The 6-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), headed by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, unanimously voted to hold the key repo rate at 5.15% and reverse repo rate at 4.90%
Transmission of rate cuts by banks has been slow because any lowering of interest rate, with deposit rates unchanged, will reduce banks' net interest income spread, affecting their revenue
If the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cuts the repo rate on Thursday, it would be the sixth reduction in the short-term lending rate in 2019
Effectiveness of the policy needs to be questioned
When expected inflation drops, the policy rate should drop even more
Even as market rates have fully reflected the rate cuts, companies are not necessarily in the mood for borrowing, as they face a slump in consumption demand and investment in the country
The recent inflation data is not a serious problem for the Monetary Policy Committee
Minutes of meetings show maintaining the 'accommodative' stance was the Reserve Bank governor's idea
Significant fiscal slippage could affect monetary policy
Although the transmission of monetary easing undertaken so far has been staggered and incomplete, it is expected to improve going forward.
Citing geo-political uncertainties and elevated food prices, the RBI revised inflation projection upward to 3.4 per cent for Q2FY20, while projections were retained at 3.5-3.7 per cent for H2FY20
Decisions from here on will need to be more considered
The core sector growth stood at 2.4 per cent during the first five months of the current financial year, lower than the 5.7 per cent a year ago
There are limits to what monetary policy can achieve
SBI reduced its marginal cost of funds-based lending rate from 8.4% to 8.25%
The MPC has also brought down the projection of GDP growth of 6.9 per cent from 7 per cent, which is not significant but definitely does affect sentiment
The rupee had opened on a weak note at 70.92 at the interbank forex market, then fell further to 70.99 against the dollar
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In PMI parlance, a print above 50 means expansion while a score below that denotes contraction
Lending rates did not move down much after the first two rate cuts of 2019