Page 5 - El Nino

Beyond good rains: The making of a 'normal monsoon'

Their timeliness, distribution and spread are of vital importance for Indian agriculture

TMS Ep412: BS Tech Talk, health influencers, markets, El Nino

How is India bridging the have and have-not divide? How is India regulating health influencers? Will the markets break out of their consolidation phase soon? What is El Nino? Answers here

El Nino after La Nina year tends to result in rainfall deficit: Experts

With the India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicting a normal monsoon this year despite El Nino concerns, experts say an El Nino that follows a La Nina year tends to result in a significant rainfall deficit. The evolving El Nino conditions this year follow three consecutive La Nina years. La Nina, which is the opposite of El Nino, typically brings good rainfall during the monsoon season. The IMD on Tuesday predicted normal rainfall (96 per cent of the long-period average of 87 cm) in the country during the southwest monsoon season which be of great relief for the agriculture sector. The IMD forecast came just a day after private agency Skymet Weather predicted "below-normal" monsoon rains (94 per cent of the long-period average) owing to the evolving El Nino conditions, which are generally associated with the weakening of monsoon winds and dry weather in India. Raghu Murtugudde, visiting professor, Earth System Scientist at IIT Bombay and Emeritus Professor at University of .

Normal rains likely this year despite El Nino conditions, says IMD

Monsoon rains are critical for India's agriculture sector, with 52 per cent of the net cultivated land relying on them for irrigation. Agriculture accounts for 40 per cent of India's food production

Six of the past 15 El Nino years have had normal monsoons, says IMD

Asserts that southwest monsoon in 2023 is likely to be normal despite El Nino, as two other factors will neutralise its negative impact

From El Nino, LPA, to IOD: Monsoon terminology everyone should know

IMD predicted normal monsoon for India in this season, unlike the forecast by Skymet

IMD disagrees with Skymet, says India will have a normal monsoon this year

India is expected to see a normal monsoon this year with a long-period average (LPA) of 96 per cent between June and September, says IMD

IMD monsoon forecast will provide clarity on El Nino, says Fadnavis

Maharashtra deputy chief minister Devendra Fadnavis on Monday said the India Meteorological Department is going to release its final report on the south-west monsoon forecast later this month and that will reveal if the El Nino weather pattern will cast a shadow on the June-September rains, leading to deficient precipitation. Speaking to reporters at Amravati in the Vidarbha region, he said the state government has anyway started preparations to tackle situation arising of a possible shortfall in monsoon rains. India is likely to experience below-normal monsoon rainfall this year, with a 20 per cent chance of drought due to the end of La Nina conditions and the potential for El Nino to take hold, private forecasting agency Skymet Weather said earlier in the day. The private forecaster has predicted the northern and central parts of the country may see a rain deficit, with Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra expected to witness inadequate showers during the core monsoon months

El Nino likely to keep monsoon rains below normal, says Skymet

Private weather forecaster warns about the effect of El Nino phenomenon

India to witness 'below normal' rainfall this monsoon season: Skymet

Skymet said that there is a 0% chance of excess rainfall in the upcoming monsoon season

Searing summer on the cards, all eyes on reservoirs, grain storage

Reservoir levels lower than last year but higher than 10-yr average; ample elbow room in grain storage for now

El Nino phenomenon may impact agriculture sector in India this year

The El Nino phenomenon, which occurs normally after every three to five years, may impact the weather in India this year, thus affecting the agriculture sector

Irrigation facilities weakening link between rains and crop production

The data related to monsoon and crop production for the decade suggest that despite uneven monsoon rains over the years, Indian agricultural output has remained largely immune to rainfall patterns

El Nino expected to return, likely to spike global temperatures: WMO

A warming El Nino event may develop in the coming months , according to a new update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The El Nino event may develop after three consecutive years of an unusually stubborn and protracted La Nina, which influenced temperature and rainfall patterns in different parts of the world, WMO said in a statement. However, while the return of El Nino is considered likely this will be proceeded by a period of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions, with 90 per cent probability, during March-May, the statement said. The likelihood of ENSO neutral conditions continuing beyond May decreases slightly but remains high, with 80 per cent likelihood in April-June and 60 per cent in May-July, based on the model predictions and assessment from experts involved in producing the Update, it said. The chances of El Nino developing, while low in the first half of the year, 15 per cent in April-June, gradually increases to 35 per cent in May-July

Roll of dice for agrochem companies with El Nino dampener on monsoon

Adverse agronomical conditions, excess channel inventory weigh on domestic market volume offtake

El Nino risk for inflation, farm output in India: Finance ministry

IMD predicts above-normal temperatures this year

Fadnavis cites reports, asks officials to make drought mitigation plan

Maharashtra Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis has asked officials to prepare a comprehensive mitigation plan due to the possibility of drought this year, an official said on Thursday. The official said Fadnavis cited media reports of the United States government's weather agency National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) indicating a possibility of 'El Nino' condition developing late summer. As per weather experts, an 'El Nino' condition is when surface water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean becomes warmer than average and the east winds get weaker, bringing about extremes that include flooding or drought. "There is likelihood of a drought situation this year and the government needs to be well prepared to ensure people's hardship is minimised," the official said. The directives came at the cabinet meeting earlier this week, he added.

TMS Ep353: Apple avoids layoff, El Nino, T+1 settlement cycle, influencers

How has Apple avoided the mass layoff mess? How will El Nino affect Indian farms in 2023? Are FPIs ready for the T+1 settlement cycle? What are influencers? All answers here

Record hot 2023? El Nino may add fuel to India's climate crisis

Rain patterns in India are also expected to get altered with the return of El Niño in 2023

Top headlines: Non-BFSI cos lag in Q3, El Nino & India's climate crisis

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