Page 16 - Economic Growth

UN reports brighter global economic outlook, predicts 2.7% growth in 2024

The United Nations reported improved prospects for the world economy since its January forecast on Thursday, pointing to a better outlook in the United States and several large emerging economies including Brazil, India and Russia. According to its mid-2024 report, the world economy is now projected to grow by 2.7 per cent this year up from the 2.4 per cent forecast in its January report and by 2.8 per cent in 2025. A 2.7 per cent growth rate would equal growth in 2023, but still be lower than the 3 per cent growth rate before the COVID-19 pandemic began in 2020. "Our prognosis is one of guarded optimism, but with important caveats, Shantanu Mukherjee, director of the UN's Economic Analysis and Policy Division, told a news conference launching the report. The report pointed to interest rates that are higher for longer periods, debt repayment challenges, continuing geopolitical tensions and climate risks especially for the world's poorest countries and small island ...

Measuring up to the standard

In today's world, standards wield not only technical but also strategic significance. India needs a change in mindset to elevate its industry standards to a global level

Israel Q1 economic growth rebounds 14.1%, lifted by shopping, building

The recovery in the January to March period was led by large increases in private spending and investment, both of which slid in the fourth quarter

India's GDP to expand at 6.6% in FY25; will fuel NBFCs' growth: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Tuesday said the Indian economy is projected to expand 6.6 per cent in the current fiscal year and said strong credit demand fuelled by robust economic growth will support the NBFC sector's profitability. "We expect India's economy to expand 6.6 per cent in the year ended March 2025 (FY25) and 6.2 per cent the following year, and this will lead to robust loan growth at NBFCs, mitigating the impact of rising funding costs on their profitability," Moody's Ratings said. The Indian economy is estimated to have expanded 8 per cent in the 2023-24 fiscal year. In a commentary on the non-banking finance companies, Moody's said robust economic conditions will help them preserve their asset quality even as rise in interest rates increase the debt burdens of their customers. "Funding costs for non-bank finance companies (NBFCs) in India are rising, but strong credit demand fuelled by country's robust economic growth will support the sector's profitability. "Also, robust ..

China new bank loans fall more than expected in April to 730 bn yuan

Chinese banks extended 730 billion yuan ($101 billion) in new yuan loans in April, down sharply from 3.09 trillion yuan in March and falling short of analysts' expectations, according to bank's data

IEG applies afresh after licence cancelled under FCRA over procedural lapse

Institute could not submit documents to govt due to 'minor technical issues', say sources

India's core sector growth slows to 5.2% in March from 7.1% in February

In March 2023, the core sector had recorded a growth of 4.2 per cent

Export figures for FY04, FY14, and FY24 show interesting trends

A look at the destination of our exports shows that our shipments to our neighbours in South Asia at 5.8 per cent have stagnated in the past 10 years

Deloitte projects India's FY25 GDP growth at 6.6% as exports rebound

Deloitte India on Friday said it estimates India's GDP growth at 6.6 per cent in the current fiscal helped by consumption expenditure, exports rebound and capital flows. In its India's economic outlook report, Deloitte said the rapid growth of the middle-income class has led to rising purchasing power and even created demand for premium luxury products and services. With the expectation that the number of middle-to-high-income segments will be one in two households by 2030/31, up from one in four currently, we believe this trend will likely become further amplified, driving overall private consumer expenditure growth, it said. Deloitte has revised India's economic growth prediction for last fiscal to a range of 7.6 to 7.8 per cent. In January, the firm had projected growth for 2023-24 fiscal in the range of 6.9-7.2 per cent. The country's GDP growth is estimated to reach around 6.6 per cent in FY 2024-25 and 6.75 per cent in the year after, as markets learn to factor in geopolitic

An agenda for next government

India's growth model needs a serious course correction

Only INDIA bloc can deliver more inclusive economic growth, says Congress

Stepping up its attack on Prime Minister Narendra Modi over his 'redistribution of wealth' remark, the Congress on Tuesday said he will never tell people that more than 40 per cent of the wealth created in the country from 2012 to 2021 has gone to just one per cent of the population, and asserted that only an INDIA bloc government can deliver a vastly more inclusive economic growth. At a rally in Rajasthan on Sunday, Modi had said that if the Congress came to power, it would redistribute the wealth of people to "infiltrators" and those who have more children, and cited former PM Manmohan Singh's remark that the minority community had the first claim on the country's resources. The Congress has hit back at Prime Minister Modi over his remarks targeting the party, saying after facing "disappointment" in the first phase of Lok Sabha polls, the PM has now resorted to "lies" and "hate speech" to divert people from the real issues. Congress general secretary Jairam Ramesh on Tuesday said

Sustained growth of 7% feasible for India: RBI MPC member Shashanka Bhide

Sustaining the economic growth momentum of 7 per cent in 2024-25 and beyond is feasible on the back of favorable monsoon, higher farm productivity and improved global trade, RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Shashanka Bhide said on Monday. During 2023-24, the economy is likely to record a growth rate of near 8 per cent on account of good performance of manufacturing and infrastructure sectors. "(India's economic) Growth in the current year is likely to be supported by agriculture with a favourable monsoon and improved global trade. Sustaining the growth momentum of 7 per cent seems feasible," he told PTI. Bhide further said that in the long-term, the need for productivity improvements will remain the key factor to achieve food price stability. Asked what are some of the headwinds he is wary of, Bhide said one area of concern is the global environment. "The slow pace of recovery in global demand on one hand and supply chain disruptions on the other hand... if the ongoing .

Lower-middle-income trap

Without structural transformation in India's workforce, growth will necessarily sputter in the future

The case of apprentices: Why apprenticeship has not taken off in India

A recent report by the ILO on the employment situation in India says the country remains poised to reap its demographic dividend for at least another decade

Snatching decline from the jaws of growth

If enforced, the law of Standing Orders will bureaucratise India's most dynamic sector

India will be $34.7 trn economy by 2047; per capita to be $21k: PHDCCI

The report said that the share of agriculture in total GDP would come down to 12% in FY47

Indian economy projected to grow 6.5% in 2024, suggests UNCTAD report

India's economy is projected to grow by 6.5 per cent in 2024, according to a report by the UN which noted that multinationals extending their manufacturing processes into the country to diversify their supply chains will have a positive impact on Indian exports. UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) in its report released on Tuesday said that India grew by 6.7 per cent in 2023 and is expected to expand by 6.5 per cent in 2024, continuing to be the fastest-growing major economy in the world. The expansion in 2023 was driven by strong public investment outlays as well as the vitality of the services sector which benefited from robust local demand for consumer services and firm external demand for the country's business services exports, the report said, adding that these factors are expected to continue to support growth in India in 2024. The report also noted the increasing focus by multinationals on India as a manufacturing base as they diversify their supply chains, a reference to ...

Treasury Secy Yellen says US working to mitigate risks to global economy

In remarks prepared for a news conference, Yellen said the U.S. labor market was remarkably healthy and inflation was down significantly from its peak, although there was more work to do

Priority for human development

The Union government should allow federalism to function more effectively if it wishes to push human development

There is another way

Strong, decisive rule is not the only way to effectiveness. Our experience since 1991 shows diffused economic and political power can deliver the goods even better