In the worst-scenario, though, Emkay Global warns that Nifty may hit 25,000 in Q1-2026. Rupee weakness, and US tariff uncertainy remain key risks
January is likely to remain a phase of consolidation, with investors balancing earnings visibility, global cues, and budget-related expectations, analysts said
Morgan Stanley, under its bull case, has set a BSE Sensex target of 107,000, implying an upside potential of 25 per cent through December 2026
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Mutual funds pumped a record ₹4.9 trillion into equities in 2025, driven by strong SIP inflows and retail participation despite volatile markets
Motilal Oswal said the Nifty is trading at a 12-month forward P/E of 21.2x, near its long-period average of 20.8x, suggesting valuations are reasonable.
Rise in debt, commodity ETF inflows offset lower lumpsum inflows into equity schemes
Gold and silver delivered outsized gains in 2025, while Sensex and Nifty rose for a 10th year, held up by retail inflows even as FPIs sold and earnings lagged
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The Nifty SmallCap index has declined 7 per cent so far this year (CY25), the most since the 14-per cent fall in CY-2022, as against a 10 per cent rise in the benchmark Nifty50 index in 2025
Industry adds 5.8 million investors this year compared to 10.6 million in 2024
Market outlook 2026: Looking ahead, Akshat Garg, head of research & product at Choice Wealth, believes calendar year 2026 is likely to be a stock-picker's market
Analysts think financials, metals, and IT sectors are trading at 'relatively' better values and may offer suitable entry points at current levels
Most small-cap stocks, according to analysts, were richly valued in CY25 after their sharp run in the last two calendar year
Flexicap funds and precious-metal ETFs dominated new investor accounts in 2025, as retail money sought diversification, lower-risk equity exposure and performance-linked returns
Flexicap funds top equity MF inflows in 2025, emerging as investors' preferred choice amid volatile markets and becoming the largest equity category by assets
Domestic fund raising is growing faster amid increased local interest
The share of gold in household savings has risen sharply by 855 bps over the past 12 months to 45.6 per cent, primarily on the back of M2M gains
A report by Nuvama Alternative and Quantitative Research estimates the largecap cutoff to surge 15 per cent to ₹1.05 trillion compared to the current threshold of ₹91,572 crore
Despite the global uncertainty and a selloff in risk assets, the Nifty 50 has stayed range-bound over the past few months, supported by robust domestic inflows