Page 2 - Moody’s

Moody's Ratings revises forecast of India's 2025 GDP growth to 5.5-6.5%

The revised growth forecast takes into account a scenario of 10 per cent universal tariffs and 145 per cent tariffs on China

US tariff impact: Moody's Analytics cuts India's 2025 GDP forecast to 6.1%

Moody's Analytics said that its April baseline represents the economic toll they'll have should the tariffs eventually go ahead in full

ECL Finance names Ajay Khurana MD; Moody's upgrades Muthoot rating

Moody's Ratings has upgraded gold financier Muthoot Finance Ltd's long-term corporate family rating from Ba2 to Ba1. The rating outlook remains stable

India, Brazil well placed to withstand shocks, says Moody's Ratings

In February, the government in the Union Budget hiked the income tax rebate to Rs 12 lakh from Rs 7 lakh

India's growth to be highest among advanced, emerging G20 nations: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Tuesday said India's growth at 6.5 per cent this fiscal will remain the highest amongst the advanced and emerging G-20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued monetary easing, and the country will continue to attract capital and withstand any cross-border outflow. In its report on emerging markets, Moody's said such economies are "exposed to choppy waters" from the churn of US policies and its potential to reshape global capital flows, supply chains, trade and geopolitics. Large EMs (emerging markets) have resources to navigate the turbulence. It said economic activity in the fastest-growing economies will slow slightly from high levels but remain strong this year and next. In China, exports and investment in infrastructure and priority high-tech sectors remain the main growth drivers, while domestic consumption remains weak. "India's growth will remain the highest of the advanced and emerging G-20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued ...

Moody's affirms IndusInd's ratings; places on review for downgrade

The action comes in the backdrop of the bank's revelations about the inadequate internal controls in accounting for derivative transactions

Moody's places IndusInd Bank's credit assessment on review for downgrade

Moody's said that the impact of the derivatives transactions, coupled with the ongoing stress in the retail unsecured loans, is likely to hurt the bank's profitability, capital and funding

Moody's downgrades Volkswagen on sector headwinds, competition in China

Last week, Volkswagen forecast another challenging year of ramping up EV sales, cutting costs and navigating trade tensions amid fierce competition with cheaper and faster rivals in China

Bank's asset quality to deteriorate moderately in F26 and FY27: Moody's

Funding tightness to abate as loan-to-deposit ratio stabilizes

World Bank's triple-A rating threatened if Trump pulls support: Moody's

Last week, Trump signed an Executive Order to review US government support to all international intergovernmental organisations of which it is a member and to withdraw from some UN organisations

No immediate upgrade of India's sovereign rating: Moody's after Budget 2025

Moody's Ratings has ruled out an immediate upgrade of India's sovereign rating, despite the government's efforts to manage its finances prudently and the proposal to reduce fiscal deficit to 4.4 per cent of GDP in FY26 in the Budget. "While we view the government's sustained fiscal discipline and narrower fiscal deficits as credit positive, we don't expect these improvements in the debt burden or 'debt affordability' to be enough to trigger a sovereign rating upgrade at this time," Christian de Guzman, Senior Vice President, Moody's Ratings, told PTI in an interview on Saturday. Moody's currently maintains India's sovereign rating at "Baa3" with a stable outlook, which is the lowest investment-grade rating. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, in her Budget speech, projected the fiscal deficit for FY25 at 4.8 per cent of GDP and 4.4 per cent for FY26. While India is making strides toward fiscal discipline and inflation control, Moody's maintains that for a rating upgrade, a ...

India needs fiscal policy changes for 6.4% GDP growth rate in 2025: Moody's

India needs to change its fiscal and monetary policy to achieve a 6.4 per cent GDP growth in 2025 amid a weak rupee, declining foreign investment and volatile inflation, Moody's Analytics said on Wednesday. Moody's Analytics said it expects the 2025-26 Union Budget to support domestic demand, particularly investment while aiming for a fiscal deficit of less than 4.5 per cent of GDP for the next fiscal. In 2023-24, the fiscal deficit was 5.6 per cent of GDP, which is estimated to come down to 4.9 per cent in the current fiscal. "India is facing a bumpy road in 2025. A weakening rupee, declining foreign investment, and volatile inflation are the areas of greatest economic risk. Changes in fiscal and monetary policy, likely in the first half of the year, is needed if India is to achieve 6.4 per cent growth," Moody's Analytics Associate Economist Aditi Raman said. Moody's said that while India had one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia in 2024, GDP growth waned over the first thr

Rupee fell 20% in last 5 yrs, weakest currency in Southeast Asia: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Thursday said the Indian rupee has depreciated by around 5 per cent in the last two years and has fallen by 20 per cent in the last five years making it one of the weakest performing currencies in South and South East Asia. Of the 23 rated Indian companies, Moody's assessed only six to be exposed to the effects of dollar strength, but these companies have sufficient mitigating factors. These companies are the three oil refining and marketing companies (OMCs), Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) and Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), building materials producer UltraTech Cement, Bharti Airtel and ride sharing company ANI Technologies Pvt Ltd. "While the rupee has depreciated by only around 5 per cent in the last two years, it has fallen over 20 per cent since January 2020, making it one of the weakest-performing currencies in South and Southeast Asia," Moody's said in its report on Corporates '? South and Southeast Asia Emerging

India's fiscal conditions to constrain credit strength in 2025: Moody's

India's fiscal conditions will continue to constrain its credit strength in 2025, although tension in US-China relations could benefit the Indian economy, Moody's Ratings said on Wednesday. In its report on Asia Pacific Sovereigns, Moody's Ratings said growth and inflation are levelling out, with strong domestic demand bolstered by modest easing in global and regional financial conditions. But proposed trade restrictions by the US would weaken economic output across the region. "India's fiscal conditions will continue to constrain its credit strength in 2025. We expect only gradual fiscal consolidation, and debt to remain significantly higher than the Baa-rated peer median of around 57 per cent," Moody's said. "Despite gains in revenue in recent years, we also expect debt affordability to remain much weaker than rated peers," it added. It said politics and social unrest pose significant economic and fiscal risks. In APAC, geopolitical risks will persist in 2025, flowing from tensi

Moody's Ratings cut France's credit grade, heaps pressure on new govt

In an unscheduled change, Moody's lowered its assessment of the euro area's second-biggest economy to Aa3 from Aa2, three levels below the maximum rating

Moody's upgrades Oyo parent Oravel Stays rating; maintains stable outlook

Moody's Ratings has upgraded the corporate family rating (CFR) of Oravel Stays Limited -- travel tech platform OYO's parent firm -- and the rating on the senior secured term loan issued by its wholly-owned subsidiary OYO Singapore to B2 from B3, and maintained the stable outlook. In a statement on Wednesday, Moody's said it has assigned a B2 rating to the USD 825 million senior secured term loan facility to be availed by Oravel Stays Singapore Pte. (OYO Singapore). The term loan is fully underwritten by Deutsche Bank. Elaborating upon the rating rationale, Moody's said OYO is in the process of securing a new five-year USD 825 million term loan, which together with the USD 174 million of primary equity capital raised between June and August 2024, will be used to repay its existing TLB that matures in June 2026, easing its refinancing pressures. The proceeds will also fund the company's proposed USD 525-million acquisition of US-based hotel chain Motel 6. OYO's interest expense will

Moody's upgrades Oyo's rating to B2, highlights improved profitability

Proposed term loan to reduce refinancing risk

Moody's and Fitch take rating action against Adani group companies

The rating action by Moody's, Fitch, and earlier S&P Global may weaken the group's access to external funding and increase its capital costs

Moody's says Indian economy in 'sweet spot,' predicts 2024 growth of 7.2%

India's real GDP expanded 6.7 per cent year-on-year in the June quarter of 2024, driven by a revival in household consumption, robust investment, and strong manufacturing activity

Slowing Indian economy to drag APAC's growth in 2025: Moody's Analytics

S&P expects RBI to cut rates next month