The rupee may depreciate 8-10 per cent against the US dollar during the Trump 2.0 regime, said a SBI research report, even as the local currency hit its all-time low on Monday. The report, titled US Presidential Election 2024: How Trump 2.0 Impacts India's and Global Economy, emphasised that the rupee can have a brief spell of depreciation against the US dollar, followed by appreciation. Donald J Trump's historical comeback as the 47th President of the United States adds a morphine shot to the markets and select asset classes even as the focus is now shifting to wider economic ramifications and supply chain realignments, the report said. "Trump's victory introduces a mix of challenges and opportunities for India. While the potential for increased tariffs, H-1B restrictions, and a strong dollar could bring short-term volatility...But it also presents India with long-term incentives to expand its manufacturing, diversify export markets, and enhance economic self-reliance," it added.
The rupee slipped 1 paisa to an all-time low of 84.38 against the US dollar in early trade on Monday, weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows and a muted trend in domestic equities. Forex traders said the rupee is likely to remain under pressure unless there is a softening in the dollar index or a slowdown in foreign fund outflows. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at an all-time low of 84.38 against the greenback, registering a fall of 1 paisa over its previous close. On Friday, the rupee dropped 5 paise to hit a new lifetime low of 84.37 against the US dollar, registering a decline for the third straight session. Last week, the rupee came under pressure amid the US elections and sustained foreign fund outflows. Following nearly USD 12 billion in equity sell-offs in October, foreign funds have continued their retreat in November, with outflows of around USD 1.6 billion recorded in just the first 10 days. This trend reflects the overvaluation of Indian .
Caution ahead of the US Fed meet outcome weighs on currency
Traders expect the Reserve Bank of India to continue intervening to prevent sharp moves in the rupee, which is evident in the currency's muted implied volatility compared to its regional peers
RBI intervenes to cut volatility
The dollar index climbed 1.5 per cent to a four-month high of 105.19 as trends signalled an edge for Republican candidate Donald Trump, prompting interest in so-called 'Trump trades.
Forex traders said investors were cautious ahead of the US presidential election. Markets are bracing for potential volatility over the coming days
The rupee fell 2 paise to an all-time low of 84.13 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday, as persistent foreign fund outflows and a muted trend in domestic equities dented investor sentiments. Forex traders said all eyes are on the US as it decides its next President. Markets are bracing for potential volatility over the coming days, especially with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement also scheduled this week. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.13 against the greenback, registering a fall of 2 paise over its previous close. On Monday, the rupee fell 4 paise to settle at a record low level of 84.11 against the US dollar. The rupee closed at an all-time low on Monday and opened at a new low of 84.13 as US elections rattled stock markets amid persistent foreign fund outflows, said Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP. "The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was present to absorb the fall
Market participants said the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened in the foreign exchange market via dollar sales to protect the rupee from further depreciation
The rupee opened on a flat note and rose 1 paisa to 84.07 against the US dollar in initial deals on Thursday, as strong dollar and persistent foreign fund outflows dented investor sentiments. Forex traders said the rupee remained range bound as month-end demand kept the US dollar well-bid. Moreover, a muted trend in domestic equities weighed on the local unit, while any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may support the local currency at lower levels, they said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.08 against the greenback, it rose 1 paisa to 84.07 in initial trade. On Wednesday, the rupee depreciated 3 paise to close at 84.08 against US dollar. The local currency has been hovering around its all-time low level. Rupee touched its lowest closing level of 84.10 against the dollar on October 11. The rupee has been trading below the 84-level for the majority of October, but the recent pressure is primarily due to domestic factors, notably month-end d
The rupee opened on a flat note and depreciated 2 paise to 84.07 against the US dollar in initial deals on Wednesday, weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows and muted domestic equities. Forex traders said the strength of the American currency in overseas markets dented investor sentiments, while easing crude oil prices and any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may support the local currency at lower levels. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.06 against the greenback. In the initial trade, it touched 84.07, down 2 paise from its previous closing. On Tuesday, the rupee gained 2 paise to settle at 84.05 against the US dollar. The local currency has been hovering around its all-time low level. Rupee touched its lowest closing level of 84.10 against the dollar on October 11. According to traders, the rupee remains under intense pressure, mainly due to persistent foreign fund outflows. "The Indian rupee remains firmly range-bound, trading
The rupee opened on a flat note and depreciated 1 paisa to 84.08 against the US dollar in initial deals on Tuesday, as persistent foreign fund outflows and the strength of the American currency in the overseas market dented investor sentiments. Forex traders said a muted trend in domestic equities and strong dollar weighed on the local unit, while easing crude oil prices and any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may also support the local currency at lower levels. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.08 against the greenback. In the initial trade, it touched 84.07. On Monday, the rupee settled 1 paisa higher at 84.07 against the US dollar. The local currency touched its lowest closing level of 84.10 against the dollar on October 11. According to traders, the rupee remains under intense pressure, mainly due to persistent foreign fund outflows. "The Indian rupee remained in a range of 2 paise on Monday and is expected to remain in the same small r
Most exporters reckon that the risks that rupee will depreciate from here are much higher than it will appreciate, a forex salesperson at a mid-sized private
Rupee has been pressured by a surge in outflows from local stocks alongside in a rise in US bond yields and the dollar index this month
The rupee stayed flat at 84.07 against the US dollar in early trade on Thursday amid elevated crude oil prices and continuous withdrawal of foreign funds from capital market. However, the local unit found some cushion as the dollar retreated from its higher level while the domestic equity markets indicated a recovery, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.06 against the greenback and slipped 1 paisa to trade at previous day's closing level in initial deals. On Wednesday, the rupee had settled with a marginal gain of 1 paisa at 84.07 against the US dollar. The local currency has been struggling to recover since October 11, when it closed at its lowest level of 84.10 against the dollar. Analysts said the selling rush by foreign investors in pursuit of better gains from the Chinese market has been preventing rupee's recovery, while higher US treasury yields has triggered the fear of slower interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Amid uncerta
The rupee stayed almost flat, trading 1 paisa higher at 84.07 against the US dollar in early trade on Wednesday, dragged down by strengthening American currency and relentless outflow of foreign funds. Forex traders said a downward trend in domestic equity markets and elevated level of crude oil prices prevented a recovery in the Indian currency. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened 1 paisa higher at 84.07 against the greenback and traded on a flat note in early deals. On Tuesday, the rupee settled 1 paisa lower at 84.08 against the US dollar. The local currency has been struggling to recover since October 11, when it closed at its lowest level of 84.10 against the dollar. According to analysts, the rupee has been under pressure due to the continuous selling of Indian equities by FIIs in pursuit of better gains from the Chinese market. Also, they said, a surge in the US treasury yields raised concerns that the Federal Reserve may slowdown its rate cut move, steerin
The rupee stayed flat at 84.07 against the US dollar in early trade on Tuesday as positive sentiment in domestic equity markets was negated by the unabated outflow of foreign funds. The local unit resisted the fall on the back of the retreating dollar and a downward movement in the crude oil prices, forex traders said. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.07 against the greenback and traded on a flat note in early deals. On Monday, the rupee settled flat at 84.07 against the US dollar, a tad higher from its all-time low of 84.10 recorded on October 11. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.04 per cent to 103.79. Brent crude, the international benchmark, declined 0.22 per cent to USD 74.13 per barrel in futures trade. On the domestic equity market front, Sensex rose 180.46 points, or 0.22 per cent, to 81,331.73 points. The Nifty also advanced 61.25 points, or 0.25 per cent, to 24,842.35
Barclays Plc. points to record-high gold prices, a stronger dollar, and increased risk aversion as reasons why the central bank may allow the rupee to decline
The rupee slipped 1 paisa to 84.07 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday, as the weakening American currency failed to support the local unit amid negative domestic equity markets and higher crude oil prices. Forex traders said the unabated outflow of foreign funds also weighed on the domestic unit. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened flat at 84.06 against the greenback and lost further to 84.07, trading 1 paisa lower from its previous close. On Thursday, the rupee weakened by 4 paise to close at 84.06 against the US dollar. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was down by 0.11 per cent to 103.53 points. Negative dollar index was attributed to the fresh indication by Chinese central bank to reduce reserve ratio required for the country's lenders by the end of this year, which is expected to give further boost to the world's second largest economy. Brent crude, the international benchmark, .
Choppy oil prices, foreign investors taking out money in lieu of the China stimulus, higher US yields and the dollar has pushed back the rupee by just 0.3 per cent month-to-date