RBI Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta sees a case for rupee appreciation as the current account deficit shrinks and capital flows improve, potentially later this financial year.
The merchandise trade deficit widened to $31.7 billion in July, while strong capital inflows helped push the balance of payments surplus to $20.8 billion.
Balance of payments recorded a deficit of $8.1 billion in Q1FY27 as portfolio outflows weighed, compared with a surplus of $4.5 billion in the year-ago quarter
Merchandise trade deficit at USD 86.1 billion in the April-June period of 2026-27 was higher than USD 68.9 billion in the first quarter of 2025-26.
Economists have sharply lowered India's FY27 current account deficit forecast as softer crude oil prices, resilient exports and remittances improve the external outlook
A widening trade deficit and foreign fund outflows strained India's external accounts in FY26 despite robust growth in services exports and remittance inflows
India's macro picture stayed broadly resilient this week, but higher fuel and food prices, global uncertainty, and policy adjustments kept pressure on households and companies
Strong services exports and record remittance inflows helped India record a current account surplus of $7.1 billion in the March quarter despite continued capital outflows
From fuel hikes to a record RBI dividend, the week ending May 24 showed how global oil, imports, heatwaves and policy buffers are shaping India's macro outlook
Goyal said the government has no plans to cut non-essential imports into India as of now
From Bharti Airtel's succession planning and AI-driven cyber risks to the economic fallout of the West Asia conflict and India's investment needs - here are today's top opinion pieces
India's current account deficit is set to widen to 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 from 0.9 per cent in FY26, a foreign brokerage said on Monday. The balance of payments (BoP) deficit is estimated to widen to USD 65 billion in the current fiscal from the last fiscal year's USD 35 billion, it said. HSBC said it has assumed crude prices to average USD 95 a barrel, and combined it with sensitivities in oil, gold, core goods, services trade and remittances to arrive at a current account deficit of 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 as against 0.9 per cent in FY26. The BoP forecast has been made after growing through trends in portfolio inflows, FDI flows, and external commercial borrowing (ECBs), it said. The report also looked at forex reserves and opined that the nearly USD 700 billion kitty seems sufficient from the traditional perspective, but suggested the need to look at it from a dynamic perspective, better for the current times of heightened risks amid recurring global shocks. "Using a .
Economists broadly agree that this financial year is shaping up to be tougher than the last for the external account
From rising oil-linked risks and services data gaps to gold loan expansion and global capital flows, here are the key insights from Business Standard's Opinion page
There are moments (like the present) when current account deficits are widening in response to shocks, but our system has a well-developed playbook for dealing with these
India's current account deficit widened to $13.2 billion in Q3FY26 as the trade gap expanded, though higher services receipts, lower investment outflows and stronger remittances provided some support
But when capital flows are volatile, as has happened this financial year, even financing a low CAD can become challenging and put pressure on the currency
India's CAD narrowed to $2.4 billion in Q1FY26 from $8.6 billion a year ago as remittances surged 18% and services exports rose, offsetting a wider merchandise trade deficit
The current account deficit stood at $2.4 bn, or 0.2% of GDP, in the first quarter of the fiscal year 2025-26, compared with a surplus of $13.5 bn, or 1.3% of GDP, in preceding quarter, data showed
The spectre of higher tariffs imposed by the US means export prospects, including for India, will be subdued in 2025