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The concerns around India remain the same. Valuations are too high. There is no economic & earnings momentum. We have no artificial intelligence (AI) play or beneficiary
The believers are convinced that AI will solve the demographic and fiscal challenges of the West
AI has already proven its value in customer support and programming, and its applications will only broaden as the technology matures and enterprises grow more comfortable with the tools
Many investors have lost faith in the EM asset class, cut exposure, and India has been a funding source, given its relative outperformance
The PLI for smartphones was extremely sophisticated in design, a win-win for all parties
India needs to get on the innovation cycle - and everyone has a part to play. The government must provide basic funding and strengthen linkages between industry and academia
One company turned China into a manufacturing powerhouse. Now India must ride the diversification wave to do the same
The biggest theme has undoubtedly been the unveiling of new thinking towards trade and tariffs
As a hegemon, the US no longer derives its hegemonic powers from manufacturing and goods
Exports have been a major driver of China's growth and prosperity. However, there is a clear disconnect between its share of global manufacturing and consumption
It is far better for the US to gradually underperform global markets, as we have seen from the beginning of 2025
By providing an effective tax cut of Rs 1 trillion to the middle class, the FM will improve consumer confidence and boost consumption
I am less positive than many on the US equity markets and American exceptionalism. I worry about elevated valuations, surging retail sentiment
The US today accounts for about 67 per cent of the MSCI World equity indices, meaning that corporate America is worth more than twice all other markets combined
China was unable to deliver returns when its economy was on fire, and today it faces geopolitical challenges
The industry, however, seems to be at a crossroads, with many funds' lifespans being extended and distributions at all-time lows
China is creating emerging industry leaders, and regardless of what happens in the Chinese stock market, the country cannot be ignored as a fierce competitor
India must do whatever is necessary to prepare its economy to benefit from a slowing China. But a proper strategy is needed as India's own demographic dividend will not last forever
Investors face a crucial decision. While the US equity market may face short-term underperformance, the jury is still out on India's potential
The quality of expenditure continues to improve