Page 7 - Market Lens

Market playbook under strain amid West Asia war; downside seen limited

The median fall across key global events since 2003-including the Lebanon War, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the Israel-Hamas war-stands at around 7 per cent

Cash market turnover dipped, F&O growth remained sluggish in FY26

Higher STT, RBI rule tightening may continue to weigh on volumes this fiscal; higher STT seen further boosting options trading

From certainty to ambiguity: How market analysts interpret Trump's statement

One of the most important factors that will determine market's trajectory in the weeks ahead, according to analysts, remains crude oil prices.

Will FY27 be a year of fixed deposits as West Asia war dents stock returns?

Data shows that FDs beat stock market returns in FY26. Analysts, however, expect equities to outperform most asset classes in FY27 despite the ongoing geopolitical conflict in West Asia.

Indian stock markets only loser among EMs in FY26: What lies ahead?

Going ahead, analysts believe the probability of another year of relative underperformance remains high, unless earnings improve meaningfully, crude stabilises, and foreign flows return

Market swings ahead, fundamentals provide anchor: Analysts map FY27 path

Improving valuations and a projected earnings recovery of 13-15 per cent, analysts believe, are expected to sustain the long-term investment case

20 stocks to buy: Elara sees solid upside as Nifty enters 'bounce zone'

Elara said the Nifty50 is currently trading at around 17.3 times one-year forward earnings, nearly 7 per cent below its 10-year average of 18.6 times, placing it in a historical 'bounce zone'

Active funds still have an alpha edge, majority win on risk-adjusted basis

Active smallcap schemes had the highest median alpha of over 2 per cent. The rest of the categories exhibited between 0.8 per cent and 1.3 per cent alpha on a median basis

Markets underpricing oil shock risk, crude can hit $150/bbl: Analysts

Retail fuel price hike is unavoidable with crude above $110/bbl, suggest analysts at Elara Capital. At $125 crude, even after the excise cut, the retail price needs to rise by Rs 8-14/liter, they add.

Foreigners dump record $12 bn Indian equities amid Iran war, energy crisis

Soaring energy costs have hurt oil-importing Asian peers, but the scale of outflows from India points to already bearish global sentiment

West Asia war volatility strains trading in world's biggest markets

None of the world's biggest markets, from US Treasuries, to gold, to currencies have been spared, investors and traders said

Force Motors, GMDC, Ola Electrctric: Here's a look at FY26 gainers & losers

The Nifty50 is expected to close the fiscal year 2026 (FY26) with nearly 3 per cent loss, against a 5.3 per cent gain in the preceding financial year.

Sensex set to post negative return after 6 fiscal years; midcaps outperform

Earlier in FY20, the benchmark Sensex tanked 23.8 per cent due to the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, while the Nifty 50 crashed 26.03 per cent.

Stocks, real estate, bonds, gold, silver, oil: Where to invest in FY27?

Here's how leading analysts expect FY27 to play out for different asset classes and suggest an ideal investing strategy.

Changing math: Earnings downgrades likely to overshadow valuation allure

Nifty at 17x may look attractive, but earnings downgrades cloud returns as Goldman Sachs cuts India outlook amid rising macro risks

Foreign investors rethink India bet: BNP Paribas flags 4 risks for markets

FIIs have turned cautious on Indian equities, selling ₹1.07 trillion amid Iran war risks. BNP Paribas flags oil, inflation, CAD and earnings concerns.

Markets betting on TACO moment in West Asia conflict, says Chris Wood

After a five-day pause until Friday, US President Donald Trump announced that he is delaying planned strikes on Iran's power plants at Tehran's request, signaling a temporary easing of tensions

From crude to currency: Key triggers that could influence markets in FY27

Foreign outflows, the West Asia conflict, rupee depreciation, uncertainty around US tariffs, and elevated valuations were among the key factors that influenced investor sentiment

Will FII selling persist in FY27? Analysts see modest flows returning in H2

Analysts expect FIIs to stay cautious on Indian equities in H1FY27 as global risks weigh. They, however, see flows returning in H2FY27. Strong DII inflows could also support Indian markets.

Options boom to face STT hike test from April 1; analysts weigh impact

The recent move on the STT hike is not the first such intervention to discourage retail participation in the derivatives segment.