High public debt remains a risk
Lower disinvestment receipts are likely to be offset by sharp gains in non-tax revenues, mainly attributable to higher dividends from the Reserve Bank and other financial institutions
India's fiscal deficit in the first seven months of the financial year ending on March 31, 2024 was 8.04 trillion Indian rupees ($96.86 billion), or 45% of the estimate for the whole year
Quality of expenditure should sway fiscal transfers
Says returning to OPS would put substantial burden on finances
The government has set a fiscal deficit target of 5.9 per cent of GDP for FY24
"States are classified as resilient if their fiscal deficit as a percentage of GSDP has decreased from the pre-pandemic to the post-pandemic period," the report says
Between April and October this year, the fiscal deficit was recorded at Rs 8.04 trillion as compared to Rs 7.57 trillion in the same period last year
The war, which the Finance Ministry estimates is costing the economy around $270 million every day, will come with a fiscal price tag estimated at 180 billion shekels ($48 billion) in 2023-2024
Upward trend mainly due to spike in corporation tax mop-up
The fiscal deficit was 6.4 per cent of the GDP in 2022-23 against the earlier estimate of 6.71 per cent
Geopolitical tensions have increased risks
Earlier, this month, India hiked the cooking gas subsidy for low income households to 300 rupees per cylinder from 200 rupees announced in August
The IMF's present estimates mark a notable deviation from its April projections
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Unlike in the past, when India and other developing markets caught a cold when the US sneezed, the situation is somewhat different now
Governor Shaktikanta Das on Friday said the RBI does not see "any major problem" or any other worries with the central government finances. The government has promised to stick to the fiscal deficit targets laid down in the budget as part of the consolidation roadmap, Das told reporters at the RBI headquarters at the customary post-policy press conference. Replying to a specific question on the state of government finances, Das said, "So far as central government finances are concerned, I do not see any major problem or anything that you know that worries the central bank". He said the government is, by and large, sticking to the fiscal consolidation roadmap after the end of the pandemic, which had seen some expansion because of the high spending. Even during the pandemic, the government's spending was "calibrated and targeted", Das noted. "After the pandemic, the government has announced a fiscal consolidation roadmap. And by and large, they're sticking to that," he said. The ..
In the same period in FY23, the deficit was 32.6 per cent of the full-year target
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Govt keeping a close watch on some sectors for supply side measures to tame inflation