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Kunal Kamble, technical analyst at Bonanza decodes trading strategies in IT stocks - Infosys, TCS, HCL Technologies, L&T Technology Services and Tata Elxsi post Q3 earnings. Here's what expert says.
TCS Q3 results impact: The common thread across analysts is that while Q3 execution remains strong and margins resilient, clear visibility on broad-based demand acceleration is still missing.
The Nifty IT index needs to breakout above 38,500 resistance, for a likely 13 per cent rally, says Kunal Shah, Senior Technical Analyst at Mirae Asset ShareKhan.
After a modest recovery in Q2 on low expectations, Motilal Oswal expects December quarter (Q3) to revert to typical seasonal softness, with furloughs weighing on growth across large IT services firms.
Antique expects near-term moderation in technology spending in the US, given subdued consumer confidence and cautious end-demand trends
Analysts believe that valuation comfort coupled anticipated revival in earnings and possible reversal of AI trade offer a better risk-reward scenario for Indian IT firms.
The brokerage's analysis of its universe of stocks revealed that after a prolonged period of earnings cuts, companies are beginning to report earnings upgrades.
FPIs pulled out ₹17,823 crore from Indian equities in early December, with heavy selling in financials and IT, while oil & gas and metals saw selective buying
Nomura said it prefers Infosys and Cognizant among large-cap IT services firms, Coforge in mid-caps and eClerx in small-caps.
At the core of TCS's vision is a five-pillar framework designed to reorient the company from a digital-first services model to AI-centric enterprise transformation.
Its top ideas to play the next AI wave are HCLTech and Tech Mahindra in largecaps and Hexaware and Coforge in the midcap space
Nomura, which termed Coforge its "top pick in the mid-cap India IT services sector," said the company is banking on a solution-led sales strategy to maintain its growth trajectory.
Tech companies are, typically, at an advantage when the Indian Rupee depreciates against the Dollar
Valuations across the sector remain attractive, but Nomura stays selective. It has rolled forward its valuation framework to H1FY28 while maintaining target multiples.
Antique Stock Broking has maintained a hold rating, given that a sustained improvement in large-deal wins is key to delivering FY27 growth acceleration
Analysts attributed the up move to a pullback rally after sharp declines in past sessions. The index is currently 22.72% below its 52-week high of 46,088.90 and is down about 14.8% so far this year.
Technology stocks led a sharp rally as the Sensex crossed 85,000 for the first time in nearly 14 months. Both benchmark indices are now less than a per cent away from fresh lifetime peaks
Technical charts suggest that the IT index may gain another 5%, with heavyweights Infosys, TCS and HCL Technologies possibly rallying up to 17%. Wipro and Tech Mahindra, however, may see tepid trends.
Split wide open as sector exposure swings from defensive 5% to bold 18%
Nuvama noted that IT services companies outperformed expectations in Q2, supported by stronger growth, margin expansion, and healthy deal wins