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Analysts say equity markets will begin baking in the negatives and weakness in the rupee if the US Fed chief Jerome Powell delivers a hawkish commentary at Jackson Hole later this week
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With the first quarter earnings season coming to an end, the domestic equity markets would be driven by global trends and trading activity of foreign investors this week, analysts said. The movement of global oil benchmark Brent crude and the rupee against the dollar would also drive trends in the market. "Macroeconomic indicators, trends in global stock markets and FII activities will be pivotal in shaping market trends in the coming days," Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst at Swastika Investmart Ltd, said. The market will react to some key global events such as the US existing home sales, initial jobless claims, and Eurozone S&P global composite PMI, Arvinder Singh Nanda, Senior Vice President at Master Capital Services Ltd, said. "With Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech and more macro data lined up globally this week, we expect domestic as well as global markets to remain under pressure. Also, RBI would release its meeting minutes on Thursday. "However, action is likely to .
Only five companies launched their IPOs in the first five months of 2023
The 30-share BSE Sensex climbed 232.23 points or 0.35 per cent to settle at 65,953.48. During the day, it jumped 346.65 points or 0.52 per cent to 66,067.90
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The RBI interest rate decision, industrial production data for June and the ongoing quarterly earnings from corporates would largely drive the stock markets this week, analysts said. Other major factors such as global market trends, the movement of oil prices and the trading activity of foreign investors would also influence trading, they added. "The market will have an eye on the RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, which will be announced on August 10, 2023. We are heading towards the last batch of Q2 earnings of key companies such as Adani Ports, Coal India, Hero MotoCorp, Hindalco and ONGC, among others, which will lead to stock-specific movement," said Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst, Swastika Investmart Ltd. On the macro front, market participants will be closely observing key events like industrial production and manufacturing production data, which will be released on August 11, Gour said. Trend in global stock markets, movement of the dollar index, the rupee
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Indian equity markets continue to draw foreign portfolio investments as foreign investors put in Rs 43,800 crore in July so far on stable macroeconomic fundamentals, steady earnings growth and challenges faced by the Chinese economy. With this, inflow in the equity market reached Rs 1.2 lakh crore so far this year, data with the depositories showed. Market analysts are of the view that the outlook for FPI inflows into Indian equities remains quite bright and broad-based. The concern, however, is the rising valuations. At high valuations, some negative triggers can lead to a sharp correction, V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategy at Geojit Financial Services, said. Persistent flows from FPIs have led Indian equity markets to surge to their all-time high levels. Therefore, intermittent profit booking cannot be ruled out going ahead, Himanshu Srivastava, Associate Director - Manager Research at Morningstar India, said. According to the data, FPIs have been continuously buying In
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Equity markets this week will be largely guided by trends in global stocks, foreign funds' trading activity and progress of monsoon, analysts said. Investors will also track the movement of rupee against the US dollar and crude oil prices. Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty closed at fresh lifetime highs on Friday. Market analysts attributed the rally in the markets to the fact that the US Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates, while positive global cues and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turning net buyers of local equities also supported the uptrend. "The Indian market will be closely monitoring the progress of the monsoon season. Globally, there is expected to be an increase in volatility in the US market over the coming week. This is due to the upcoming semi-annual testimony of Fed Chairman Powell to Congress," said Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst, Swastika Investmart Ltd. According to analysts, a steady recovery in global indices, especially in the US, .
'Chasing sectors which have reported strongest earnings not the right strategy always,' he says
Moreover, the upmove in the equity markets will shift towards small-caps, the brokerage predicts
'Given valuation comfort, we are still most overweight on China and South Korea,' says Saion Mukherjee
The foreign brokerage firm expects Nifty to drop to 16,000 levels as they foresee global slowdown, volatile commodities, peak urban demand/slow rural revival as some of the risks for earnings.
FPIs started the current financial year on a positive note and invested Rs 8,643 crore in Indian equities from April 3, data with the depositories showed
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