Despite strong real growth, slowing nominal GDP and a sharply weaker deflator raise fiscal concerns, challenging Budget assumptions for FY26
Indian Rupee touched a new record low of 89.97 against the US dollar on December 1, 2025, amid delays in the India-US trade agreement, and limited RBI intervention
In the preceding quarter, the current account had recorded a deficit of $2.4 billion ot 0.2 per cent of GDP
Experts said meeting the gross tax revenue budget target of ₹42.7 trillion would be difficult as it would require a Y-o-Y expansion of 22 per cent in the November-March FY26 period.
Capital expenditure, or spending on building physical infrastructure, at ₹6.18 trillion against ₹4.7 trillion a year ago
Twenty-five years after its creation, Jharkhand continues to struggle with slow economic growth, high multidimensional poverty and persistent tribal welfare gaps despite fiscal improvements
As things stand, Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is expected to lead the government again and, having been mostly at the helm since 2005, is well aware of where the state stands
In the runup to elections, the alliance's manifesto listed 25 prominent promises
Road Transport & Highways and Railways ministries lead capital expenditure in H1 FY26, with overall government capex reaching 52% of Budget estimates despite slower revenue growth
Cash transfers to women need a wider debate
In H1 of FY26, capex grew at a robust 40 per cent, exhausting more than half (51.8 per cent) of the Rs 11.2 trillion full year target against 37.3 per cent spending during the same period a year ago
The Centre's receipts stood at ₹17.3 lakh crore, or 49.5% of the FY26 target, while expenditure reached ₹23.03 lakh crore, or 45.5% of the estimate, led by higher interest and subsidy payments
India's fiscal deficit rose to 38.1 per cent of FY26 budget estimates in April-August, driven by higher capital expenditure and muted revenue receipts, CGA data showed
Net tax receipts stood at ₹8.1 trillion, down from ₹8.7 trillion in the same period last year, while non-tax revenue rose to ₹4.4 trillion from ₹3.3 trillion a year ago
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra calls on states to maintain fiscal discipline, improve expenditure quality and borrow responsibly while coordinating closely with the central bank
Separately, Bank of Baroda in a report said the impact of GST reforms will be minimal as it accounts for Rs 48,000 crore or only around 0.1-0.2 per cent of the GDP
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said GST overhaul and structural reforms will strengthen India's resilience to global risks and help meet the fiscal deficit target
Besides, a cut in the tax rate on nearly one-fourth of the essential and household items contained in inflation basket may lead to a moderation of 50-90 bps in retail inflation over next 12 months
Government bonds rallied as the estimated revenue loss from GST tax cuts came in lower than expected, easing fiscal concerns. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond eased to 6.49%
Here's how analysts leading brokerages assess the impact of the GST rate rejig on the Indian economy, bond markets and the possibility of an aggressive interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India