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Morgan Stanley turns 'overweight' on private banks

Expects re-rating across the sector

Reuters

Morgan Stanley has turned "overweight" across all private sector lenders in India, after previously having that stance for only HDFC Bank, Housing Development Finance Corp, ICICI Bank, and Axis Bank.

The investment bank, in a report dated March 10, says it expects a re-rating across the sector as the bad-loan cycle could be "close to the end" if the economy remains stable.

Morgan Stanley forecasts an improving economy, as indicated by a narrowing current account deficit and a stable currency, while also noting that liquidity has improved and real deposit rates have turned positive.

Private sector lenders extended gains. Bank Nifty was up 1.1% at 9:13 am, helping the broader Nifty briefly hit a record high earlier in the session.

 

Expectations for an improving economy and a pause in the RBI's rate-hiking campaign have sparked a rally in the sector. After falling 10% in January, the NSE bank sub-index has surged 5.2% in February and 11.7% so far in March.

The Sensex briefly hit a record high on the back of continued strong foreign buying in blue chips such as HDFC Bank, but edged lower soon afterwards on profit-taking and because of falls in regional shares.

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First Published: Mar 10 2014 | 11:02 AM IST

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