The rupee's rebound after the RBI's latest measures may prove short-lived as energy import dependence and weak capital inflows weigh on the currency; further rate hikes could help address the pressure
The rupee appreciated 31 paise to 94.86 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday, supported by the ongoing impact of the Reserve Bank of India's structural forex interventions and liquidity-tightening measures. Market participants attributed the rupee's continued appreciation to central bank intervention and the unwinding of long dollar positions. However, ongoing external macroeconomic pressures are likely to temper further gains, they said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 94.95, then gained ground to touch 94.86, registering a gain of 31 paise over its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee appreciated 19 paise to close at 95.17 against the US dollar. The rupee has now crossed 95.5095.00 range, bringing 94.80 into focus, CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. "A sustained break below 94.80 could open the door to another 5075 paise of appreciation. And the reduced direct dollar demand from oil companies could support the momentum," Pabari .
The rupee closed at 95.16 per dollar, up 0.13 per cent, as RBI forex measures and Governor Sanjay Malhotra's comments lent support, while importer demand capped its gains
The rupee appreciated 44 paise to 94.92 against US dollar in early trade on Wednesday, supported by Reserve Bank of India interventions designed to ease near-term dollar demand and limit speculative foreign exchange exposure. Forex traders said the USD/INR pair, which has gained nearly 2 per cent in the last three trading sessions, opened on a positive note on Wednesday, largely driven by regulatory measures implemented by the RBI to limit volatility and curb speculative trading. A sustained move below the 95.00 threshold opens potential toward 94.50, but ongoing external macroeconomic pressures are likely to temper further gains, they said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.05, then gained ground to touch 94.92, registering a gain of 44 paise over its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee strengthened for the third straight session and appreciated 42 paise to close at 95.36 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tue
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The rupee appreciated 82 paise to 94.96 against US dollar in early trade on Tuesday, supported by various RBI measures aimed at reducing immediate dollar demand and curbing excessive positions in the foreign exchange market. Forex traders said measures including a dedicated dollar window for oil marketing companies through designated banks and higher costs for certain foreign exchange hedging transactions, are expected to reduce dollar demand in the spot market and curb speculative positions against the rupee. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.53, then gained ground to touch 94.96, registering a gain of 82 paise over its previous close. On Monday, the rupee appreciated 93 paise, logging its steepest single-day gain in more than six months, to close at 95.78 against the US dollar. "With the RBI's measures supporting the rupee, we expect USD/INR to move towards 95.0094.80 range in the near term," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said. The RBI on Saturd
The move is the latest in a slew of measures announced by the central bank since Saturday aimed at supporting the rupee, which has been falling due to steep oil prices and capital outflows
Lenders have approached RBI via a forex industry body, seeking the removal of a mandate that banks make a 20% cash deposit with the RBI for FX derivatives used to hedge current-account exposures
The currency gained 1%, its biggest jump since April, to 95.7575 per dollar on Monday
The rupee opened at 95.73 against the greenback today compared with Friday's close of 96.76. As of 9.14 AM, it was trading at 95.76, according to Bloomberg data.
The rupee is poised to rally when trading resumes Monday, with analysts expecting the RBI to defend the 97-per-dollar level
Special window for PSU oil companies from Monday; Forex dealers will not permit users to rebook any foreign exchange derivatives
The rupee appreciated 23 paise to 96.65 against US dollar in early trade on Friday, supported by a slight softening in the US dollar and suspected intervention by the Reserve Bank of India. Forex traders said the rupee opened on a positive note this morning with the dollar index down to 102 levels and Brent also down to USD 103.39 per barrel after US President Donald Trump said that the attack on Iran will happen only after the midterm elections. However, broader geopolitical pressures on the domestic currency persist and relentless foreign fund outflows is pressurising the domestic unit further, they said. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 96.74, then gained some ground to touch 96.65, registering a rise of 23 paise over its previous close. On Thursday, the rupee depreciated by 13 paise to close at 96.88 against the US dollar. "Sustained strength in the US Dollar Index (DXY trading near multi-month highs near to 102.50), Brent crude prices firming back
Central banks need to factor in geopolitical risks before they materialise, not treat them as a sideshow
The rupee traded in a narrow range and edged up 10 paise to 96.65 against US dollar in early trade on Thursday on likely intervention by the Reserve Bank of India. Forex traders said rupee is under pressure amid persistent macroeconomic headwinds, including global dollar strength (DXY trading near multi-month highs), elevated Brent crude prices hovering near USD 102 per barrel. Moreover, relentless foreign fund outflows as well as fall in forex reserves by USD 50 billion in just three weeks from the high of USD 786 billion in September dented investor sentiments further. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 96.71, then gained some ground to touch 96.65, registering a rise of 10 paise over its previous close. On Wednesday, the rupee closed at 96.75 against the American currency. "Strong corporate importer demand for dollars together with safe-haven capital shifts overpowered the RBI's hawkish policy stance, driving USD/INR higher through the afternoon unti
The rupee depreciated 10 paise to 96.45 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy decision. The rupee is under continuous pressure amid persistent outflows of foreign funds from domestic equities and strong US dollar holding near multi-month highs above 102 (DXY), forex traders said. Moreover, investors are keenly awaiting the RBI's monetary policy decision for further cues. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 96.37, then lost ground and fell to 96.45, down 10 paise from its previous close. On Tuesday, the rupee settled at 96.35 against the US dollar. "We have the RBI monetary policy meeting today, in which the RBI is expected to raise rates by 25 bps with an outside chance of a 50 bps raise. The RBI may also raise the CRR by 1 per cent to 4 per cent to absorb the excess liquidity. "We await the RBI stance on the falling rupee which has lost more than 2 per cent in the last 1 month with oil demand and
The yield on India's 10-year bonds jumped 5 basis points to 7.27 per cent after the decision and was up 8 bps compared to Tuesday's close of 7.19 per cent, according to data on Bloomberg.
The rupee declined 4 paise to 96.39 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday over a rise in crude oil prices and sustained FII outflows. However, positive sentiments in the domestic equity markets and a weaker dollar index cushioned the local unit against further decline, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 96.29 but fell to 96.39, down 4 paise from its previous close. The rupee depreciated 10 paise to close at 96.35 against the US dollar on Monday. "The Reserve Bank has been protecting the rupee from its fall at 96.33 but the demand of dollar from FPIs and oil companies has not come down despite oil falling to USD 100.63 per barrel and dollar index to 102.12," Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP, said. The Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee began its three-day meeting on Monday and is likely to raise rates by 25 basis points, aligning with the central banks' hawkish stance a
RBI's net short dollar position in the forward book surged to $200.06 billion at August-end as FCNR(B) flows boosted longer-tenure forward positions