The Sensex needs to sustain above 77,000-mark for igniting a pre-Budget rally; Nifty daily chart shows that bearish momentum was showing some signs of tapering-off. India VIX likely to rise this week.
Technical charts suggest that stocks such as Prestige Estates, Lodha and Sobha can fall up to 32 per cent from here on, while the Nifty Realty index can crack by another 14 per cent.
According to Morgan Stanley, markets seem to be approaching the budget with skepticism and could be dealing with both volatility and upside risk post budget.
Technical charts show that Paytm is seeking support around its key moving averages on the daily and weekly scale; while Zomato is on the verge of a negative breakout on the weekly scale.
The near bullish pivot for the BSE stock stands at Rs 5,990, while the long-term bias is likely to remain positive as long as Rs 5,555 is held; shows technical chart.
Technical chart shows that as long as the BSE Sensex holds 76,300 on a closing basis, the market can hope for a relief rally; which can get stronger on break above 78,150.
Siemens stock outlook: This stock from the engineering and capital goods industry could slide by another 18% if the key supports at Rs 5,600 and Rs 5,400 are violated shows technical chart.
The Nifty SmallCap and MidCap indices have plunged up to 7% thus far in 2025 as against a near 2% fall in the Nifty 50 index. Chart shows broader indices on course to test multi-month support levels.
Analysis of the market data by SAMCO Securities shows that the BSE Sensex delivered a negative return during the last 6 Maha Kumbh Mela periods, followed by a net gain in the subsequent 6 months.
The near term bias for Nifty is likely to remain negative as long as the index remains below 23,660 - 23,940 resistance zone, shows the technical chart.
Hero Moto, Tata Motors and Bharat Forge are the worst hit as shares trade at over 20% discount against the long-term moving average. Maruti, Bosch, Bajaj Auto stock could dip another 11%.
A weekly close below the 50-WMA, shall open the doors for a likely slide towards 22,275 on the Nifty. Sensex likely to test 75,200 in the near-term.
Share Market Outlook: NSE Nifty could face interim resistance around 24,250 and 24,435, show technical charts. Here are the key levels to watch out on Sensex, MidCap and SmallCap indices this week.
Asian Paints stock has been testing its 20-day daily moving average after a gap of three months. Chart shows near hurdle for the stock placed at Rs 2,397 above which a pullback rally seems likely.
Technical charts show the Nifty Auto index can potentially rally another 10% to 26,180 levels; while select stocks such as M&M, Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland can surge up to 15%.
Derivatives market data shows FIIs net sold 78,868 contracts of Nifty futures in first 4 trading days of Jan series while OI rose 74,992 contracts; thus implying build-up of short positions in Nifty.
The yearly Fibonacci chart suggests that the BSE benchmark index can gyrate in the 69,000 - 88,600 range in the calendar year 2025; an upside breakout of the range can trigger fresh momentum.
An index or a stock is said to be in a 'correction' phase when it has dipped over 10 per cent and up to 20 per cent from its recent peak level. A 20 per cent or more fall is termed as a 'bear' phase
Markets regulator Sebi has proposed allowing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), Small and Medium REITs (SM REITs) and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs) to use interest rate derivatives for hedging risk. Also, the regulator has suggested approving locked-in units for REITs and InvITs to be transferred among sponsors and their groups, similar to rules for promoters in listed companies, to help sponsors manage their holdings without compromising "skin in the game". Additionally, Sebi has suggested permitting fixed deposits to be considered as cash equivalents when calculating leverage for REITs and InvITs, clarifying credit rating requirements for REIT and InvIT borrowings, and setting a timeline for filling vacancies on their boards and expanding the asset base for REITs and SM REITs. The regulator has also proposed to permit REITs to invest in liquid mutual funds. It has suggested measures to facilitate ease of doing business for REITs and InvITs, along with investors' .
The outcome of the state polls, especially in Haryana and Maharashtra, analysts believe, are also important from 'farm politics' viewpoint, and how the government deal with the farmer's demands