the future demand scenarios for the sector in up to 2030.

By 2030, of the overall demand, thermal demand is estimated to be 1,150-1,750 mtpa and the balance is coking demand.

"The coking demand from the sector is estimated to increase to 140-160 mtpa by 2030 as against the current demand level of 60-70 mtpa. In absence of material growth in domestic coking supply, will be increasingly exposed to vagaries of international market," it said.

This would warrant the increased focus on optimisation of existing coking reserve in India, implementation of and acquisition of international coking assets by public sector undertakings, it added.



(This story has not been edited by Business Standard staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Fri, February 09 2018. 14:30 IST