Page 2 - Gdp Forecast

Crisil raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 7% after strong Q2 growth

Crisil has raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 7 per cent from 6.5 per cent for the current financial year, following the first-half growth of 8 per cent that exceeded expectations. Chief economist of Crisil, Dharmakriti Joshi, said that India's real GDP growth stood at 8.2 per cent in the second quarter, exceeding expectations. However, due to easing inflation, the nominal GDP growth was modest at 8.7 per cent. The first half growth of eight per cent and an expected slowdown to 6.1 per cent in the second half owing to the impact of higher US tariffs, Joshi said. According to Crisil, private consumption was the main driver of higher real GDP growth. From the supply side, growth in manufacturing and services saw a significant rise. Joshi said lower food inflation stoked discretionary spending in the country. Joshi said that the third quarter is expected to continue benefiting from these tailwinds. While government investment will stabilise likely, there could be a .

FY26 GDP growth likely to be 7% or more: CEA V Anantha Nageswaran

India's GDP growth saw a six-quarter high of 8.2% in Q2 FY2026, increasing over the 7.8% growth seen in the first quarter of this fiscal

India's Q2 FY26 GDP grows 8.2% as spending and key sectors strengthen

Real GDP for the quarter stood at ₹48.63 trillion, up from ₹44.94 trillion in Q2 FY25

India's Q2 GDP growth likely stayed firm on strong domestic demand

Gross domestic product is expected to have grown 7.3 per cent in July-September from a year earlier, down from 7.8 per cent in the prior quarter

India's economy grew at 7.3% in Q2 on rural and govt spending boost: Poll

India remains one of the world's fastest-growing major economies in the face of US President Donald Trump raising tariffs on Indian goods to 50 per cent in August

Icra projects India's GDP growth to ease to 7% for September quarter

Rating agency ICRA on Tuesday projected GDP growth to moderate in July-September period of FY26 to 7 per cent, from 7.8 per cent in the previous quarter, amid lower government spending. ICRA said while the services and agriculture sectors would lose some momentum in the second quarter, industrial performance would be strong propelled by manufacturing, construction and favourable base effects. This is expected to underpin the quarter's economic activity. The rating agency in a statement said it expects GDP growth to ease to 7 per cent year-on-year in Q2 (July-September) from 7.8 per cent in Q1 (April-June) FY2025-26. Indian economy had expanded 5.6 per cent in the Q2 (July-September) of 2024-25 fiscal. The National Statistics Office (NSO) is slated to release the official data on FY26 Q2 GDP growth estimates on November 28. ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar said a lower YoY rise in government spending is likely to weigh on the pace of the GDP and GVA growth in Q2 FY2026 compared to

India's Q2 economic growth may have surpassed RBI's 7% projection

Economists see growth above 7% in July-September, backed by consumption revival, robust capex, and steady industrial output; RBI had earlier pegged Q2 GDP at 7%

GDP likely to grow 7.2% in Q2 FY26, driven by private consumption: Ind-Ra

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday projected India's GDP to grow at 7.2 per cent in the second quarter of the current fiscal, with private consumption being the leading growth driver. The Indian economy had expanded 5.6 per cent in the Q2 (July-September) of 2024-25 fiscal. India's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have grown at the fastest pace in five quarters at 7.8 per cent in the April to June period of the current fiscal. The National Statistics Office (NSO) is slated to release the official data on FY26 Q2 GDP growth estimates on November 28. In a statement, Ind-Ra said it expects GDP growth to remain robust at 7.2 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter of FY26. "From the demand side, private consumption is a leading growth driver due to steady real income growth both in upper- and lower-income households. The resilient services sector along with the favourable base-led goods exports growth in the manufacturing sector propelled GDP growth .

India to be 3rd-largest economy by 2028; equities remain pricey: UBS

From a stock market perspective, however, UBS remains underweight on Indian equities as valuations in their view still look expensive relative to the ordinary fundamental performance of companies.

Economy has weathered global headwinds, GDP to be near 7% in FY26: CEA

Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Wednesday said the Indian economy has responded quite satisfactorily to global headwinds, and exuded confidence that real GDP growth is likely to touch 7 per cent in FY26. Speaking at the India Maritime Week here, Nageswaran said three global rating agencies have recently upgraded their ratings on India, and if the country continues on the same track, India can "soon" break into the 'A' rating category. The academic-turned-policy advisor said the resilience shown by the economy, coupled with measures by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), places the Indian economy in a "comfortable position". "We should be quite satisfied with the way the Indian economy has responded to global uncertainties this year, and the tariff-related developments as well," he said. The policy measures, including relief in income tax and the recent GST rationalization "have combined to improve the economic growth prospects for this year to near or

Indian economy likely to grow faster than expected 6.6% in FY26: Poll

While a punitive 50 per cent tariff levied by the US on Indian goods is still in place, recent comments from Washington and New Delhi have raised optimism it will be reduced

India's economy expected to grow at 6.7-6.9% in FY26 amid reforms: Deloitte

Deloitte India on Thursday projected India's economy to grow 6.7-6.9 per cent in the current fiscal amid buoyant demand and policy reforms. Indian economy grew 7.8 per cent in the April-June quarter of current fiscal. Deloitte India's 'India Economic Outlook' report forecasts a GDP growth between 6.7 and 6.9 per cent, averaging 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, up by 0.3 percentage points from Deloitte's previous forecast. This performance signals not just resilience but a renewed sense of India emerging stronger than most nations. Similar growth rates are expected in the subsequent year, but the range of variation remains broader due to uncertainties associated with trade and investment. The GDP growth forecast is in lines with the RBI which projected FY26 economic growth at 6.8 per cent. Growth is likely to be supported by buoyant domestic demand, accommodative monetary policy, and structural reforms, such as GST 2.0. Low inflation will contribute to spending as purchasing power ..

Explained: How digital payments are fuelling India's economic growth

Govt plans to introduce biometric authentication for UPI payments, but what exactly is a digital payment system and why is it important for the Indian economy?

Slower growth, under-target inflation will prompt another rate cut: BMI

BMI added that the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts for FY26 are too high, pointing to it as one of the main reasons behind the possible cuts

RBI MPC October policy: Central bank cuts FY26 inflation estimate to 2.6%

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) stated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for Q1 of 2026-27 is projected at 4.5 per cent

OECD lifts India's FY26 growth outlook to 6.7%; S&P retains at 6.5%

OECD expects global growth to soften in the second half of 2025 as front-loaded activity fades and higher tariffs in the US and China dampen investment and trade

S&P Global retains India's GDP forecast at 6.5%, revises inflation downward

The report added that low inflation provides room for further monetary policy adjustments, with S&P expecting a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India in FY26

Fitch ups India’s GDP forecast, Centre clears transport projects in Bihar, Nepal unrest & more

Fitch Ratings has raised India’s FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.9% from 6.5%, citing strong domestic demand. The global rating agency said robust real incomes will boost consumption.

Fitch ups India FY26 GDP forecast to 6.9% from 6.5% on domestic demand

Global growth is now forecast to be 2.4 per cent in 2025, up 0.2 percentage points (pp) since June but a sizable slowdown from 2.9 per cent last year and below trend

Govt spending and exports likely to begin unwinding in Q2, says BMI

BMI said any export front-loading that continued post-June has likely been cut short by the rise in US 'reciprocal' tariffs, first to 25 per cent on July 31, 2025, and then to 50 per cent on August 27