Overall, the monsoon till August 30 has been 6% less than normal
Farmers are bracing up for short duration of agricultural crops this season following forecast of El Nino incidence resulting into low rainfalls and fear of crop damage during the second half of the four-month monsoon season this year.While announcing the forecast of 96 per cent of the Long Term Average (LPA) which means "normal", the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday feared occurrence of El Nino in August. This means, the rainfalls will remain below normal in the August - September period, the crucial stage of germination and crop development."Five - 10 per cent of diversion in favour of short duration crops is possible this season as farmers might be looking to mitigate the risk of crop damage in the later part of the monsoon season. However, farmers with limited alternatives will continue with normal season crops like earlier. Most importantly, the progress of rainfalls would determine the fate of kharif crops this season," said M K Dhanuka, Managing Director, ...
It is being caused by a warms of the surface waters in Pacific Ocean, to continue for next 2 weeks
The central Pacific is predicted to continue to warm, with neutral conditions likely for the southern hemisphere autumn
India's monsoon season starts from June and extends up till September
An evolving El Nino is also equally harmful for Indian monsoon as experience from 2014 shows
La Niña, which causes bountiful rain, is ruled out for now
The 2015-16 El Niño was the strongest since the record event of 1997-98
El Niño has had an over-bearing impact on rainfall in India
Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is rising due to human emissions, but this year it is getting an extra boost due to the recent El Nino event
Climate indicators associated with El Niño, which emerged in 2015, have now returned to neutral levels, the BOM said
After a hotter than usual summer, a better monsoon would boost agriculture, rural demand
These included a devastating cholera outbreak in Peru in 1990, leading to over 13,000 deaths.