Kaynat Chainwala

Oil forecast: Kaynat Chainwala of Kotak Sec explains why Brent may hit $100

With three simultaneous chokepoints under stress and the Yanbu bypass route now threatened, a Brent move above $100 looks increasingly plausible

Gold may hit $5k on easing geopolitical risks: Kaynat Chainwala, Kotak Sec

Gold's near-term direction depends on whether June CPI marks the start of a durable disinflation trend or a temporary pullback driven by energy base effects.

Crude Oil: The 'Risk Premium' was compressed, not extinguished

Recent pullback in crude oil prices from the channel support suggests short-covering, but the prevailing structure continues to reflect lower highs and lower lows, keeping the broader downtrend intact

Gold's outlook hinges on US payrolls, Fed policy; may test $3,800

Domestically, MCX gold remained relatively resilient, seeing a 5 per cent decline in the June quarter, supported by the depreciation of the Indian rupee and higher import duties.

Gold's next test is the US Fed, as Kevin Warsh holds his first FOMC

Gold sold off not because the war became less threatening, but because the war was making the Fed's job harder.

Fragile West Asia crisis to keep oil volatility elevated, says analyst

The Supertrend indicator remains in sell mode, while prices are hovering around the short-term moving average zone, suggesting the absence of a strong directional trend.

Oil outlook: Brent may stay elevated despite truce hopes; $80-$95 in focus

Even a successful reopening may not bring oil prices down sharply, as the scale of disruption and the time required for markets to rebalance will keep oil elevated in the range of $80-95 range.

Oil outlook uncertain amid US-Iran deal hopes, supply pressure: Analyst

Reports of a possible US-Iran framework involving a ceasefire extension and steps to reopen Hormuz triggered a sharp 7 per cent single-session drop earlier this week

Near-term gold outlook cloudy amid yield spike, dollar headwinds: Analyst

Rising real yields alongside a firmer dollar have together stripped two of gold's most consistent supports simultaneously

Oil stabilises on diplomacy hopes, yet structural risks persist: Analyst

MCX Crude Oil on the daily chart is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a phase of compression after the recent volatile swings