FIIs have been net sellers in index futures for 11 straight days. Their open positions in Nifty futures jumped by 47% thus far in July series, implying significant short build-up; suggests F&O data.
Nifty Expiry Day: A breakout above the 25,300 level could result in swift short-covering and potentially drive the Nifty towards the 25,450 - 25,500 zone, said Dhupesh Dhameja of SAMCO Securities.
Foreign Institutional Investors long-short ratio in index futures now stands at the lowest point in two months; implying the presence of 5 sell-side bets for every long position, shows NSE F&O data.
Will the market witness a bull-trap or a short-covering rally on Nifty futures & options expiry day; here are the key levels to watch out for as per market experts.
Sahaj Agrawal of Kotak Securities recommends a Nifty Bull Call Spread in F&O for the upcoming May 29 expiry.
F&O market cues: FIIs hold nearly 2 short positions in index futures for every long trade; DIIs net sold over 34,000 contracts in the last 2 days, shows NSE data.
FIIs net sold stocks and futures worth ₹6,668.28 crore on Tuesday. Open positions declined by 15%, and long-short ratio in index futures dropped to 0.6 in last three trading days, shows NSE F&O data.
FIIs net bought over 30,000 contracts of Nifty futures in the last five days; thereby taking their long-short ratio to 0.94 - its highest point since October 4, 2024; shows the NSE derivatives data.
The NSE F&O data shows that domestic institutional investors offloaded over 36,000 contracts of index futures in the last 8 days, while the Nifty 50 index rose nearly 4 per cent.
Data from NSE shows that retail investors have turned net bearish in index futures for the first time in six months; while DIIs remain the most bullish among market participants.
From down 8%, to up over 3% - the NSE Nifty 50 index seems poised to end higher for the 11th time in the last 13 April months; also a relatively shorter F&O series in terms of trading sessions.
Historical data shows that the Nifty has ended higher in most of the April F&O series in the last 12 years; the average gain for the NSE benchmark has been over 3 per cent.
A breakout above 23,350 could fuel further upside towards the 23,700-23,800 range, said analyst at Kotak Securities
NSE derivatives data shows that FIIs are least bearish since December 13; DIIs most bullish in more than a year, while retail investors have turned cautious.
FIIs net bought 35,901 contracts of Nifty futures and 31,258 contracts of Bank Nifty in the last 4 days; DIIs bullish bets in index futures at highest in more than a year, shows NSE F&O data.
As per the data from the NSE F&O segment, foreign institutional investors now hold 3 short positions in index futures for every long trade as against 5 bearish bets held earlier.
According data from the NSE F&O segment, Tube Investments of India and PI Industries witnessed some short-covering in the week ended March 13, 2025.
Consolidation Phase: After rebounding from recent lows, Nifty has been consolidating this week, preparing for the next leg up.
Currently, the market is lacking the momentum to break decisively above 22,800 or below 22,000. Nifty is likely to consolidate sideways within the same in the near term
Derivatives market data shows that open bets in Nifty and Bank Nifty futures declined up to 8% yesterday; with FIIs covering some short bets, however they still hold significant shorts positions.