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Crisis looms as global gas supplies dry up
Rakteem Katakey / New Delhi July 7, 2008, 0:24 IST
India faces a new energy crisis — unavailability of gas in the international market — that could worsen power supplies and impact a wide range of industries.
Indian companies have been importing liquefied natural gas (LNG) because domestic demand exceeds supply. A third of these imports are secured in the spot market and the balance through multi-year term contracts.
TROUBLE IN THE AIR
Gas demand
in India
180
mcmd
Gas availability
in India
90
mcmd
Gas available
as LNG
40% *
*of which a third is bought in the spot market
mcmd = is million cubic metres per day
This sourcing pattern is a problem because, as Prosad Dasgupta, managing director of Petronet LNG, India's largest importer of LNG, explained, "There is a huge shortage of spot LNG cargoes in the world market."
This is because most of the cargoes have been bought by Japan, which is using gas to fire its power plants after its Kashiwazaki nuclear power plant closed last year.
Japan has imported close to 9 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of spot LNG over the last year — more than India's LNG re-gassification capacity of 7.5 mtpa owned by Petronet LNG and Shell Hazira.
Spot LNG prices have increased — they mimic oil prices — but the supply constraint is a first. Prices at the New York Merchantile Exchange have more than doubled to 13.50 per mBtu (million British thermal unit) from $5.89 per mBtu in August 2007.
Users of spot LNG include NTPC — the country's largest power generator. "Spot LNG purchases are becoming a problem. When they are available we are paying $22-25 per mBtu. Our plants are also facing a shortage of gas," said an NTPC spokesperson.
"Shortage of spot LNG also affects smaller industries such as tile- and glass-makers and small power plants," said a Delhi-based analyst. "The larger players tend to have term contracts," he added.
Gas producing countries liquefy gas and transport it in cryogenic ships to consuming countries that are not connected by pipelines. The liquefied gas is easier to transport but is more expensive since the buyer has to pay liquefaction and regassification costs.
Most industries in Gujarat, where India's LNG regassification terminals are located, are worried.
"We may have to increase retail prices of gas in Gujarat," said an official in Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation, which sells gas to households and vehicles.
Industries across the country are waiting for Reliance Industries to start producing gas from the Krishna-Godavari basin off the Andhra Pradesh coast. At peak production, gas from this field is expected to double availability in India.
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karun_asia
July 07 , 2008 ,18:23 IST
The oil prices are escalating & so the liquefied natural gas (LNG) .But the rationale has changed. Massive shortage of spot LNG cargoes all along with increased imports from Japan has aggravated the crisis. When Reliance starts producing gas from the Krishna-Godavari basin off the Andhra Pradesh coast,things may change but at present we may witness a steep add to in the gas prices.
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umashankar
July 07 , 2008 ,15:35 IST
The recent strange Govt approach to disallow 7 yrs tax holidays on natural gas in NELP-VII(continuing tax holiday on oil even when price is around US $ 140 per barrel!) has deterred companies to bid for deep water. Gas development has been strangulated by artificial pricing discouraging investors, interference by the Govt even where the contracts and policy clearly provide freedom to the contractors to sell gas at market determined prices. There are host of policy and regulatory bottlenecks.
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rajarambojji
July 07 , 2008 ,03:02 IST
It is a relief that Reliance facility at Krishna-Godavari basin will double current availability and we may not need imports once they start their supplies. But I do hope if there are any bureaucratic hurdles in their way, both the State and Centre will give priority and clear the same in the larger national interest. it is gratifying that private initiative had the vision and I complement the larger planning process and vision which prevailed in Government of India to have made this possible.
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