Page 2 - Gdp Forecast

India to be 3rd-largest economy by 2028; equities remain pricey: UBS

From a stock market perspective, however, UBS remains underweight on Indian equities as valuations in their view still look expensive relative to the ordinary fundamental performance of companies.

Economy has weathered global headwinds, GDP to be near 7% in FY26: CEA

Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Wednesday said the Indian economy has responded quite satisfactorily to global headwinds, and exuded confidence that real GDP growth is likely to touch 7 per cent in FY26. Speaking at the India Maritime Week here, Nageswaran said three global rating agencies have recently upgraded their ratings on India, and if the country continues on the same track, India can "soon" break into the 'A' rating category. The academic-turned-policy advisor said the resilience shown by the economy, coupled with measures by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), places the Indian economy in a "comfortable position". "We should be quite satisfied with the way the Indian economy has responded to global uncertainties this year, and the tariff-related developments as well," he said. The policy measures, including relief in income tax and the recent GST rationalization "have combined to improve the economic growth prospects for this year to near or

Indian economy likely to grow faster than expected 6.6% in FY26: Poll

While a punitive 50 per cent tariff levied by the US on Indian goods is still in place, recent comments from Washington and New Delhi have raised optimism it will be reduced

India's economy expected to grow at 6.7-6.9% in FY26 amid reforms: Deloitte

Deloitte India on Thursday projected India's economy to grow 6.7-6.9 per cent in the current fiscal amid buoyant demand and policy reforms. Indian economy grew 7.8 per cent in the April-June quarter of current fiscal. Deloitte India's 'India Economic Outlook' report forecasts a GDP growth between 6.7 and 6.9 per cent, averaging 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, up by 0.3 percentage points from Deloitte's previous forecast. This performance signals not just resilience but a renewed sense of India emerging stronger than most nations. Similar growth rates are expected in the subsequent year, but the range of variation remains broader due to uncertainties associated with trade and investment. The GDP growth forecast is in lines with the RBI which projected FY26 economic growth at 6.8 per cent. Growth is likely to be supported by buoyant domestic demand, accommodative monetary policy, and structural reforms, such as GST 2.0. Low inflation will contribute to spending as purchasing power ..

Explained: How digital payments are fuelling India's economic growth

Govt plans to introduce biometric authentication for UPI payments, but what exactly is a digital payment system and why is it important for the Indian economy?

Slower growth, under-target inflation will prompt another rate cut: BMI

BMI added that the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts for FY26 are too high, pointing to it as one of the main reasons behind the possible cuts

RBI MPC October policy: Central bank cuts FY26 inflation estimate to 2.6%

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for Q1 of 2026-27 is projected at 4.5 per cent

OECD lifts India's FY26 growth outlook to 6.7%; S&P retains at 6.5%

OECD expects global growth to soften in the second half of 2025 as front-loaded activity fades and higher tariffs in the US and China dampen investment and trade

S&P Global retains India's GDP forecast at 6.5%, revises inflation downward

The report added that low inflation provides room for further monetary policy adjustments, with S&P expecting a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India in FY26

Fitch ups India’s GDP forecast, Centre clears transport projects in Bihar, Nepal unrest & more

Fitch Ratings has raised India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.9% from 6.5%, citing strong domestic demand. The global rating agency said robust real incomes will boost consumption.

Fitch ups India FY26 GDP forecast to 6.9% from 6.5% on domestic demand

Global growth is now forecast to be 2.4 per cent in 2025, up 0.2 percentage points (pp) since June but a sizable slowdown from 2.9 per cent last year and below trend

Govt spending and exports likely to begin unwinding in Q2, says BMI

BMI said any export front-loading that continued post-June has likely been cut short by the rise in US 'reciprocal' tariffs, first to 25 per cent on July 31, 2025, and then to 50 per cent on August 27

Economy spurts 7.8% in Q1 FY26 as manufacturing, agri, services shine

India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q1 FY26, a five-quarter high led by manufacturing and services, though US tariffs pose risks to sustaining growth momentum

US goods trade deficit jumps sharply 22% to $103.6 billion in July

The Atlanta Federal Reserve is currently estimating GDP will increase at a 2.2 per cent rate in the third quarter

India's Q1 FY26 GDP hits five-quarter high at 7.8%, beats RBI forecast

Q1 FY26 GDP: MoSPI data shows GDP growth above RBI's 6.5% estimate; nominal GDP at ₹86.05 trillion, GVA at ₹44.64 trillion

Tariff impact: Nomura cuts FY26 GDP forecast to 5.8% in worst-case scenario

Data from the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) show that these sectors together employed around 21 million workers directly and via contractors in 2023, Nomura said

Statsguru: Deflators likely to offset corporate results' impact on GDP

Deflators may offset corporate results' impact on GDP

India's GDP growth in Q1FY26 likely eased after March-quarter high

Indicators give mixed signals ahead of 50% Trump tariffs

India's GDP growth likely at 6.3% in FY26, below RBI estimates: SBI report

India's economic growth is expected to be lower at 6.3 per cent this fiscal compared to the RBI's projection of 6.5 per cent, a SBI Research Report said on Thursday. The report pegged the first quarter GDP estimate at around 6.8-7 per cent, mainly due to muted private capex. India's economy is likely to grow at 6.3-6.8 per cent in 2025-26 on the back of strong macroeconomic fundamentals, though strategic and prudent policy management will be required to navigate global headwinds, as per the latest Economic Survey. The country witnessed a muted growth at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25 (April 2024 to March 2025), down from 9.2 per cent in the previous year. Sharing the quarterly growth estimates, the report said the Indian economy is expected to grow at 6.5 per cent in the second quarter and at a lower rate of 6.3 per cent in the next quarter. In the fourth quarter of the current financial year, the GDP growth will be lowest at 6.1 per cent, it added. Compared to the SBI report, the Reser

Icra pegs Q1 GDP growth rate at 6.7% on higher govt capex, exports

The Indian economy is expected to grow at 6.7 per cent in April-June period of current fiscal, higher than 6.5 per cent a year ago, on the back of higher government capex and exports, rating agency Icra said on Tuesday. This projection also outpaces the RBI's Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC's) forecast of 6.5 per cent growth in the June quarter. India's economy grew 7.4 per cent in March quarter of FY25. Official data for FY26 Q1 GDP is scheduled to be released on August 29. Icra Chief Economist Aditi Nayar said investment activity held up in Q1 FY2026 was boosted by the front-loading of government capex. Although, this admittedly came on a low base amidst the heightened uncertainty owing to geopolitical tensions and tariff-related developments. "Benefitting from robust government capital as well as revenue spending, upfronted exports to some geographies and nascent signals of improved consumption, the pace of expansion in economic activity in Q1 FY2026 is estimated at 6.7 per cen