Stresses on need for coordinated transition to the shorter cycle
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Equity markets this week will be largely guided by trends in global stocks, foreign funds' trading activity and progress of monsoon, analysts said. Investors will also track the movement of rupee against the US dollar and crude oil prices. Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty closed at fresh lifetime highs on Friday. Market analysts attributed the rally in the markets to the fact that the US Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates, while positive global cues and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turning net buyers of local equities also supported the uptrend. "The Indian market will be closely monitoring the progress of the monsoon season. Globally, there is expected to be an increase in volatility in the US market over the coming week. This is due to the upcoming semi-annual testimony of Fed Chairman Powell to Congress," said Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst, Swastika Investmart Ltd. According to analysts, a steady recovery in global indices, especially in the US, .
'Chasing sectors which have reported strongest earnings not the right strategy always,' he says
Moreover, the upmove in the equity markets will shift towards small-caps, the brokerage predicts
'Given valuation comfort, we are still most overweight on China and South Korea,' says Saion Mukherjee
The foreign brokerage firm expects Nifty to drop to 16,000 levels as they foresee global slowdown, volatile commodities, peak urban demand/slow rural revival as some of the risks for earnings.
FPIs started the current financial year on a positive note and invested Rs 8,643 crore in Indian equities from April 3, data with the depositories showed
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Outbound M&A activity increased 31.6% year-on-year to hit $9.8 billion
Equity markets have been volatile over the past year. At such times, investors can look at firms that pay generous dividends, which can become a second income
India, according to them, is among the more sensitive markets to US rates, and demonstrates the most sensitivity to local rates given higher influence of domestic flows into the market
"Indian equities should catch up with global peers with a good probability of outperformance in the second half of this year"
Still, one-year equity returns globally, since the war began, have been subdued and marred by intense volatility
Globally, too, sticky inflation seems to be a cause for concern. Last week, two Federal Reserve (US Fed) officials suggested that the US central bank may need to keep interest rates elevated ahead
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"We expect a lot to go in the right direction for India. These include bad loans declining, consumption recovering, and investments rising"
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Equity valuations are unlikely to expand further unless there are surprises on the earnings front or developed economies do much better than expected, says Taher Badshah of Invesco MF